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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

AlvercaRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Sérgio Ferreira · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
12 · 16
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
30.4° (feels 29.0°)
Wind
5.3
Humidity
28%

Where to watch · 2

  • Greece MagentaSport 2
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 4.91–8.65 · xPts 4.35

  • W A Nacional 3–1 xG 1.5–2.22 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.17–2.11 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 1–1 xG 0.39–1.3 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 1–3 xG 0.45–1.73 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 2–2 xG 1.4–1.29 PRT PL

Rio Ave

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 3.96–9.67 · xPts 3.26

  • D H Estrela Amadora 3–3 xG 1.28–2.73 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–4 xG 0.67–2.03 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.53–1.36 PRT PL
  • W A Estoril 2–0 xG 0.7–1.56 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–2 xG 0.78–1.99 PRT PL

thin sample 2 meetings 2025–2026

Last 2

Alverca 11 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 3–2 · Alverca hosting: 0W 1D 0L · Rio Ave hosting: 0W 0D 1L

At Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca: 1 meeting · Alverca 0 · draws 1 · Rio Ave 0 · 2.0 goals per match

All-time since 2025: 2 meetings · Alverca 1 · draws 1 · Rio Ave 0

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match2.502.71-0.212
Both teams score100%49%+51%2
Over 2.5 goals50%55%-5%2
Corners12.09.4+2.62
Cards2.55.2-2.72

1.50 first-half goals per match

How these games go · 2 with event data

AlvercaRio Ave
Scored first1 of 21 of 2
Scored first and won10
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 20 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 2 meetings

0-15'1
16-30'1
31-45'1
46-60'1
61-75'0
76-90'1

1 equaliser · 3 headers

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Alverca 1.58 xGper match1.07 xG Rio Ave

Deserved on xG: Alverca 1 · level 1 · Rio Ave 0 — actual wins in those games 1 / 0

Fixture specialists

  • 2 Sandro Lima Alverca · in 2 games · last Apr 2026
  • 1 Jalen Blesa Rio Ave · last Apr 2026
  • 1 Figueiredo Alverca · last Apr 2026
  • 1 Clayton Rio Ave · last Nov 2025

Last meeting · 2026-04-04 · PRT PL

Rio Ave 1-2 Alverca · ref Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

  • 5' Figueiredo assist Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos 0–1
  • 21' Sandro Lima assist Figueiredo 0–2
  • 59' Jalen Blesa assist Nelson Abbey 1–2

xG 1.55 – 1.38 · corners 12 · cards 3

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

53.5%Alverca P 49%24.4%Draw P 28%22.1%Rio Ave P 24%

Over / under 2.5

51.2%Over 2.5 P 48%48.8%Under 2.5 P 52%

Both teams to score

52.4%Yes47.6%No

Expected

Alverca goals
1.71 (0–3)
Rio Ave goals
1.01 (0–2)
Corners
8.98 (5–13)
Cards
4.75 (2–8)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

40.2%Alverca28.0%Draw31.8%Rio Ave

Over / under 2.5

43.9%Over 2.556.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.5%Yes50.5%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Alverca 11 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 11 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 11 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Alverca 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 6Alverca at home · 3Rio Ave all · 6Rio Ave away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.830.67
W / D / L1 / 2 / 31 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match1.330.83
Goals against / match1.832.33
Clean sheets0%17%
Failed to score17%67%
Both teams scored83%17%
Over 2.567%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.080.69
xG against / match1.851.88
xG difference-0.77-1.19
Finishing vs xG0.250.14
xPts / match0.880.60
Points vs xPts-0.040.07
Game state
Scored first50%17%
PPG when scoring first1.333.00
PPG when conceding first0.330.20
Came back from behind25%20%
Leads held25%100%
Minutes leading19%14%
Minutes level42%31%
Minutes trailing39%55%
First goal (min)5530
First goal conceded (min)4725
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half73%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.17
Late goals against0.330.50
Style
Possession43%41%
Shots10.07.3
On target3.72.5
Shot conversion13%11%
Shots inside box58%43%
Big chances created2.00.8
Corners4.53.2
xG from set plays44%46%
Goals from headers38%75%
Pressure index8.74.7
Dominant minutes41.228.7
Pass accuracy79%82%
Fouls13.09.2
Cards2.501.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'31
46–60'15
61–75'21
76–90'12

Rio Ave

0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'11
46–60'13
61–75'11
76–90'13

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-33 50%1.01.331.671.422.26
3-4-2-13 50%0.671.332.00.741.44

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%0.81.02.40.671.86
4-3-31 17%0.00.02.00.781.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.9d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 25.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.5 pts at 2.2d

1.96Home 49% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.863.45Draw 28% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.463.98Away 24% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 4.2
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.96 ▼ -2.03.45 · +0.43.98 ▲ +1.525.0h
bet3652.05 ▼ -4.53.4 ▲ +1.03.5 ▲ +3.525.0h
Betfair1.95 · -0.83.5 · +0.13.8 · +0.725.0h
BetVictor1.9 ▼ -1.63.4 · +0.23.7 ▲ +1.425.0h
Coral1.95 · +0.43.5 · -0.63.9 · +0.225.0h
Ladbrokes1.91 · +0.93.5 · -0.93.9 · -0.125.0h
WilliamHill1.91 · +0.83.3 · -0.13.8 · -0.725.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 25.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 49%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Alverca or Draw 39%1.28Alverca or Rio Ave 37%1.9Draw or Rio Ave 25%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 48%1.85Under 51% P 52%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw28%28%29%+1.7
Away24%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Career
10 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (5.1 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 27.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 80 311 43'9
2026-04-12 · Alverca 25 7
2026-04-03 30 230 20'7
2026-02-28 · Alverca 30 210 35'13
2026-02-21 82 260 13'5
2026-02-09 50 230 4'9
2025-12-28 60 340 9'8
2025-11-02 80 351 38'8
2025-10-03 60 260 34'6