Rating 7.29 (94th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (29% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– SCBEstoril –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Sporting Braga | at home | Stat | league | away | Estoril |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.4 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 44.8 #13 |
| 13.4 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 12.5 #9 |
| 5.0 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 3.8 #10 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.5 #6 |
| 13.8 #5 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.0 #13 |
| 3.0 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 0.5 #16 |
| 13.8 #17 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 17.2 #5 |
| 124.0 #2 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 87.7 #10 |
| 53.6 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 33.0 #13 |
| 602.4 #1 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 401.8 #10 |
| 1.8 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.2 #7 |
| 1.2 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| – #6 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #12 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #9 |
| – #8 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #3 |
| 1.4 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.8 #15 |
| 0.0 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.5 #15 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #2 |
| 1.4 #6 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 #17 |
| 1.0 #12 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 #9 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | – |
| 9.2 #7 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 11.2 #2 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #2 |
| 6.9 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 3.6 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 3.3 #7 |
| 8.6 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 7.7 #9 |
| 4.8 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 4.8 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #4 |
| – #5 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Sporting Braga · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.03 (64th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (57% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.95 · G+A 0 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Estoril · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.93 (50th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (100% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (55th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (81th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Sporting Braga
- injury Sikou Niakaté defender · Achilles tendon rupture · 24 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
- Capacity
- 30,286
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 9,585
Teams
- Coaches
- Carlos Vicens · Vasco Matos
- Position
- 8 · 17
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 24.4° (feels 24.4°)
- Wind
- 0.4
- Humidity
- 59%
Where to watch · 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Sporting Braga
WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.23–3.39 · xPts 8.88
- L
A
Estrela Amadora
1–2
xG 0.72–0.68
PRT PL
- W
A
Alverca
2–1
xG 2.11–1.17
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
1–0
xG 0.77–0.19
PRT PL
- D
A
Austria Wien
0–0
xG 0.45–0.75
UEFA ECL - W
H
Austria Wien
2–0
xG 3.18–0.59
UEFA ECL
WWWDDWDWWL 6W 3D 1L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 8.35–3.63 · xPts 10.98
- L
A
Estrela Amadora
1–2
xG 0.72–0.68
PRT PL
- W
A
Alverca
2–1
xG 2.11–1.17
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
1–0
xG 0.77–0.19
PRT PL
- D
A
Austria Wien
0–0
xG 0.45–0.75
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Austria Wien
2–0
xG 3.18–0.59
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Dinamo Minsk
0–0
UEFA ECL - D
A
Moreirense
2–2
xG 1.12–0.24
PRT PL
- W
H
Dinamo Minsk
1–0
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Železničar Pančevo
4–0
UEFA ECL - W
A
Železničar Pančevo
1–0
UEFA ECL
Estoril
DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 4.24–7.04 · xPts 5.05
- D
H
Arouca
0–0
xG 0.72–1.0
PRT PL
- L
A
Benfica
1–2
xG 0.34–1.96
PRT PL
- L
H
Rio Ave
0–2
xG 1.56–0.7
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.74–2.08
PRT PL
- D
H
Famalicão
1–1
xG 0.89–1.3
PRT PL
DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 4.24–7.04 · xPts 5.05
- D
H
Arouca
0–0
xG 0.72–1.0
PRT PL
- L
A
Benfica
1–2
xG 0.34–1.96
PRT PL
- L
H
Rio Ave
0–2
xG 1.56–0.7
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.74–2.08
PRT PL
- D
H
Famalicão
1–1
xG 0.89–1.3
PRT PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
65.4%Sporting Braga P 68%21.5%Draw P 21%13.0%Estoril P 11%
Over / under 2.5
48.7%Over 2.5 P 56%51.3%Under 2.5 P 44%
Both teams to score
43.7%Yes56.3%No
Expected
- Sporting Braga goals
- 1.91 (0–4)
- Estoril goals
- 0.71 (0–2)
- Corners
- 8.23 (4–12)
- Cards
- 4.68 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 65.4% / 21.5% / 13.0%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
62.9%Sporting Braga22.7%Draw14.4%Estoril
Over / under 2.5
47.5%Over 2.552.5%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
44.2%Yes55.8%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.424 | 0.183 |
| btts | no | 0.574 | 0.381 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.667 | 0.474 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 23 matches since 2012
Goals 48–16 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 48%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- W Sporting Braga 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Sporting Braga 1–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estoril 1–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estoril 0–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Sporting Braga 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estoril 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Sporting Braga 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Sporting Braga 4–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estoril 0–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estoril 0–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Sporting Braga all · 5 | Sporting Braga at home · 2 | Estoril all · 6 | Estoril away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 5 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | 0.33 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 1 | – | 0 / 2 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Clean sheets | 40% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 67% | – |
