Rating 7.14 (75th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (60% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– Rio AveCFEA –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Rio Ave | at home | Stat | league | away | Estrela Amadora |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.3 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 47.7 #11 |
| 7.3 #17 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 12.7 #8 |
| 2.5 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.8 #5 |
| 3.2 #14 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #9 |
| 9.3 #17 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 11.5 #14 |
| 0.7 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #12 |
| 14.3 #14 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 18.8 #2 |
| 72.8 #16 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 87.7 #10 |
| 27.8 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 34.3 #12 |
| 349.0 #16 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 377.5 #13 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.5 #5 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #6 |
| 0.7 #10 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.8 #2 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #17 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #1 |
| 0.7 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| 0.2 #9 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.8 #2 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #13 |
| 0.8 #13 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.3 #4 |
| 2.3 #2 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 #4 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 9.5 #6 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.8 #11 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #14 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.6 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #6 |
| 1.5 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 2.5 #10 |
| 3.2 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 9.0 #4 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.3 #5 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.7 #15 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Rio Ave · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.67 (33th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (60% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 6.74 (25th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Estrela Amadora · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.25 (89th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.46 (97th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.79 (52th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Rio Ave
- injury Cezary Miszta goalkeeper · Back Problems · 25 missed
Estrela Amadora
- injury Jeremy Arévalo attacker · Back Problems · 5 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
- Capacity
- 12,815
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 2,301
Teams
- Coaches
- Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Pedro Marques da Costa Filipe
- Position
- 16 · 6
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 20.2° (feels 20.7°)
- Wind
- 0.0
- Humidity
- 94%
Where to watch · 2
Greece
MagentaSport 6
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Rio Ave
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 11 · xG 2.85–8.58 · xPts 2.94
- L
A
Santa Clara
0–4
xG 0.67–2.03
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–4
xG 0.53–1.36
PRT PL
- W
A
Estoril
2–0
xG 0.7–1.56
PRT PL
- L
H
Porto
0–2
xG 0.78–1.99
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–1
xG 0.18–1.63
PRT PL
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 11 · xG 2.85–8.58 · xPts 2.94
- L
A
Santa Clara
0–4
xG 0.67–2.03
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–4
xG 0.53–1.36
PRT PL
- W
A
Estoril
2–0
xG 0.7–1.56
PRT PL
- L
H
Porto
0–2
xG 0.78–1.99
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–1
xG 0.18–1.63
PRT PL
Estrela Amadora
DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 9 · xG 6.12–6.82 · xPts 6.5
- W
H
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.68–0.72
PRT PL
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 1.14–1.54
PRT PL
- W
A
Nacional
3–2
xG 2.0–0.65
PRT PL
- D
A
Alverca
2–2
xG 1.29–1.4
PRT PL
- D
H
Sporting CP
2–2
xG 1.01–2.52
PRT PL
DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 9 · xG 6.12–6.82 · xPts 6.5
- W
H
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.68–0.72
PRT PL
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 1.14–1.54
PRT PL
- W
A
Nacional
3–2
xG 2.0–0.65
PRT PL
- D
A
Alverca
2–2
xG 1.29–1.4
PRT PL
- D
H
Sporting CP
2–2
xG 1.01–2.52
PRT PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
31.9%Rio Ave P 33%26.0%Draw P 29%42.1%Estrela Amadora P 38%
Over / under 2.5
51.2%Over 2.5 P 47%48.8%Under 2.5 P 53%
Both teams to score
55.2%Yes44.8%No
Expected
- Rio Ave goals
- 1.25 (0–3)
- Estrela Amadora goals
- 1.47 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.71 (5–13)
- Cards
- 4.96 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 31.9% / 26.0% / 42.1%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
28.6%Rio Ave27.5%Draw43.9%Estrela Amadora
Over / under 2.5
46.1%Over 2.553.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
50.3%Yes49.7%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.348 | 0.827 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.669 | 0.476 |
| btts | yes | 0.593 | 0.401 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 11 matches since 2005
Goals 16–13 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 1–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Rio Ave neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 2–0 Rio Ave neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Rio Ave neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Rio Ave all · 6 | Rio Ave at home · 3 | Estrela Amadora all · 6 | Estrela Amadora away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.67 | – | 1.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 4 | – | 2 / 4 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.83 | – | 2.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.33 | – | 2.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 67% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 17% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.69 | – | 1.47 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.88 | – | 1.35 | – |
| xG difference | -1.19 | – | 0.12 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | – | 0.86 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.60 | – | 1.45 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | – | 0.22 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | – | 2.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 20% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes leading | 14% | – | 20% | – |
| Minutes level | 31% | – | 46% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 55% | – | 34% | – |
| First goal (min) | 30 | – | 48 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | – | 26 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | – | 79% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | – | 48% | – |
| Shots | 7.3 | – | 12.7 | – |
| On target | 2.5 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 18% | – |
| Shots inside box | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | 0.8 | – | 2.0 | – |
| Corners | 3.2 | – | 3.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 75% | – | 21% | – |
| Pressure index | 4.7 | – | 12.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 28.7 | – | 47.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 9.2 | – | 11.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 2.50 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rio Ave
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'11
46–60'13
61–75'11
76–90'13
Estrela Amadora
0–15'03
16–30'10
31–45'21
46–60'44
61–75'52
76–90'22
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rio Ave · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643
Game state
When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152
Situations
At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Rio Ave
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 83% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.67 | 1.86 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.99 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 1.5 | 2.25 | 2.0 | 1.39 | 1.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| Metric | Rio Ave all · 10 | Rio Ave at home · 10 | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 6 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 2 / 6 / 2 | 1 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 40% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 70% | 90% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.84 | 1.48 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.46 | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | -0.96 | 0.02 | -0.29 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.48 | 0.55 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 0.76 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.16 | -0.70 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | 1.33 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.20 | 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 29% | 75% | 38% |
