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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 5

Momentum

CFEAFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,348

Teams

Coaches
Pedro Marques da Costa Filipe · Carlos Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal
Position
8 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
27.7° (feels 28.6°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 1

  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

DDDDW 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 5.14–8.8 · xPts 4.82

  • W A Nacional 3–2 xG 2.0–0.65 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 2–2 xG 1.29–1.4 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 2–2 xG 1.01–2.52 PRT PL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.55–2.17 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 0–0 xG 0.29–2.07 PRT PL

Famalicão

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.18–4.72 · xPts 6.26

  • D H Gil Vicente 0–0 xG 0.37–0.31 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–1 xG 1.03–1.64 PRT PL
  • L H Marítimo 1–2 xG 0.81–1.25 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 1–1 xG 1.3–0.89 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 1–0 xG 0.67–0.64 PRT PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 7 matches since 2023

Estrela Amadora 24 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 6–7 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Estrela Amadora 24 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 6–7 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 13 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–3 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 0–3 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 6Estrela Amadora at home · 3Famalicão all · 6Famalicão away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.670.67
W / D / L2 / 4 / 00 / 4 / 2
Goals for / match2.330.83
Goals against / match2.001.17
Clean sheets0%17%
Failed to score0%33%
Both teams scored100%67%
Over 2.5100%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.470.89
xG against / match1.351.25
xG difference0.12-0.36
Finishing vs xG0.86-0.06
xPts / match1.451.14
Points vs xPts0.22-0.47
Game state
Scored first33%50%
PPG when scoring first1.000.67
PPG when conceding first2.000.50
Came back from behind100%50%
Leads held40%0%
Minutes leading20%20%
Minutes level46%64%
Minutes trailing34%16%
First goal (min)4833
First goal conceded (min)2651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half79%40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.33
Late goals against0.330.33
Style
Possession48%55%
Shots12.79.2
On target5.02.8
Shot conversion18%9%
Shots inside box71%47%
Big chances created2.01.6
Corners3.85.8
xG from set plays23%32%
Goals from headers21%25%
Pressure index12.310.6
Dominant minutes47.749.0
Pass accuracy82%85%
Fouls11.312.0
Cards2.502.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'03
16–30'10
31–45'21
46–60'44
61–75'52
76–90'22

Famalicão

0–15'20
16–30'02
31–45'10
46–60'01
61–75'02
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.52.252.01.391.51
4-3-32 33%2.02.52.01.641.03

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%0.670.831.170.891.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.7 pts at 2.9d

2.97Home 33% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 3.153.11Draw 31% · +0.8 ptsopened 3.142.67Away 36% ▼ -3.1 ptsopened 2.42
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.97 ▲ +2.33.11 · +0.82.67 ▼ -3.110m
bet3652.87 ▲ +4.53.2 · +0.32.5 ▼ -4.810m
Betfair3.0 · -0.23.3 ▼ -1.02.3 ▲ +1.210m
BetVictor2.75 ▲ +2.73.1 · -0.12.45 ▼ -2.610m
Coral2.87 ▲ +3.43.25 ▼ -1.42.5 ▼ -2.010m
Ladbrokes2.87 ▲ +2.43.2 ▼ -1.02.45 ▼ -1.410m
Unibet3.15 · +0.33.15 · -0.12.3 · -0.210m
WilliamHill2.8 ▲ +2.53.0 · +0.32.5 ▼ -2.810m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 33%3.2Draw 29% P 31%2.5Away 38% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5Estrela Amadora or Draw 32%1.36Estrela Amadora or Famalicao 35%1.4Draw or Famalicao 34%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.5
Draw31%30%27%-2.5
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira

Career
81 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
5.52 (5.17 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
30.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.565.66-0.1039
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.19
Fouls per card5.34.9+0.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.560.37+1.4194
Time added7.87.7+0.2564
First card
30' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0