Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Moreirense | at home | Stat | league | away | Marítimo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 45.8 #12 |
| 7.3 #17 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 10.5 #10 |
| 2.8 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.2 #12 |
| 2.5 #18 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.0 #15 |
| 14.2 #4 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 16.0 #1 |
| 0.3 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 0.5 #16 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 64.3 #18 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 83.3 #14 |
| 20.8 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 39.2 #9 |
| 320.5 #18 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 384.3 #12 |
| 3.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #11 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.8 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #3 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #10 |
| 0.8 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.0 #12 |
| 0.4 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #11 |
| 1.2 #9 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 #9 |
| 2.2 #3 | 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #2 |
| 11.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.0 #17 |
| – #6 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #6 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.6 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #15 |
| 1.2 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 2.7 #8 |
| 4.2 #17 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 7.7 #9 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.7 #14 |
| 3.2 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 2.8 #18 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Moreirense · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Marítimo · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
- Capacity
- 6,150
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 2,151
Teams
- Coaches
- Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Jordan van der Gaag
- Position
- 15 · 10
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Fabio Melo
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 24.2° (feels 24.1°)
- Wind
- 0.3
- Humidity
- 58%
Where to watch · 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 | Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 | Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 | Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 | Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 | Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Moreirense
DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 2.76–10.08 · xPts 2.76
- L
H
Benfica
0–4
xG 0.4–3.1
PRT PL - L
A
Porto
1–2
xG 0.81–3.26
PRT PL - W
A
Casa Pia
1–0
xG 0.58–0.88
PRT PL - L
A
Arouca
0–4
xG 0.74–1.72
PRT PL - D
H
Sporting Braga
2–2
xG 0.24–1.12
PRT PL
DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 2.76–10.08 · xPts 2.76
- L
H
Benfica
0–4
xG 0.4–3.1
PRT PL - L
A
Porto
1–2
xG 0.81–3.26
PRT PL - W
A
Casa Pia
1–0
xG 0.58–0.88
PRT PL - L
A
Arouca
0–4
xG 0.74–1.72
PRT PL - D
H
Sporting Braga
2–2
xG 0.24–1.12
PRT PL
Marítimo
WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.12–5.32 · xPts 6.64
- L
H
Benfica
0–3
xG 0.17–1.37
PRT PL - L
A
Arouca
1–2
xG 0.98–1.35
PRT PL - D
H
Academico Viseu
2–2
xG 1.52–1.28
PRT PL - W
A
Famalicão
2–1
xG 1.25–0.81
PRT PL - W
H
Casa Pia
1–0
xG 1.21–0.5
PRT PL
WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.12–5.32 · xPts 6.64
- L
H
Benfica
0–3
xG 0.17–1.37
PRT PL - L
A
Arouca
1–2
xG 0.98–1.35
PRT PL - D
H
Academico Viseu
2–2
xG 1.52–1.28
PRT PL - W
A
Famalicão
2–1
xG 1.25–0.81
PRT PL - W
H
Casa Pia
1–0
xG 1.21–0.5
PRT PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Expected
- Moreirense goals
- 1.28 (0–3)
- Marítimo goals
- 1.18 (0–3)
- Corners
- 7.46 (4–11)
- Cards
- 5.43 (2–9)
Earlier: day before — 38.4% / 27.7% / 33.9%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.957 | 0.571 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.806 | 0.612 |
| btts | yes | 0.686 | 0.493 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 19 matches since 2012
Goals 22–22 · 2.32 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 37%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Moreirense 3–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Moreirense 0–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Marítimo 0–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Marítimo 0–2 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Moreirense 2–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Moreirense 2–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Marítimo 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Marítimo 3–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Moreirense 1–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Marítimo 1–1 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Moreirense all · 6 | Moreirense at home · 3 | Marítimo all · 6 | Marítimo away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 3 | – | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.17 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.78 | – | 0.99 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.82 | – | 1.20 | – |
| xG difference | -1.04 | – | -0.21 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.39 | – | 0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.81 | – | 1.22 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | – | -0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 40% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 29% | – | 8% | – |
| Minutes level | 40% | – | 42% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | – | 49% | – |
| First goal (min) | 17 | – | 52 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | – | 20 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 29% | – | 71% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | – | 36% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 36% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 7.3 | – | 10.5 | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | 3.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 57% | – | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 2.5 | – | 3.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 35% | – | 48% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 6.3 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 27.5 | – | 49.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 14.2 | – | 15.8 | – |
| Cards | 3.17 | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Moreirense
Marítimo
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Moreirense · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09
Marítimo · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.63
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.02
Moreirense
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 0.9 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.24 | 1.12 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 3.26 |
Marítimo
