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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

AroucaSanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,558

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · Petit
Position
5 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
26.7° (feels 26.6°)
Wind
0.3
Humidity
38%

Where to watch · 1

  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 4.83–7.53 · xPts 5.72

  • D A Estoril 0–0 xG 1.0–0.72 PRT PL
  • W H Marítimo 2–1 xG 1.35–0.98 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.45–2.72 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 4–0 xG 1.72–0.74 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 0.31–2.38 PRT PL

Santa Clara

DWWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 7.89–4.05 · xPts 9.58

  • W H Rio Ave 4–0 xG 2.03–0.67 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 1.3–0.39 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 1.64–1.03 PRT PL
  • W A Academico Viseu 1–0 xG 1.41–0.72 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 2–2 xG 1.5–1.25 PRT PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

33.7%Arouca P 36%29.3%Draw P 32%37.0%Santa Clara P 32%

Over / under 2.5

38.9%Over 2.5 P 43%61.1%Under 2.5 P 57%

Both teams to score

45.7%Yes54.3%No

Expected

Arouca goals
1.09 (0–2)
Santa Clara goals
1.16 (0–3)
Corners
8.46 (5–13)
Cards
5.44 (2–9)

Earlier: day before — 33.7% / 29.3% / 37.0%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

39.2%Arouca28.6%Draw32.2%Santa Clara

Over / under 2.5

44.3%Over 2.555.7%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

50.2%Yes49.8%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2away0.9940.596
ou_2_5over0.9440.746
bttsyes0.7830.589

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 9 matches since 2021

Arouca 33 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 9–10 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Arouca 33 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 9–10 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 12 draws2 Santa Clara

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 6Arouca at home · 3Santa Clara all · 6Santa Clara away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.672.33
W / D / L3 / 1 / 24 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match1.331.83
Goals against / match0.830.67
Clean sheets50%50%
Failed to score33%0%
Both teams scored33%50%
Over 2.550%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.971.54
xG against / match1.480.84
xG difference-0.510.70
Finishing vs xG0.360.29
xPts / match1.141.87
Points vs xPts0.530.47
Game state
Scored first33%83%
PPG when scoring first3.002.60
PPG when conceding first1.001.00
Came back from behind33%100%
Leads held100%80%
Minutes leading26%60%
Minutes level54%36%
Minutes trailing20%3%
First goal (min)4228
First goal conceded (min)3950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.33
Late goals against0.170.00
Style
Possession52%45%
Shots10.213.7
On target3.74.2
Shot conversion13%13%
Shots inside box59%67%
Big chances created2.02.7
Corners3.03.5
xG from set plays10%22%
Goals from headers38%9%
Pressure index9.710.7
Dominant minutes42.545.5
Pass accuracy85%78%
Fouls9.513.2
Cards2.672.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'00
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'01
76–90'11

Santa Clara

0–15'20
16–30'40
31–45'12
46–60'21
61–75'01
76–90'20

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.671.330.830.971.48

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%2.01.250.751.460.85
4-3-32 33%3.03.00.51.70.84

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: draw +2.1 pts at 2.4d

2.68Home 36% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 2.823.07Draw 32% · +0.9 ptsopened 3.112.99Away 32% ▼ -3.2 ptsopened 2.68
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.68 ▲ +2.33.07 · +0.92.99 ▼ -3.210m
bet3652.62 ▲ +1.43.1 · +0.32.87 ▼ -1.710m
Betfair2.63 ▲ +1.03.0 ▲ +2.02.88 ▼ -3.010m
BetVictor2.45 ▲ +2.73.1 · -0.92.75 ▼ -1.810m
Coral2.5 ▲ +1.73.2 · +0.42.87 ▼ -2.110m
Ladbrokes2.5 ▲ +1.53.2 · -0.12.8 ▼ -1.410m
Unibet2.63 · +0.03.1 · +0.02.75 · +0.010m
WilliamHill2.5 ▲ +2.22.9 · +0.62.8 ▼ -2.810m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 36%3.1Draw 31% P 32%2.87Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4FC Arouca or Draw 34%1.36FC Arouca or Santa Clara 35%1.5Draw or Santa Clara 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.65Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 30–32.5% · 302 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%37%38%+1.6
Draw32%32%31%-0.7
Away32%32%31%-0.8

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira

Career
81 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
5.52 (5.17 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
30.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.565.66-0.1039
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.19
Fouls per card5.34.9+0.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.560.37+1.4194
Time added7.87.7+0.2564
First card
30' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 50 181 29'8