Rating 6.81 (55th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– AlvercaSCB –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Alverca | at home | Stat | league | away | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.0 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 61.4 #2 |
| 10.0 #14 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 13.4 #6 |
| 3.7 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 5.0 #4 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #10 |
| 13.0 #9 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 13.8 #5 |
| 1.3 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 3.0 #1 |
| 17.5 #4 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 13.8 #17 |
| 83.7 #13 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 124.0 #2 |
| 29.3 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 53.6 #3 |
| 354.2 #15 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 602.4 #1 |
| 2.7 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.8 #13 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1.2 #6 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.2 #5 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #6 |
| – #17 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #6 |
| – #3 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #8 |
| 1.1 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.4 #7 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #12 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #13 |
| 1.3 #7 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 #6 |
| 1.8 #5 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 #12 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 7.8 #11 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.2 #7 |
| – #6 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.7 #14 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #4 |
| 1.5 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 3.6 #5 |
| 5.8 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 8.6 #8 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.8 #13 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #6 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Alverca · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.19 (86th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 7.16 (79th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Sporting Braga · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.29 (94th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (29% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 7.03 (64th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (57% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.95 · G+A 0 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Absences
Sporting Braga
- injury Sikou Niakaté defender · Achilles tendon rupture · 22 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
- Capacity
- 7,705
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 1,447
Teams
- Coaches
- Sérgio Ferreira · Carlos Vicens
- Position
- 16 · 9
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 3-4-3
Referee
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 30.6° (feels 29.5°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 32%
Where to watch · 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Alverca
LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 4.48–7.45 · xPts 4.75
- D
H
Santa Clara
1–1
xG 0.39–1.3
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–3
xG 0.45–1.73
PRT PL
- D
H
Estrela Amadora
2–2
xG 1.4–1.29
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
0–2
xG 1.6–2.45
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.64–0.67
PRT PL
DLLDLD 0W 3D 3L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.47–8.03 · xPts 6.43
- D
H
Santa Clara
1–1
xG 0.39–1.3
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–3
xG 0.45–1.73
PRT PL
- D
H
Estrela Amadora
2–2
xG 1.4–1.29
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
0–2
xG 1.6–2.45
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.64–0.67
PRT PL
- D
H
Estoril
1–1
xG 0.99–0.58
PRT PL
Sporting Braga
DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 5.52–1.77 · xPts 7.67
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
1–0
xG 0.77–0.19
PRT PL
- D
A
Austria Wien
0–0
xG 0.45–0.75
UEFA ECL - W
H
Austria Wien
2–0
xG 3.18–0.59
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Dinamo Minsk
0–0
UEFA ECL - D
A
Moreirense
2–2
xG 1.12–0.24
PRT PL
DDWWWDDWDW 5W 5D 0L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 6 · xG 7.89–5.45 · xPts 10.18
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
1–0
xG 0.77–0.19
PRT PL
- D
A
Austria Wien
0–0
xG 0.45–0.75
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Austria Wien
2–0
xG 3.18–0.59
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Dinamo Minsk
0–0
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Moreirense
2–2
xG 1.12–0.24
PRT PL
- W
H
Dinamo Minsk
1–0
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Železničar Pančevo
4–0
UEFA ECL - W
A
Železničar Pančevo
1–0
UEFA ECL
- D
H
Estrela Amadora
2–2
xG 2.17–0.55
PRT PL
- D
A
Benfica
2–2
xG 0.2–3.12
PRT PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 1–10 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 1–10 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 1–10 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Alverca 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting Braga 5–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Alverca 0–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Alverca all · 6 | Alverca at home · 3 | Sporting Braga all · 5 | Sporting Braga away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | 0.83 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 3 | – | 3 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.33 | – | 1.40 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 40% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 60% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | – | 60% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.08 | – | 1.36 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.85 | – | 0.61 | – |
| xG difference | -0.77 | – | 0.76 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.25 | – | 0.04 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.88 | – | 1.90 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | – | 0.10 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 80% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | – | 1.75 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | 3.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 25% | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | 19% | – | 26% | – |
