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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

FamalicãoSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,813

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal · Rui Borges
Position
15 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
27.5° (feels 28.0°)
Wind
0.8
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 18

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  • Venezuela DIRECTV Sports Venezuela · inter

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

DLLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.05–5.22 · xPts 6.58

  • D A Estrela Amadora 2–2 xG 1.54–1.14 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 0–0 xG 0.37–0.31 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–1 xG 1.03–1.64 PRT PL
  • L H Marítimo 1–2 xG 0.81–1.25 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 1–1 xG 1.3–0.89 PRT PL

Sporting CP

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 4 · xG 8.3–3.39 · xPts 9.99

  • W H Galatasaray 3–1 xG 1.38–1.33 UEFA CL
  • W H Nacional 2–0 xG 2.69–0.07 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 4–0 xG 1.36–0.53 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 3–1 xG 1.73–0.45 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 3–2 xG 1.13–1.01 PRT PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

20.4%Famalicão P 15%25.9%Draw P 23%53.7%Sporting CP P 62%

Over / under 2.5

43.5%Over 2.5 P 53%56.5%Under 2.5 P 47%

Both teams to score

45.7%Yes54.3%No

Expected

Famalicão goals
0.86 (0–2)
Sporting CP goals
1.56 (0–3)
Corners
9.15 (5–14)
Cards
4.35 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 20.4% / 25.9% / 53.7%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

20.5%Famalicão27.1%Draw52.4%Sporting CP

Over / under 2.5

44.1%Over 2.555.9%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

46.0%Yes54.0%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.350.878
ou_2_5under0.5720.379
bttsyes0.7820.589

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 15 matches since 2019

Famalicão 24 draws9 Sporting CP

Goals 14–24 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Famalicão 01 draws9 Sporting CP

Goals 5–18 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 01 draws4 Sporting CP

Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Famalicão 1–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 3–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 6Famalicão at home · 3Sporting CP all · 6Sporting CP away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.672.33
W / D / L0 / 4 / 24 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match0.832.50
Goals against / match1.171.00
Clean sheets17%33%
Failed to score33%0%
Both teams scored67%67%
Over 2.533%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.891.95
xG against / match1.250.56
xG difference-0.361.39
Finishing vs xG-0.060.55
xPts / match1.142.25
Points vs xPts-0.470.09
Game state
Scored first50%100%
PPG when scoring first0.672.33
PPG when conceding first0.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held0%67%
Minutes leading20%66%
Minutes level64%34%
Minutes trailing16%0%
First goal (min)3329
First goal conceded (min)5179
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half71%100%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.17
Late goals against0.330.50
Style
Possession55%63%
Shots9.214.0
On target2.86.3
Shot conversion9%18%
Shots inside box47%67%
Big chances created1.64.0
Corners5.85.2
xG from set plays32%21%
Goals from headers25%0%
Pressure index10.616.4
Dominant minutes49.062.5
Pass accuracy85%90%
Fouls12.011.5
Cards2.171.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'20
16–30'02
31–45'10
46–60'01
61–75'02
76–90'22

Sporting CP

0–15'30
16–30'30
31–45'30
46–60'50
61–75'03
76–90'13

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%0.670.831.170.891.25

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.332.51.01.950.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -6.1 pts at 20m · late move: away -6.1 pts inside the final hour

6.29Home 15% ▼ -5.7 ptsopened 4.514.25Draw 23% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 4.461.55Away 62% ▲ +4.3 ptsopened 1.64
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle6.29 ▼ -5.74.25 ▲ +1.41.55 ▲ +4.310m
bet3656.25 ▼ -1.94.1 ▼ -1.51.53 ▲ +3.410m
Betfair6.0 ▼ -4.14.1 · -0.61.5 ▲ +4.610m
BetVictor5.75 ▼ -2.53.9 · -0.81.5 ▲ +3.310m
Coral5.75 ▼ -3.14.2 · -1.01.55 ▲ +4.110m
Ladbrokes5.75 ▼ -3.14.2 · -1.01.55 ▲ +4.110m
Unibet5.75 ▼ -5.04.4 ▼ -1.61.5 ▲ +6.610m
WilliamHill5.5 ▼ -3.34.0 · -0.01.53 ▲ +3.310m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.25Home 15% P 15%4.1Draw 23% P 23%1.53Away 62% P 62%

Double Chance

2.62Famalicao or Draw 18%1.2Famalicao or Sporting 39%1.1Draw or Sporting 43%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.07Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%16%15%-1.7
Draw23%23%20%-3.0
Away62%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.9+0.50
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3664
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-08 30 220 11'5
2026-09-05 50 231 40'10
2026-08-30 40 320 61'6
2026-08-13 80 250 5'6
2026-08-09 40 232 8'11
2026-08-06 60 200 3'15
2026-05-16 · Sporting CP 10 270 63'6
2026-05-11 30 270 22'9
2026-04-26 80 260 27'7
2026-04-12 40 280 30'9