Rating 7.25 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– VSCCasa Pia –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Vitória Guimarães | at home | Stat | league | away | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.0 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 44.5 #15 |
| 19.7 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 10.2 #13 |
| 4.7 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 2.7 #17 |
| 6.2 #3 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.2 #8 |
| 15.5 #2 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 11.5 #14 |
| 1.2 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #10 |
| 16.7 #7 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 16.5 #8 |
| 113.0 #3 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 91.7 #8 |
| 55.0 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 44.5 #8 |
| 438.7 #8 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 346.0 #17 |
| 2.7 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #11 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.7 #10 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | – |
| – #12 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #17 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #10 |
| 1.9 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.7 #17 |
| -1.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.6 #17 |
| – #4 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #1 |
| 0.7 #16 | 0.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 #18 |
| 1.2 #10 | 0.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 #1 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 10.2 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.7 #5 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #1 |
| 0.0 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #16 |
| 4.8 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 1.7 #15 |
| 12.2 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 6.0 #13 |
| 10.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.8 #3 |
| 7.5 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Vitória Guimarães · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.94 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (92th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Casa Pia · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.9 (70th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.02 (73th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Rating 6.57 (8th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Vitória Guimarães
- injury Toni Borevković defender · Unknown Injury · 15 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
- Capacity
- 30,029
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,628
Teams
- Coaches
- Tiago Carvalho Margarido · Filipe Emanuel Curto Coelho
- Position
- 13 · 18
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 24.6° (feels 24.9°)
- Wind
- 2.2
- Humidity
- 67%
Where to watch · 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Vitória Guimarães
LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 7.74–3.98 · xPts 8.71
- L
A
Sporting Braga
0–1
xG 0.19–0.77
PRT PL
- W
H
Nacional
1–0
xG 2.81–0.63
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
2–3
xG 1.01–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
0–1
xG 2.38–0.31
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 1.35–1.13
PRT PL
LLLLWL 1W 0D 5L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 9.15–4.74 · xPts 10.56
- L
A
Sporting Braga
0–1
xG 0.19–0.77
PRT PL
- W
H
Nacional
1–0
xG 2.81–0.63
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
2–3
xG 1.01–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
0–1
xG 2.38–0.31
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 1.35–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Casa Pia
0–1
xG 1.41–0.76
PRT PL
Casa Pia
DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 12 · xG 4.89–6.36 · xPts 5.88
- L
H
Moreirense
0–1
xG 0.88–0.58
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.8–1.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
0–7
xG 0.26–2.4
PRT PL
- L
A
Marítimo
0–1
xG 0.5–1.21
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 2.44–0.5
PRT PL
WDLLLL 1W 1D 4L · 4 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 2 GA 12 · xG 5.64–7.77 · xPts 6.75
- L
H
Moreirense
0–1
xG 0.88–0.58
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.8–1.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
0–7
xG 0.26–2.4
PRT PL
- L
A
Marítimo
0–1
xG 0.5–1.21
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 2.44–0.5
PRT PL
- W
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–0
xG 0.76–1.41
PRT PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 9 matches since 2022
Goals 2–5 · 0.78 per match · BTTS 11% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 2–5 · 0.78 per match · BTTS 11% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–2 · 0.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Casa Pia 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Vitória Guimarães 0–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Vitória Guimarães all · 6 | Vitória Guimarães at home · 3 | Casa Pia all · 6 | Casa Pia away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.67 | – | 0.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 4 | – | 0 / 1 / 5 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.67 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | – | 2.50 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | 83% | – |
| Both teams scored | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.83 | – | 0.73 | – |
| xG against / match | 0.87 | – | 1.84 | – |
| xG difference | 0.96 | – | -1.11 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -1.16 | – | -0.56 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.88 | – | 0.73 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -1.21 | – | -0.56 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes level | 58% | – | 47% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 52% | – |
| First goal (min) | 46 | – | 43 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | – | 31 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 75% | – | 0% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | – | 44% | – |
| Shots | 19.7 | – | 10.2 | – |
| On target | 4.7 | – | 2.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 3% | – | 2% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 59% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | – | 1.2 | – |
| Corners | 6.2 | – | 4.2 | – |
| xG from set plays | 27% | – | 40% | – |
| Goals from headers | 25% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 15.9 | – | 13.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 62.7 | – | 44.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 76% | – |
| Fouls | 15.3 | – | 11.5 | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | – | 2.50 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Vitória Guimarães
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'02
61–75'30
76–90'02
Casa Pia
0–15'02
16–30'02
31–45'12
46–60'05
61–75'03
76–90'01
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154
Game state
When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373
Situations
At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446
Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27
Casa Pia · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654
Game state
When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075
Situations
At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265
Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37
Vitória Guimarães
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.83 | 0.87 |
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.0 | 0.76 | 2.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
| Metric | Vitória Guimarães all · 10 | Vitória Guimarães at home · 10 | Casa Pia all · 10 | Casa Pia away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 7 | 1 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.60 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.86 | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.73 |
| xG difference | 0.63 | 1.17 | -0.69 | -0.97 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.92 | -0.56 | -0.53 | -0.46 |
| xPts / match | 1.74 | 2.09 | 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Points vs xPts | -1.04 | -0.40 | -0.45 | -0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 83% | 33% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 28% | 3% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 61% | 56% | 60% | 62% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 16% | 37% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 59 | 40 | 52 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | 46 | 38 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 86% | 69% | 25% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 67% | 63% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 43% | 40% |
