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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 4

Momentum

SCBVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,762

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
Position
16 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.7° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
0.6
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 16

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WDDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 4.75–1.58 · xPts 5.81

  • D A Austria Wien 0–0 xG 0.45–0.75 UEFA ECL
  • W H Austria Wien 2–0 xG 3.18–0.59 UEFA ECL
  • D A Dinamo Minsk 0–0 UEFA ECL
  • D A Moreirense 2–2 xG 1.12–0.24 PRT PL
  • W H Dinamo Minsk 1–0 UEFA ECL

Vitória Guimarães

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 8.96–3.96 · xPts 9.86

  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 2.81–0.63 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 2–3 xG 1.01–1.13 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–1 xG 2.38–0.31 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 0–2 xG 1.35–1.13 PRT PL
  • L H Casa Pia 0–1 xG 1.41–0.76 PRT PL

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Sporting Braga 2210 draws9 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 60–33 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 39% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 43 draws3 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 12–12 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 22 draws1 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 3–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 0–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 5Sporting Braga at home · 2Vitória Guimarães all · 6Vitória Guimarães away · 3
Results
Matches56
Points per game2.000.67
W / D / L3 / 1 / 11 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match1.400.67
Goals against / match1.001.17
Clean sheets40%33%
Failed to score0%50%
Both teams scored60%33%
Over 2.560%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.83
xG against / match0.610.87
xG difference0.760.96
Finishing vs xG0.04-1.16
xPts / match1.901.88
Points vs xPts0.10-1.21
Game state
Scored first80%17%
PPG when scoring first1.753.00
PPG when conceding first3.000.00
Came back from behind50%0%
Leads held60%100%
Minutes leading26%16%
Minutes level62%58%
Minutes trailing13%26%
First goal (min)4546
First goal conceded (min)2748
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%75%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.00
Late goals against0.200.33
Style
Possession61%52%
Shots13.419.7
On target5.04.7
Shot conversion10%3%
Shots inside box63%58%
Big chances created2.42.7
Corners3.86.2
xG from set plays23%27%
Goals from headers0%25%
Pressure index16.515.9
Dominant minutes64.662.7
Pass accuracy85%81%
Fouls13.215.3
Cards1.802.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'21
61–75'10
76–90'21

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'02
61–75'30
76–90'02

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-34 80%1.751.51.251.510.71
3-4-2-11 20%3.01.00.00.770.19

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%0.670.671.171.830.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.8d before kick-off · 124 snapshots · last 15m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.5 pts at 5.2h

1.9Home 51% ▼ -5.4 ptsopened 1.693.38Draw 29% ▲ +3.2 ptsopened 3.744.67Away 21% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 5.14
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.9 ▼ -5.43.38 ▲ +3.24.67 ▲ +2.215m
bet3651.85 ▼ -3.33.25 ▲ +3.14.5 · +0.215m
Betfair1.83 ▼ -5.03.5 ▲ +2.14.33 ▲ +2.915m
BetVictor1.8 ▼ -4.13.3 ▲ +2.24.2 ▲ +1.815m
Coral1.91 ▼ -6.23.3 ▲ +4.44.4 ▲ +1.815m
Ladbrokes1.91 ▼ -6.03.3 ▲ +3.84.33 ▲ +2.215m
Unibet1.77 · +0.03.6 · +0.04.5 · +0.015m
WilliamHill1.83 ▼ -4.13.3 ▲ +1.54.2 ▲ +2.615m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 50% P 51%3.25Draw 29% P 29%4.5Away 21% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2Braga or Draw 39%1.3Braga or Guimaraes 36%1.9Draw or Guimaraes 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.65Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

5.0Under 6 17%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw29%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Career
107 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.62 (5.36 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
31.4 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.345.66-0.3830
Fouls / match29.527.9+0.85
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.37+0.4567
Time added7.27.7-0.4527
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-16 70 190 13'8
2026-05-03 112 411 49'11
2026-04-03 80 341 24'9
2026-03-22 60 271 41'10
2026-02-23 50 330 13'5
2026-01-02 · Vitória Guimarães 40 380 25'7
2025-12-22 10 321 34'9
2025-11-30 40 250 12'7
2025-11-08 · Vitória Guimarães 30 251 56'6