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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

MoreirenseMarítimo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,151

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Jordan van der Gaag
Position
15 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Melo

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.2° (feels 24.1°)
Wind
0.3
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 1

  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 2.76–10.08 · xPts 2.76

  • L H Benfica 0–4 xG 0.4–3.1 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 1–2 xG 0.81–3.26 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 1–0 xG 0.58–0.88 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–4 xG 0.74–1.72 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.24–1.12 PRT PL

Marítimo

WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.12–5.32 · xPts 6.64

  • L H Benfica 0–3 xG 0.17–1.37 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 1–2 xG 0.98–1.35 PRT PL
  • D H Academico Viseu 2–2 xG 1.52–1.28 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 2–1 xG 1.25–0.81 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 1–0 xG 1.21–0.5 PRT PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

38.4%Moreirense P 34%27.7%Draw P 30%33.9%Marítimo P 35%

Over / under 2.5

44.7%Over 2.5 P 40%55.3%Under 2.5 P 60%

Both teams to score

50.3%Yes49.7%No

Expected

Moreirense goals
1.28 (0–3)
Marítimo goals
1.18 (0–3)
Corners
7.46 (4–11)
Cards
5.43 (2–9)

Earlier: day before — 38.4% / 27.7% / 33.9%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

30.6%Moreirense25.4%Draw44.0%Marítimo

Over / under 2.5

50.2%Over 2.549.8%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.0%Yes48.0%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.9570.571
ou_2_5over0.8060.612
bttsyes0.6860.493

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 19 matches since 2012

Moreirense 75 draws7 Marítimo

Goals 22–22 · 2.32 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 37%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 52 draws3 Marítimo

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 31 draws1 Marítimo

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Moreirense 3–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 0–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Marítimo 0–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Marítimo 0–2 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 2–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 2–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Marítimo 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Marítimo 3–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Marítimo 1–1 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 6Moreirense at home · 3Marítimo all · 6Marítimo away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.171.17
W / D / L2 / 1 / 32 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.171.17
Goals against / match2.171.83
Clean sheets17%17%
Failed to score33%17%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.583%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.780.99
xG against / match1.821.20
xG difference-1.04-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.390.17
xPts / match0.811.22
Points vs xPts0.36-0.05
Game state
Scored first50%33%
PPG when scoring first2.001.50
PPG when conceding first0.331.00
Came back from behind25%40%
Leads held67%67%
Minutes leading29%8%
Minutes level40%42%
Minutes trailing31%49%
First goal (min)1752
First goal conceded (min)3820
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half29%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%36%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.50
Late goals against0.330.33
Style
Possession36%46%
Shots7.310.5
On target2.83.2
Shot conversion16%11%
Shots inside box57%70%
Big chances created1.81.7
Corners2.53.0
xG from set plays35%48%
Goals from headers0%29%
Pressure index6.311.1
Dominant minutes27.549.0
Pass accuracy73%79%
Fouls14.215.8
Cards3.172.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'03
46–60'03
61–75'02
76–90'22

Marítimo

0–15'02
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'01
61–75'21
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Marítimo · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.63

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.366
Late push (76+, level)-0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.144

Game state

When ahead+0.033
When level+0.066
When behind+0.075
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.635

Situations

At home+0.123
Away+0.013
4+ days rest+0.066

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.182
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.086
Conceded when ahead+0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.216

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.02

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.51.02.250.91.63
4-3-31 17%1.02.02.00.241.12
3-4-31 17%0.01.02.00.813.26

Marítimo

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.751.51.251.240.99
4-3-32 33%0.00.53.00.51.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.9d before kick-off · 124 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.4 pts at 4.1d · late move: home +1.2 pts inside the final hour

2.82Home 34% · +0.9 ptsopened 2.823.18Draw 30% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 3.242.76Away 35% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 2.52
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.82 · +0.93.18 ▲ +1.42.76 ▼ -2.35m
bet3652.75 · +0.73.2 · -0.42.62 · -0.35m
Betfair2.7 · +0.12.88 ▲ +2.22.63 ▼ -2.35m
BetVictor2.7 · -0.13.0 · +0.92.55 · -0.85m
Coral2.8 · +0.03.2 · +0.02.6 · +0.05m
Ladbrokes2.8 · +0.33.2 · -0.72.6 · +0.35m
Unibet2.55 ▲ +2.63.15 · -0.02.8 ▼ -2.65m
WilliamHill2.7 · +0.63.0 ▲ +1.02.62 ▼ -1.75m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 34%3.2Draw 30% P 30%2.62Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.5Moreirense or Draw 32%1.36Moreirense or Maritimo 35%1.4Draw or Maritimo 34%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.6Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

5.0Under 6 17%2.46 - 8 36%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%19.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%34%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away35%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Fabio Melo

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 30.0 fouls per match.