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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 5

Momentum

PortoMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,318

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
1 · 11
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
22.7° (feels 23.0°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 65

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 0 · xG 9.35–4.73 · xPts 9.68

  • W A Academico Viseu 3–0 xG 1.14–1.32 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 2–0 xG 2.72–0.45 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–0 xG 1.99–0.78 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 2–0 xG 2.45–1.6 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.04–0.58 PRT PL

Moreirense

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 3.23–7.2 · xPts 3.9

  • W A Casa Pia 1–0 xG 0.58–0.88 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–4 xG 0.74–1.72 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.24–1.12 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 1.36–1.57 PRT PL
  • L A Tondela 0–2 xG 0.32–1.91 PRT PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 25 matches since 2012

Porto 204 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 65–16 · 3.24 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 76%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 91 draws0 Moreirense

Goals 27–5 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 50 draws0 Moreirense

Goals 13–3 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Porto 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 5–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 5–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 6Porto at home · 3Moreirense all · 6Moreirense away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game3.001.17
W / D / L6 / 0 / 02 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match2.501.17
Goals against / match0.332.17
Clean sheets67%17%
Failed to score0%33%
Both teams scored33%50%
Over 2.550%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.380.78
xG against / match1.101.82
xG difference1.28-1.04
Finishing vs xG0.120.39
xPts / match2.090.81
Points vs xPts0.910.36
Game state
Scored first67%50%
PPG when scoring first3.002.00
PPG when conceding first3.000.33
Came back from behind100%25%
Leads held100%67%
Minutes leading61%29%
Minutes level35%40%
Minutes trailing4%31%
First goal (min)2917
First goal conceded (min)3238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%29%
Goals conceded in 2nd half0%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.33
Late goals against0.000.33
Style
Possession56%36%
Shots15.37.3
On target6.22.8
Shot conversion16%16%
Shots inside box70%57%
Big chances created4.21.8
Corners7.52.5
xG from set plays41%35%
Goals from headers21%0%
Pressure index19.26.3
Dominant minutes61.827.5
Pass accuracy84%73%
Fouls13.214.2
Cards0.673.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'30
16–30'11
31–45'41
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'30

Moreirense

0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'03
46–60'03
61–75'02
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-36 100%3.02.50.332.381.1

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.51.02.250.91.63
3-4-31 17%0.01.02.00.813.26
4-3-31 17%1.02.02.00.241.12

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.4d before kick-off · 113 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.1 pts at 12.2h

1.13Home 85% ▲ +4.6 ptsopened 1.169.16Draw 11% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 7.3422.59Away 4% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 14.1
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.13 ▲ +4.69.16 ▼ -2.222.59 ▼ -2.45m
bet3651.11 ▲ +6.68.0 ▼ -3.623.0 ▼ -3.05m
Betfair1.13 ▼ -1.38.0 · +0.821.0 · +0.45m
BetVictor1.09 ▲ +3.87.5 ▼ -1.922.0 ▼ -1.95m
Coral1.14 ▲ +4.28.5 ▼ -2.421.0 ▼ -1.85m
Ladbrokes1.13 ▲ +3.58.0 ▼ -1.721.0 ▼ -1.85m
Unibet1.15 ▲ +1.87.5 · -0.818.0 ▼ -1.05m
WilliamHill1.12 ▲ +4.48.5 ▼ -2.219.0 ▼ -2.25m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.11Home 84% P 85%8.0Draw 12% P 11%23.0Away 4% P 4%

Double Chance

1.01FC Porto or Draw 48%1.1FC Porto or Moreirense 44%6.0Draw or Moreirense 8%

Draw No Bet

1.011 95%21.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

3.0Yes 31%1.36No 69%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.35Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home85%86%88%+1.6
Draw11%10%9%-0.8
Away4%4%3%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.17
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-16 40 240 39'9
2026-05-04 20 200 7'4
2026-04-18 50 320 58'7
2026-04-06 50 310 23'8
2026-03-22 · Porto 90 271 15'7
2026-03-06 20 270 51'5
2026-02-13 81 280 45'7
2026-01-30 · Moreirense 70 311 42'7
2026-01-26 · Porto 41 211 35'6
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7