| Both teams scored | 60% | – | 33% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | – | 17% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.36 | – | 0.83 | – |
| xG against / match | 0.61 | – | 1.52 | – |
| xG difference | 0.76 | – | -0.69 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | – | -0.50 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.90 | – | 0.93 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.10 | – | -0.60 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | – | 0% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.75 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | – | 0.20 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 20% | – |
| Leads held | 60% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 26% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes level | 62% | – | 64% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | – | 36% | – |
| First goal (min) | 45 | – | 77 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | – | 48 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 71% | – | 100% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 62% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | – | 45% | – |
| Shots | 13.4 | – | 12.5 | – |
| On target | 5.0 | – | 4.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | – | 3% | – |
| Shots inside box | 63% | – | 61% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | – | 1.0 | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | 4.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 23% | – | 22% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | – | 9.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 64.6 | – | 40.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 80% | – |
| Fouls | 13.2 | – | 12.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.80 | – | 3.17 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sporting Braga
0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'21
61–75'10
76–90'21
Estoril
0–15'01
16–30'00
31–45'02
46–60'01
61–75'12
76–90'12
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sporting Braga · 11 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085
Game state
When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239
Situations
At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23
Estoril · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164
Game state
When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222
Situations
With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176
Behind vs level -0.19
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 80% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 0.19 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 83% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.34 | 1.96 |
| Metric | Sporting Braga all · 10 | Sporting Braga at home · 10 | Estoril all · 10 | Estoril away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 0 / 4 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 0.50 | 0.60 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 60% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.72 | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| xG against / match | 0.62 | 0.73 | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 0.99 | -0.65 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | -0.39 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.89 | 1.94 | 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | 0.31 | -0.57 | -0.39 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 90% | 0% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.56 | – | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | 33% | 22% |
| Leads held | 75% | 70% | – | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 35% | 0% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 61% | 61% | 55% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 6% | 4% | 45% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 37 | 74 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | 35 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 53% | 100% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | 50% | 43% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 61% | 48% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 11.8 | 12.1 | 9.2 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 4% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 59% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 45% | 16% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 16.8 | 16.9 | 10.2 | 8.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 63.8 | 61.7 | 43.3 | 40.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sporting Braga
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'20
76–90'41
Estoril
0–15'04
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'12
61–75'12
76–90'32
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.0 | – | – |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.63 | 1.24 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 3.44 |
| Metric | Sporting Braga all · 54 | Sporting Braga at home · 26 | Estoril all · 35 | Estoril away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 26 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.19 | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| W / D / L | 29 / 15 / 10 | 17 / 6 / 3 | 9 / 9 / 17 | 4 / 3 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 0.93 | 0.81 | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| Clean sheets | 46% | 54% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 4% | 37% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 42% | 51% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 54% | 54% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.62 | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| xG against / match | 1.02 | 0.83 | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 0.79 | -0.46 | -0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.68 | 1.86 | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.26 | -0.05 | -0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 85% | 26% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.45 | 2.11 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.63 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 57% | 37% | 21% |