| Shots | 17.0 | 17.5 | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 61% | 64% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 47% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 15.4 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 63.4 | 67.3 | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83% | 74% | 71% |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 14.3 | 14.2 | 13.5 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Vitória Guimarães
0–15'12
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'43
76–90'24
Casa Pia
0–15'02
16–30'02
31–45'33
46–60'06
61–75'05
76–90'11
Vitória Guimarães
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 0.78 | 1.44 | 1.66 | 0.98 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 1.13 |
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.0 | 0.76 | 2.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
| Metric | Vitória Guimarães all · 35 | Vitória Guimarães at home · 18 | Casa Pia all · 35 | Casa Pia away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 1.56 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 18 | 8 / 4 / 6 | 4 / 13 / 18 | 2 / 4 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.06 | 1.28 | 0.80 | 0.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 0.94 | 1.83 | 1.76 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 39% | 17% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 37% | 33% | 49% | 59% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 39% | 49% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 46% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.41 | 1.54 | 0.93 | 0.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.12 | 1.61 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | 0.17 | 0.42 | -0.68 | -0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | -0.27 | -0.13 | -0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | 1.65 | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.37 | -0.10 | -0.25 | -0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 39% | 26% | 18% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.71 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.37 | 0.78 | 0.52 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 28% | 15% |
| Leads held | 73% | 89% | 33% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 22% | 12% | 5% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 58% | 55% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 20% | 33% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 43 | 44 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 38 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 65% | 46% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 65% | 61% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 51% | 42% | 42% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 15.4 | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 60% | 62% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 37% | 40% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 9% | 18% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 14.1 | 15.6 | 8.2 | 6.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.4 | 56.3 | 38.0 | 32.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 72% | 74% |
| Fouls | 14.7 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 13.9 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Vitória Guimarães
0–15'37
16–30'87
31–45'48
46–60'58
61–75'129
76–90'511
Casa Pia
0–15'49
16–30'33
31–45'813
46–60'314
61–75'413
76–90'612
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Vitória Guimarães · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.13) · stands out: against ten men +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1335
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1435
Late push (76+, level)-0.1112
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0916
Game state
When ahead+0.2315
When level+0.1135
When behind+0.1321
10 min after conceding-0.1624
10 min after scoring+0.3021
Situations
With ten men-0.493
Against ten men+0.563
At home+0.1618
Away+0.1017
4+ days rest+0.1335
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.129
v mid-tier opponents+0.046
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3213
As favourite+0.3213
Evenly matched+0.1310
As underdog-0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0735
Conceded when ahead-0.1715
Conceded late (76+)-0.2831
Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level +0.01
Casa Pia · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1635
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1535
Late push (76+, level)-0.2415
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0618
Game state
When ahead-0.3112
When level-0.1635
When behind-0.1125
10 min after conceding-0.2929
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.232
Against ten men-0.652
At home-0.1318
Away-0.2017
4+ days rest-0.1635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.388
v mid-tier opponents-0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents-0.059
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched-0.0510
As underdog-0.2422
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2935
Conceded when ahead+0.3012
Conceded late (76+)+0.0332
Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.05
Vitória Guimarães
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 83% | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 9% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.44 | 0.4 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 1.13 |
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 20 57% | 0.9 | 1.05 | 1.75 | 1.02 | 1.56 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 14% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.83 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.81 | 1.89 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.9 pts at 3.0h
1.45Home 66% ▲ +5.1 ptsopened 1.554.51Draw 21% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 4.047.74Away 12% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 6.16
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45 ▲ +5.1 | 4.51 ▼ -2.2 | 7.74 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.48 ▲ +4.1 | 4.0 ▼ -1.4 | 7.0 ▼ -2.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +1.5 | 4.0 · -0.2 | 6.5 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 ▲ +4.6 | 4.1 ▼ -1.7 | 7.5 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.5 ▲ +3.4 | 4.2 ▼ -1.3 | 6.5 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.48 ▲ +4.5 | 4.2 ▼ -1.8 | 6.5 ▼ -2.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.53 ▲ +2.4 | 4.0 ▼ -1.0 | 6.1 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +4.0 | 4.0 ▼ -2.0 | 6.5 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.3 pts at 2.9d
2.1Yes 44% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 2.01.66No 56% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 1.75
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.1 ▼ -2.5 | 1.66 ▲ +2.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.1 ▼ -2.4 | 1.65 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.94 ▼ -1.2 | 1.74 ▲ +1.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.1 ▼ -3.0 | 1.67 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.3 pts at 4.8d
1.99Over 49% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 2.011.9Under 51% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.83
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99 ▲ +1.2 | 1.9 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.95 ▲ +1.3 | 1.85 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.87 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.88 · +0.5 | 1.79 · -0.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.86 ▲ +1.1 | 1.82 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.48Home 63% P 66%4.0Draw 23% P 21%7.0Away 13% P 12%
Double Chance
1.1Guimaraes or Draw 43%1.22Guimaraes or Casa Pia 39%2.62Draw or Casa Pia 18%
Draw No Bet
1.121 84%6.02 16%
Both Teams To Score
2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 10–12.5% · 253 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 66% | 66% | 64% | -2.0 |
| Draw | 21% | 22% | 22% | +0.4 |
| Away | 12% | 12% | 13% | +1.7 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 47%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Gustavo Fernandes Correia
- Career
- 101 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.28 (5.75 yellow · 0.35 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.2 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.47
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.72 | 5.66 | +1.37 | 97 |
| Fouls / match | 29.9 | 27.9 | +1.04 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 4.9 | -0.78 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.37 | +0.88 | 82 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.13 | 42 |
- First card
- 27' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 36' | 9 |
| 2026-08-09 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 32' | 11 |
| 2026-07-22 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2026-05-16 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 37' | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 55' | 19 |
| 2026-04-10 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 11' | 14 |
| 2025-11-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 89' | 5 |
| 2025-10-23 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 34' | 11 |