Rating 6.9 (70th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– Casa PiaPorto –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Casa Pia | at home | Stat | league | away | Porto |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 55.8 #4 |
| 10.2 #13 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 15.2 #3 |
| 2.7 #17 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 6.0 #3 |
| 4.2 #8 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 7.5 #2 |
| 11.5 #14 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 13.2 #8 |
| 1.0 #10 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 2.5 #2 |
| 16.5 #8 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 13.8 #16 |
| 91.7 #8 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 98.3 #7 |
| 44.5 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 47.8 #5 |
| 346.0 #17 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 443.0 #7 |
| 2.0 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| – | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.8 #2 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #12 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #18 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.4 #2 |
| -0.6 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #10 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #13 |
| 0.2 #18 | 0.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.5 #2 |
| 2.5 #1 | 4.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 #18 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 9.7 #5 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.7 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #14 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.5 #1 |
| 6.6 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #2 |
| 1.7 #15 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 4.2 #4 |
| 6.0 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 10.5 #3 |
| 5.8 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.7 #7 |
| – #16 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Casa Pia · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.02 (73th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Rating 6.57 (8th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Porto · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.67 (98th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (40% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 7.17 (95th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (27% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Absences
Porto
- injury Oskar Pietuszewski attacker · Muscle Injury · 6 missed
- injury Vasco Sousa midfielder · Broken Fibula · 42 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
- Capacity
- 7,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 4,110
Teams
- Coaches
- Filipe Emanuel Curto Coelho · Francesco Farioli
- Position
- 18 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
José Armando Torres Bessa
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 28.6° (feels 28.1°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 39%
Where to watch · 66
Andorra
DAZN Spain
Angola
Sport TV Africa · ZAP
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DGO · DIRECTV Sports Argentina
Armenia
Q Arena
Azerbaijan
Q Arena
Belarus
Q Arena
Canada
beIN Sports Canada · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Fanatiz · fuboTV Canada
Cape Verde
Sport TV Africa · ZAP
Chile
DGO · DIRECTV Sports Chile
Colombia
DGO · DIRECTV Sports Colombia
Costa Rica
Claro Sports 2
Cyprus
Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark
Bold+
Ecuador
DGO · DIRECTV Sports Ecuador
El Salvador
Claro Sports 2
France
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports MAX 6 · myCANAL
Georgia
Q Arena
Greece
Cosmote Sport 2 · MagentaSport 2
Guatemala
Claro Sports 2
Honduras
Claro Sports 2
Israel
Sport 4
Italy
DAZN Italia
Japan
DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan
Q Arena
Kuwait
SHASHA
Mexico
Claro Sports 2
Moldova
Q Arena
Peru
DGO · DIRECTV Sports Peru
Portugal
Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
San Marino
DAZN Italia
Slovakia
Arena Sport 2 Slovakia
Spain
DAZN
Turkey
beIN CONNECT Turkey · beIN Sports 5 Turkey · Digiturk Play · TOD
Turkmenistan
Q Arena
Ukraine
Megogo · MEGOGO Football 4
United States
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports USA · fuboTV
Uruguay
DGO · DIRECTV Sports Uruguay
Uzbekistan
Q Arena
Venezuela
DGO · DIRECTV Sports Venezuela · inter
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Casa Pia
LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 0 GA 11 · xG 2.7–8.3 · xPts 3.52
- D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0–0
xG 0.25–2.45
PRT PL
- L
H
Moreirense
0–1
xG 0.88–0.58
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.8–1.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
0–7
xG 0.26–2.4
PRT PL
- L
A
Marítimo
0–1
xG 0.5–1.21
PRT PL
DLLLLD 0W 2D 4L · 2 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 1 GA 12 · xG 5.14–8.8 · xPts 6.07
- D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0–0
xG 0.25–2.45
PRT PL
- L
H
Moreirense
0–1
xG 0.88–0.58
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.8–1.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
0–7
xG 0.26–2.4
PRT PL
- L
A
Marítimo
0–1
xG 0.5–1.21
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 2.44–0.5
PRT PL
Porto
WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 9.41–5.62 · xPts 8.95
- L
H
Manchester City
0–2
xG 0.3–2.27
UEFA CL - W
H
Moreirense
2–1
xG 3.26–0.81
PRT PL
- W
A
Academico Viseu
3–0
xG 1.14–1.32
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
2–0
xG 2.72–0.45
PRT PL
- W
A
Rio Ave
2–0
xG 1.99–0.78
PRT PL
WWWWWWL 6W 0D 1L · 18 pts (2.57 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 12.9–7.81 · xPts 12.55
- L
H
Manchester City
0–2
xG 0.3–2.27
UEFA CL
- W
H
Moreirense
2–1
xG 3.26–0.81
PRT PL
- W
A
Academico Viseu
3–0
xG 1.14–1.32
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
2–0
xG 2.72–0.45
PRT PL
- W
A
Rio Ave
2–0
xG 1.99–0.78
PRT PL
- W
H
Alverca
2–0
xG 2.45–1.6
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 1.04–0.58
PRT PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
10.2%Casa Pia P 6%20.7%Draw P 13%69.1%Porto P 81%
Over / under 2.5
45.4%Over 2.5 P 60%54.6%Under 2.5 P 40%
Both teams to score
37.7%Yes62.3%No
Expected
- Casa Pia goals
- 0.58 (0–2)
- Porto goals
- 1.91 (0–4)
- Corners
- 9.33 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.74 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 10.2% / 20.7% / 69.1%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
8.6%Casa Pia18.2%Draw73.2%Porto
Over / under 2.5
48.6%Over 2.551.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
37.3%Yes62.7%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.369 | 0.148 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.789 | 0.596 |
| btts | yes | 0.977 | 0.777 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 9 matches since 2023