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Moreirense all · 10 | Moreirense at home · 10 | Marítimo all · 6 | Marítimo away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 1.50 | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.88 | 0.96 | 0.99 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.53 | 1.20 | – |
| xG difference | -1.05 | -0.57 | -0.21 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.79 | 1.02 | 1.22 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.31 | 0.18 | -0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 33% | 40% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | 75% | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 19% | 8% | – |
| Minutes level | 40% | 52% | 42% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 43% | 29% | 49% | – |
| First goal (min) | 23 | 25 | 52 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 44 | 20 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | 40% | 71% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 67% | 36% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 46% | – |
| Shots | 8.9 | 9.6 | 10.5 | – |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 59% | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 41% | 48% | – |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 11% | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 9.7 | 11.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 41.9 | 49.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 81% | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 13.4 | 15.8 | – |
| Cards | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Moreirense
Marítimo
Moreirense
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.43 | 1.0 | 1.86 | 1.05 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.24 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.43 | 2.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 3.26 |
Marítimo
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Moreirense all · 35 | Moreirense at home · 17 | Marítimo all · 6 | Marítimo away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.29 | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 17 | 6 / 4 / 7 | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.66 | 1.53 | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 24% | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 34% | 35% | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 47% | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 59% | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.99 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | 1.49 | 1.20 | – |
| xG difference | -0.84 | -0.67 | -0.21 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.90 | 0.95 | 1.22 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.35 | -0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 35% | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.93 | 2.17 | 1.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.47 | 0.80 | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 36% | 40% | – |
| Leads held | 62% | 75% | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 21% | 16% | 8% | – |
| Minutes level | 50% | 58% | 42% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 26% | 49% | – |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 38 | 52 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 39 | 20 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 56% | 71% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 59% | 62% | 36% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.24 | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 46% | 46% | – |
| Shots | 8.5 | 8.8 | 10.5 | – |
| On target | 3.1 | 2.8 | 3.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 56% | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 36% | 48% | – |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 24% | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.1 | 9.5 | 11.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 38.8 | 40.7 | 49.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 81% | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 13.9 | 15.8 | – |
| Cards | 2.71 | 2.59 | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Moreirense
Marítimo
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Moreirense · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: as favourite +0.46
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11
Marítimo · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.63
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.02
Moreirense
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 49% | 1.35 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 0.8 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.67 | 0.94 | 1.42 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 11% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.72 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.06 | 2.46 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.66 | 0.96 |
Marítimo
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.64 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.9d before kick-off · 124 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.4 pts at 4.1d · late move: home +1.2 pts inside the final hour
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.82 · +0.9 | 3.18 ▲ +1.4 | 2.76 ▼ -2.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.75 · +0.7 | 3.2 · -0.4 | 2.62 · -0.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.7 · +0.1 | 2.88 ▲ +2.2 | 2.63 ▼ -2.3 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.7 · -0.1 | 3.0 · +0.9 | 2.55 · -0.8 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.8 · +0.0 | 3.2 · +0.0 | 2.6 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.8 · +0.3 | 3.2 · -0.7 | 2.6 · +0.3 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.55 ▲ +2.6 | 3.15 · -0.0 | 2.8 ▼ -2.6 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.7 · +0.6 | 3.0 ▲ +1.0 | 2.62 ▼ -1.7 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.83 · +0.4 | 1.83 · -0.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.93 · -0.7 | 1.78 · +0.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.83 · +0.0 | 1.84 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 · +0.0 | 1.83 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.8d before kick-off · 122 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.1 pts at 1.2h
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.39 · -0.6 | 1.62 · +0.6 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 1.6 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.3 ▼ -1.8 | 1.6 ▲ +1.8 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.21 · -0.8 | 1.57 · +0.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.12 · +0.0 | 1.63 · +0.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 34% | 34% | 34% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 27% | -2.5 |
| Away | 35% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 41% | 41% | -0.4 |
Fabio Melo
No career statistics.
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 30.0 fouls per match.

Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente
Alverca
Vitória Guimarães
Nacional
Rio Ave
Estoril