| Minutes level | 42% | – | 62% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 39% | – | 13% | – |
| First goal (min) | 55 | – | 45 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | – | 27 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 71% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 73% | – | 40% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 0.40 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.20 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | – | 61% | – |
| Shots | 10.0 | – | 13.4 | – |
| On target | 3.7 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 10% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 63% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | – | 2.4 | – |
| Corners | 4.5 | – | 3.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 44% | – | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 38% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 8.7 | – | 16.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 41.2 | – | 64.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 13.0 | – | 13.2 | – |
| Cards | 2.50 | – | 1.80 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Alverca
0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'31
46–60'15
61–75'21
76–90'12
Sporting Braga
0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'21
61–75'10
76–90'21
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Alverca · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453
Game state
When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28
Sporting Braga · 11 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085
Game state
When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239
Situations
At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23
Alverca
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 3 50% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.42 | 2.26 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 50% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 1.44 |
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 80% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 0.19 |
| Metric | Alverca all · 10 | Alverca at home · 10 | Sporting Braga all · 10 | Sporting Braga away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.20 | 2.10 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 6 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 70% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 90% | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.97 | 1.08 | 1.49 | 0.83 |
| xG against / match | 1.43 | 1.12 | 0.62 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | -0.45 | -0.04 | 0.87 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.22 | -0.21 | 0.42 |
| xPts / match | 1.06 | 1.35 | 1.89 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.16 | -0.15 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.29 | 1.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 1.25 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 33% | 29% | 75% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 27% | 32% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 55% | 61% | 61% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 18% | 6% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 44 | 40 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 52 | 27 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 69% | 57% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 73% | 86% | 40% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 47% | 57% | 55% |
| Shots | 9.2 | 9.5 | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| On target | 3.2 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 62% | 66% | 53% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 44% | 40% | 35% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 46% | 38% | 0% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 8.8 | 10.2 | 16.8 | 11.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.1 | 50.4 | 63.8 | 49.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 79% | 85% | 83% |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 2.40 | 1.30 | 1.60 | 2.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Alverca
0–15'22
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'17
61–75'31
76–90'13
Sporting Braga
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'20
76–90'41
Alverca
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.81 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 50% | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.14 | 1.67 |
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Alverca all · 35 | Alverca at home · 17 | Sporting Braga all · 54 | Sporting Braga away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 54 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.47 | 1.89 | 1.61 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 15 | 6 / 7 / 4 | 29 / 15 / 10 | 12 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.09 | 1.18 | 1.70 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.54 | 1.35 | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 24% | 46% | 39% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 18% | 11% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 65% | 48% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 47% | 52% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.15 | 1.34 | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.16 | 1.02 | 1.19 |
| xG difference | -0.22 | 0.18 | 0.51 | 0.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.06 | -0.16 | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.25 | 1.48 | 1.68 | 1.52 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 53% | 70% | 57% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.15 | 2.00 | 2.29 | 2.06 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 50% | 47% | 42% |
| Leads held | 62% | 54% | 67% | 63% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 20% | 37% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 56% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 23% | 13% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 54 | 34 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 46 | 38 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 63% | 75% | 50% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 74% | 52% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 9.7 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.5 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 16% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 65% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 44% | 53% | 42% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 30% | 12% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 9.2 | 10.2 | 17.7 | 18.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.0 | 47.4 | 60.2 | 58.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 12.7 | 12.1 | 12.5 |