| Leads held | 50% | 33% | 29% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 11% | 20% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 43% | 52% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 42% | 46% | 28% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 34 | 43 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 24 | 26 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 50% | 68% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 40% | 58% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 47% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 8.5 | 15.0 | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 2.7 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 18% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 57% | 71% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 31% | 30% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | 50% | 22% | 21% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 5.6 | 10.1 | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 31.4 | 44.1 | 39.2 | 46.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 79% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 10.9 | 12.6 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 2.30 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rio Ave
0–15'23
16–30'03
31–45'14
46–60'23
61–75'13
76–90'15
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Rio Ave
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.67 | 0.78 | 2.11 | 0.85 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.99 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| Metric | Rio Ave all · 36 | Rio Ave at home · 18 | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.03 | 0.78 | 1.06 | 0.83 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 17 | 3 / 5 / 10 | 8 / 13 / 14 | 3 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 0.92 | 0.94 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Goals against / match | 1.72 | 1.94 | 1.77 | 2.11 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 17% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed to score | 47% | 50% | 34% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 44% | 57% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% | 66% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.94 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | -0.75 | -0.46 | -0.44 | -0.58 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | -0.25 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | -0.37 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 33% | 31% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.18 | 1.83 | 1.45 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 17% | 44% | 36% |
| Leads held | 64% | 50% | 47% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 14% | 13% | 18% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 42% | 49% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 44% | 33% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 34 | 40 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 30 | 30 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 53% | 57% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 40% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 47% | 47% | 46% |
| Shots | 9.6 | 12.0 | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| On target | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 8% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 59% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 32% | 36% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 20% | 16% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 7.7 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 8.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 33.8 | 38.2 | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 11.3 | 13.9 | 14.0 |
| Cards | 2.86 | 2.78 | 2.83 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rio Ave
0–15'27
16–30'510
31–45'513
46–60'810
61–75'811
76–90'511
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rio Ave · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1236
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2336
Late push (76+, level)-0.3011
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3913
Game state
When ahead-0.0614
When level-0.1336
When behind-0.1524
10 min after conceding-0.1429
10 min after scoring+0.1719
Situations
With ten men-0.165
At home-0.0618
Away-0.1818
4+ days rest-0.1236
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.329
v mid-tier opponents-0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0610
Evenly matched-0.0011
As underdog-0.2124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2336
Conceded when ahead+0.1314
Conceded late (76+)+0.1828
Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.02
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Rio Ave
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 50% | 1.11 | 1.0 | 1.56 | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| 3-4-3 | 14 39% | 1.21 | 1.07 | 1.64 | 0.81 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.42 | 1.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.99 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.9d before kick-off · 100 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.8 pts at 55m · late move: home +1.2 pts inside the final hour
2.9Home 33% ▼ -3.1 ptsopened 2.583.34Draw 29% · -0.4 ptsopened 3.212.58Away 38% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 2.77
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.9 ▼ -3.1 | 3.34 · -0.4 | 2.58 ▲ +3.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.87 ▼ -1.1 | 3.2 · +0.7 | 2.5 · +0.4 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.75 ▼ -1.3 | 3.1 ▲ +1.2 | 2.45 · +0.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.75 · -0.7 | 3.2 · -0.0 | 2.4 · +0.7 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.9 ▼ -1.7 | 3.3 · +0.9 | 2.45 · +0.8 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.87 ▼ -1.4 | 3.25 · +0.5 | 2.45 · +0.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.63 · +0.0 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 2.65 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.9 ▼ -2.8 | 3.1 ▲ +1.4 | 2.45 ▲ +1.4 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.9 pts at 35.8h
1.75Yes 53% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.82.0No 47% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 ▲ +1.3 | 2.0 ▼ -1.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +4.7 | 2.15 ▼ -4.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.77 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 98 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +6.4 pts at 36.8h
2.05Over 47% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 2.071.85Under 53% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.78
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.05 ▲ +1.2 | 1.85 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▲ +1.3 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▲ +1.6 | 1.83 ▼ -1.6 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.94 · +0.5 | 1.74 · -0.5 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.02 · +0.0 | 1.7 · +0.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 33%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.5Away 38% P 38%
Double Chance
1.44Rio Ave or Draw 33%1.36Rio Ave or Estrela Amadora 35%1.44Draw or Estrela Amadora 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 38% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Gustavo Fernandes Correia
- Career
- 101 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.28 (5.75 yellow · 0.35 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.2 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.47
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.72 | 5.66 | +1.37 | 97 |
| Fouls / match | 29.9 | 27.9 | +1.04 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 4.9 | -0.78 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.37 | +0.88 | 82 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.13 | 42 |
- First card
- 27' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 62' | 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 36' | 9 |
| 2026-08-09 · Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 32' | 11 |
| 2026-07-22 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2026-05-16 · Estrela Amadora | 6 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 37' | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 55' | 19 |
| 2026-04-10 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 11' | 14 |
| 2025-11-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 89' | 5 |
| 2025-10-23 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 33' | 6 |