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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

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Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
Capacity
6,912
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,093

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Nogueira Pinheiro · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
Position
11 · 12
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.2° (feels 20.7°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
48%

Where to watch · 2

  • Portugal Sport TV 2 · Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Academico Viseu

DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.62–9.74 · xPts 4.14

  • W A Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.33–2.41 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 1.32–1.14 PRT PL
  • D A Marítimo 2–2 xG 1.28–1.52 PRT PL
  • L H Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.72–1.41 PRT PL
  • D A Benfica 2–2 xG 0.97–3.27 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 8.84–3.1 · xPts 9.88

  • D H Casa Pia 0–0 xG 2.45–0.25 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.19–0.77 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 2.81–0.63 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 2–3 xG 1.01–1.13 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–1 xG 2.38–0.31 PRT PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed · · thin data — probabilities rounded to 5%

Match result

35%Academico Viseu P 25%30%Draw P 29%35%Vitória Guimarães P 46%

Over / under 2.5

45%Over 2.5 P 44%55%Under 2.5 P 56%

Both teams to score

50%Yes50%No

Expected

Academico Viseu goals
1.21 (0–3)
Vitória Guimarães goals
1.24 (0–3)
Corners
7.37 (4–11)
Cards
5.18 (2–9)

Earlier: day before — 35% / 30% / 35%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

38.9%Academico Viseu26.9%Draw34.2%Vitória Guimarães

Over / under 2.5

51.6%Over 2.548.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.4%Yes44.6%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home1.0390.63
ou_2_5over0.8150.622
bttsyes0.6920.499

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Academico Viseu 10 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Academico Viseu 10 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Academico Viseu 10 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAcademico Viseu all · 6Academico Viseu at home · 3Vitória Guimarães all · 6Vitória Guimarães away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.330.67
W / D / L2 / 2 / 21 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match1.170.67
Goals against / match1.501.17
Clean sheets17%33%
Failed to score33%50%
Both teams scored50%33%
Over 2.567%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.83
xG against / match1.980.87
xG difference-0.860.96
Finishing vs xG0.04-1.16
xPts / match0.921.88
Points vs xPts0.41-1.21
Game state
Scored first50%17%
PPG when scoring first2.333.00
PPG when conceding first0.330.00
Came back from behind33%0%
Leads held67%100%
Minutes leading30%16%
Minutes level30%58%
Minutes trailing40%26%
First goal (min)3446
First goal conceded (min)3348
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%75%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.00
Late goals against0.170.33
Style
Possession48%52%
Shots9.519.7
On target3.04.7
Shot conversion12%3%
Shots inside box67%58%
Big chances created1.72.7
Corners2.86.2
xG from set plays33%27%
Goals from headers29%25%
Pressure index7.715.9
Dominant minutes39.562.7
Pass accuracy82%81%
Fouls13.315.3
Cards2.832.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Academico Viseu

0–15'13
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'12
76–90'11

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'02
61–75'30
76–90'02

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Academico Viseu · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.186
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.523

Game state

When ahead-0.313
When level-0.286
When behind+0.053
10 min after conceding-0.215
10 min after scoring+0.244

Situations

At home-0.013
Away-0.323
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.233
Evenly matched-0.262
As underdog-0.144

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.396
Conceded when ahead+0.873
Conceded late (76+)+0.345

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.33

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Academico Viseu

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 50%0.671.332.331.191.97
4-1-4-12 33%3.01.50.51.242.28
4-2-3-11 17%0.00.01.00.721.41

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%0.670.671.171.830.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.3 pts at 10m

3.92Home 25% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 3.633.28Draw 29% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.282.11Away 46% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 2.13
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.92 ▼ -1.63.28 · +0.42.11 ▲ +1.110m
bet3653.8 ▼ -5.23.3 · -0.52.0 ▲ +5.710m
Betfair3.8 ▼ -3.23.1 ▲ +1.52.0 ▲ +1.710m
BetVictor3.4 ▼ -1.23.2 · +0.12.05 ▲ +1.110m
Coral3.7 ▼ -1.03.3 ▲ +1.32.1 · -0.310m
Unibet3.4 ▼ -1.33.35 · -0.42.12 ▲ +1.610m
WilliamHill3.5 · -0.83.1 · -0.12.05 · +0.910m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 25%3.3Draw 28% P 29%2.0Away 47% P 46%

Double Chance

1.8Academico Viseu or Draw 26%1.33Academico Viseu or Guimaraes 36%1.25Draw or Guimaraes 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.7Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 45–47.5% · 191 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%21%-3.2
Draw29%29%29%-0.6
Away46%46%50%+3.8

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 38%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.9+0.04
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-30 30 211 45'10
2026-08-22 20 250 68'7
2026-05-10 41 160 59'5
2026-04-26 20 301 46'6
2026-04-03 · Vitória Guimarães 20 312 47'6
2026-03-15 20 270 58'5
2026-02-14 · Vitória Guimarães 50 300 24'11
2026-02-02 10 90 23'4
2026-01-25 10 290 51'3
2025-12-28 20 190 36'4