| Cards | 2.31 | 1.76 | 2.37 | 2.64 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Alverca
0–15'56
16–30'46
31–45'58
46–60'515
61–75'79
76–90'1210
Sporting Braga
0–15'154
16–30'189
31–45'1311
46–60'137
61–75'1310
76–90'209
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Alverca · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0735
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1435
Late push (76+, level)-0.3215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.1316
When level-0.1035
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.1430
10 min after scoring+0.1424
Situations
With ten men-0.304
At home-0.0517
Away-0.0918
4+ days rest-0.0735
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.149
v mid-tier opponents-0.279
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0510
As favourite+0.147
Evenly matched-0.0913
As underdog-0.1715
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1635
Conceded when ahead+0.1916
Conceded late (76+)+0.1131
Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level +0.12
Sporting Braga · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3054
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2454
Late push (76+, level)+0.1325
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5013
Game state
When ahead+0.1143
When level+0.4354
When behind+0.3019
10 min after conceding+0.1229
10 min after scoring+0.5048
Situations
With ten men+0.356
Against ten men+0.395
At home+0.1726
Away+0.4228
3 days rest or fewer+0.068
4+ days rest+0.3446
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1210
v mid-tier opponents+0.269
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4815
As favourite+0.3839
Evenly matched+0.087
As underdog+0.158
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1443
Conceded late (76+)-0.2149
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level -0.13
Alverca
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 24 69% | 1.25 | 1.13 | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.43 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.31 | 2.85 |
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 50% | 1.7 | 1.74 | 1.0 | 1.47 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 14 26% | 2.29 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.86 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 13% | 1.14 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.27 | 0.47 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.68 | 1.2 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.8d before kick-off · 121 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.7 pts at 39.0h
5.15Home 19% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 4.423.64Draw 26% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.621.76Away 55% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.81
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.15 ▼ -2.7 | 3.64 · +0.3 | 1.76 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 5.0 ▼ -3.9 | 3.5 · -0.5 | 1.72 ▲ +4.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 4.33 · -0.8 | 3.5 · -0.2 | 1.8 ▲ +1.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 4.75 ▼ -3.0 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 1.7 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 4.8 ▼ -2.5 | 3.5 · +0.4 | 1.8 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 4.8 ▼ -2.8 | 3.5 · -0.0 | 1.75 ▲ +2.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 4.6 ▼ -1.8 | 3.6 ▼ -1.2 | 1.75 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 4.6 ▼ -3.0 | 3.3 · +0.0 | 1.75 ▲ +2.9 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 2.5d · late move: no -1.3 pts inside the final hour
2.0Yes 47% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 1.91.75No 53% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.0 ▼ -3.3 | 1.75 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · +0.8 | 1.9 · -0.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.95 ▼ -3.0 | 1.75 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.8 · +0.5 | 1.87 · -0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 ▼ -4.7 | 1.73 ▲ +4.7 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.8d before kick-off · 121 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +3.1 pts at 12.0h
2.22Over 44% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 1.981.71Under 56% ▲ +4.9 ptsopened 1.86
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22 ▼ -4.9 | 1.71 ▲ +4.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.1 ▼ -2.6 | 1.7 ▲ +2.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.0 ▲ +1.3 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.04 ▼ -2.4 | 1.67 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.89 ▲ +1.2 | 1.78 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.0Home 19% P 19%3.5Draw 27% P 26%1.72Away 54% P 55%
Double Chance
2.05Alverca or Draw 23%1.28Alverca or Braga 37%1.16Draw or Braga 40%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.7Under 55% P 56%
Total Corners
5.0Under 6 17%2.46 - 8 36%3.09 - 11 29%7.012 - 14 12%19.0Over 14 5%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19% | 19% | 24% | +5.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 26% | -1.3 |
| Away | 55% | 54% | 50% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
- Career
- 221 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.89 | 5.66 | +0.32 | 48 |
| Fouls / match | 28.8 | 27.8 | +0.51 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 4.9 | -0.15 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.41 | 0.37 | +0.37 | 64 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.13 | 42 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 49% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.39
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 61' | 6 |
| 2026-08-13 | 8 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 5' | 6 |
| 2026-08-09 · Alverca | 4 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 8' | 11 |
| 2026-08-06 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 3' | 15 |
| 2026-05-16 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 63' | 6 |
| 2026-05-11 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-04-26 · Sporting Braga | 8 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2026-04-12 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 30' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 30' | 7 |