| Leads held | 67% | 71% | 69% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 44% | 17% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 46% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 40% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 32 | 39 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 28 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 46% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 57% | 42% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 59% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 69% | 64% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 43% | 32% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 9% | 15% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 17.7 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 61.5 | 44.8 | 42.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 11.8 | 12.8 | 13.3 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.08 | 2.46 | 2.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sporting Braga
0–15'154
16–30'189
31–45'1311
46–60'137
61–75'1310
76–90'209
Estoril
0–15'516
16–30'67
31–45'1010
46–60'107
61–75'89
76–90'98
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sporting Braga · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3054
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2454
Late push (76+, level)+0.1325
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5013
Game state
When ahead+0.1143
When level+0.4354
When behind+0.3019
10 min after conceding+0.1229
10 min after scoring+0.5048
Situations
With ten men+0.356
Against ten men+0.395
At home+0.1726
Away+0.4228
3 days rest or fewer+0.068
4+ days rest+0.3446
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1210
v mid-tier opponents+0.269
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4815
As favourite+0.3839
Evenly matched+0.087
As underdog+0.158
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1443
Conceded late (76+)-0.2149
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level -0.13
Estoril · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.0611
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918
Game state
When ahead-0.0713
When level-0.0135
When behind-0.0927
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.3122
Situations
With ten men+0.083
Against ten men-0.473
At home+0.0117
Away-0.1118
4+ days rest-0.0535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.067
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713
As favourite+0.088
Evenly matched+0.0113
As underdog-0.1814
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0935
Conceded when ahead+0.0813
Conceded late (76+)-0.0831
Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 50% | 1.7 | 1.74 | 1.0 | 1.47 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 14 26% | 2.29 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.86 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 13% | 1.14 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.27 | 0.47 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.68 | 1.2 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 17% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.17 | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 14% | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 5 14% | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.12 | 2.41 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 1.61 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.0d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 10.8h · late move: home -2.6 pts inside the final hour
1.41Home 68% ▲ +3.4 ptsopened 1.444.63Draw 21% · -0.0 ptsopened 4.498.82Away 11% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 6.56
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.41 ▲ +3.4 | 4.63 · -0.0 | 8.82 ▼ -3.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +5.2 | 4.33 ▼ -1.5 | 8.0 ▼ -3.7 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.36 ▲ +6.5 | 4.6 ▼ -1.2 | 8.0 ▼ -5.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.36 ▲ +6.4 | 4.4 ▼ -2.0 | 7.5 ▼ -4.4 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.4 ▲ +6.6 | 4.8 ▼ -2.8 | 7.5 ▼ -3.8 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.4 ▲ +6.6 | 4.8 ▼ -2.8 | 7.5 ▼ -3.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.52 · +0.0 | 4.1 · +0.0 | 6.1 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.35 ▲ +8.1 | 4.6 ▼ -4.2 | 8.0 ▼ -3.8 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 8.8h
1.95Yes 48% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 1.81.8No 52% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -4.0 | 1.8 ▲ +4.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · -0.4 | 1.87 · +0.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.9 ▼ -4.1 | 1.8 ▲ +4.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.84 · +0.0 | 1.83 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 ▼ -6.2 | 1.8 ▲ +6.2 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.9d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.7 pts at 35m · late move: over -1.5 pts inside the final hour
1.74Over 56% · +0.3 ptsopened 1.722.19Under 44% · -0.3 ptsopened 2.14
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 · +0.3 | 2.19 · -0.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.7 | 2.15 ▼ -2.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.04 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.94 · +0.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.4Home 67% P 68%4.33Draw 22% P 21%8.0Away 12% P 11%
Double Chance
1.08Braga or Draw 44%1.18Braga or Estoril 40%3.0Draw or Estoril 16%
Draw No Bet
1.11 86%7.02 14%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.7Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 68% | 69% | 72% | +3.5 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 18% | -1.5 |
| Away | 11% | 11% | 9% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
- Career
- 50 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.23 | 5.66 | +0.75 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 29.9 | 27.9 | +1.04 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 4.9 | -0.36 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.19 | 0.37 | -1.22 | 9 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 7.7 | +0.60 | 76 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 36' | 5 |
| 2026-08-14 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 24' | 8 |
| 2026-08-09 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 15' | 7 |
| 2026-07-23 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 25' | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | 5 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 38' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 8 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 28' | 8 |
| 2026-04-19 · Sporting Braga | 7 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 50' | 8 |
| 2026-04-11 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-03-08 | 5 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 6' | 10 |
| 2026-02-22 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 90' | 7 |