Goals 6–19 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 6–19 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Casa Pia 1–4 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Casa Pia 2–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 4–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Casa Pia 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Casa Pia 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 3–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 2–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Casa Pia 0–0 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Casa Pia all · 6 | Casa Pia at home · 3 | Porto all · 6 | Porto away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.17 | – | 3.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 0 / 1 / 5 | – | 6 / 0 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.17 | – | 2.50 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.50 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 67% | – |
| Failed to score | 83% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.73 | – | 2.38 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.84 | – | 1.10 | – |
| xG difference | -1.11 | – | 1.28 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.56 | – | 0.12 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.73 | – | 2.09 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.56 | – | 0.91 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 0% | – | 61% | – |
| Minutes level | 47% | – | 35% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 52% | – | 4% | – |
| First goal (min) | 43 | – | 29 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | – | 32 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 0% | – | 47% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | – | 0% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 56% | – |
| Shots | 10.2 | – | 15.3 | – |
| On target | 2.7 | – | 6.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 2% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 59% | – | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.2 | – | 4.2 | – |
| Corners | 4.2 | – | 7.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 40% | – | 41% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 21% | – |
| Pressure index | 13.1 | – | 19.2 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 44.8 | – | 61.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | – | 84% | – |
| Fouls | 11.5 | – | 13.2 | – |
| Cards | 2.50 | – | 0.67 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Casa Pia
0–15'02
16–30'02
31–45'12
46–60'05
61–75'03
76–90'01
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'11
31–45'41
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'30
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Casa Pia · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654
Game state
When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075
Situations
At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265
Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37
Porto · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717
Game state
When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616
Situations
At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016
Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.0 | 0.76 | 2.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 100% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.33 | 2.38 | 1.1 |
| Metric | Casa Pia all · 10 | Casa Pia at home · 10 | Porto all · 10 | Porto away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.70 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 7 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 8 / 0 / 2 | 7 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 0.40 | 0.70 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% | 30% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.93 | 1.18 | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.34 | 1.09 | 1.20 |
| xG difference | -0.69 | -0.16 | 0.87 | 0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.53 | -0.48 | -0.16 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.31 | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.45 | -0.61 | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 0.67 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 29% | 50% | 50% |
| Leads held | 33% | 25% | 100% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 3% | 11% | 45% | 56% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 58% | 42% | 27% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 31% | 14% | 17% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 43 | 37 | 27 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 41 | 33 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 14% | 50% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 63% | 57% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 38% | 55% | 48% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 9.9 | 14.4 | 13.7 |
| On target | 3.1 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 69% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 47% | 43% | 32% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 17% | 29% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 11.9 | 11.4 | 16.3 | 13.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.1 | 46.3 | 56.6 | 51.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 69% | 84% | 80% |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 16.6 | 12.7 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 3.10 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Casa Pia
0–15'02
16–30'02
31–45'33
46–60'06
61–75'05
76–90'11
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'12
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'30
76–90'32
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.0 | 0.76 | 2.04 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.96 | 1.09 |
| Metric | Casa Pia all · 35 | Casa Pia at home · 18 | Porto all · 48 | Porto away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 48 | 24 |
| Points per game | 0.71 | 0.83 | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 13 / 18 | 2 / 9 / 7 | 36 / 7 / 5 | 17 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.06 | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | 1.89 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 11% | 50% | 46% |
| Failed to score | 49% | 39% | 8% | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 61% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 39% | 50% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.93 | 1.02 | 1.85 | 1.77 |
| xG against / match | 1.61 | 1.52 | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | 0.99 | 0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | 0.04 | -0.04 | 0.02 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.08 | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.25 | -0.25 | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 33% | 73% | 62% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.77 | 2.87 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.70 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 42% | 58% | 56% |
| Leads held | 33% | 25% | 90% | 94% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 45% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 57% | 43% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 24% | 12% | 20% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 40 | 36 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 44 | 43 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 37% | 52% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 68% | 58% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 41% | 54% | 55% |
| Shots | 9.1 | 8.7 | 14.2 | 14.1 |
| On target | 2.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 62% | 66% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 5.8 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 44% | 32% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 22% | 14% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 8.2 | 9.8 | 20.0 | 18.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.0 | 43.4 | 61.4 | 61.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 71% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 15.3 | 16.6 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 2.80 | 3.28 | 2.19 | 2.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Casa Pia
0–15'49
16–30'33
31–45'813
46–60'314
61–75'413
76–90'612
Porto
0–15'145
16–30'114
31–45'174
46–60'147
61–75'142
76–90'179
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Casa Pia · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1635
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1535
Late push (76+, level)-0.2415
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0618
Game state
When ahead-0.3112
When level-0.1635
When behind-0.1125
10 min after conceding-0.2929
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.232
Against ten men-0.652
At home-0.1318
Away-0.2017
4+ days rest-0.1635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.388
v mid-tier opponents-0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents-0.059
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched-0.0510
As underdog-0.2422
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2935
Conceded when ahead+0.3012
Conceded late (76+)+0.0332
Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.05
Porto · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4748
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076
Game state
When ahead+0.4439
When level+0.4947
When behind+0.5012
10 min after conceding+0.2622
10 min after scoring+0.9043
Situations
With ten men+0.404
Against ten men+0.616
At home+0.4124
Away+0.5424
3 days rest or fewer+0.249
4+ days rest+0.5339
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1711
v mid-tier opponents+0.517
v bottom-tier opponents+0.7216
As favourite+0.6140
Evenly matched-0.065
As underdog-0.323
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1348
Conceded when ahead-0.0539
Conceded late (76+)-0.2743
Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.01
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 20 57% | 0.9 | 1.05 | 1.75 | 1.02 | 1.56 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 14% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.83 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 48 100% | 2.4 | 1.81 | 0.65 | 1.85 | 0.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.2 pts at 12.0h
15.03Home 6% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 10.87.35Draw 13% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 5.71.19Away 81% ▲ +6.0 ptsopened 1.27
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 15.03 ▼ -2.4 | 7.35 ▼ -3.6 | 1.19 ▲ +6.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 11.0 ▲ +2.4 | 7.0 ▼ -1.3 | 1.2 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 15.0 · -1.0 | 7.0 ▼ -3.6 | 1.15 ▲ +4.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 15.0 ▼ -1.8 | 6.0 ▼ -2.0 | 1.17 ▲ +3.8 | 10m |
| Coral | 13.0 ▼ -1.3 | 7.0 ▼ -3.7 | 1.2 ▲ +5.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 13.0 ▼ -1.3 | 7.0 ▼ -3.7 | 1.2 ▲ +5.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 13.0 ▼ -1.3 | 5.75 ▼ -2.1 | 1.23 ▲ +3.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 13.0 ▼ -1.3 | 7.0 ▼ -3.6 | 1.18 ▲ +4.8 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +7.4 pts at 4.5d
2.25Yes 41% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 2.51.57No 59% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 1.5
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.25 ▲ +3.6 | 1.57 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.38 ▲ +2.1 | 1.53 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 · +0.0 | 1.53 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.43 · -0.8 | 1.48 · +0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▼ -2.4 | 1.57 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.8 pts at 8.0h
1.59Over 60% ▲ +5.7 ptsopened 1.772.35Under 40% ▼ -5.7 ptsopened 2.07
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.59 ▲ +5.7 | 2.35 ▼ -5.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.6 ▲ +6.3 | 2.3 ▼ -6.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +4.6 | 2.3 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.55 ▲ +5.7 | 2.24 ▼ -5.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.72 ▲ +2.6 | 1.96 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
11.0Home 9% P 6%7.0Draw 13% P 13%1.2Away 78% P 81%
Double Chance
4.33Casa Pia or Draw 11%1.1Casa Pia or FC Porto 43%1.05Draw or FC Porto 46%
Draw No Bet
10.01 10%1.062 90%
Both Teams To Score
2.25Yes 41%1.57No 59%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.6Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 5–7.5% · away 80–82.5% · 103 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6% | 6% | 8% | +1.4 |
| Draw | 13% | 12% | 10% | -2.8 |
| Away | 81% | 81% | 83% | +1.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
José Armando Torres Bessa
- Career
- 32 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.13 (5.78 yellow · 0.19 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.8 · 4.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 32 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.22 | 5.66 | +0.74 | 76 |
| Fouls / match | 26.8 | 27.9 | -0.55 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.3 | 4.9 | -0.95 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.37 | -0.33 | 36 |
| Time added | 7.9 | 7.7 | +0.36 | 67 |
- First card
- 24' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 14' | 15 |
| 2026-08-09 | 6 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2026-03-14 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 22' | 10 |
| 2026-03-01 | 6 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 15' | 5 |
| 2026-02-15 · Porto | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2026-01-31 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 10' | 8 |
| 2025-12-28 | 7 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 40' | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 | 12 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 7' | 8 |
| 2025-11-09 · Porto | 7 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 22' | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 20' | 5 |