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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 4

Momentum

AroucaMarítimo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,403

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · Jordan van der Gaag
Position
5 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.2° (feels 24.4°)
Wind
3.0
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 2

  • Portugal Sport TV 3 · Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 5.49–7.72 · xPts 5.96

  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.45–2.72 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 4–0 xG 1.72–0.74 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 0.31–2.38 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 3–1 xG 2.06–0.85 PRT PL
  • W A Gil Vicente 3–1 xG 0.95–1.03 PRT PL

Marítimo

WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 3.98–2.59 · xPts 5.15

  • D H Academico Viseu 2–2 xG 1.52–1.28 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 2–1 xG 1.25–0.81 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 1–0 xG 1.21–0.5 PRT PL

All meetings · 13 matches since 2013

Arouca 63 draws4 Marítimo

Goals 17–16 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Arouca 53 draws2 Marítimo

Goals 15–13 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 22 draws1 Marítimo

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Arouca 2–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Marítimo 1–1 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 0–3 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Marítimo 2–2 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Marítimo 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Marítimo 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 4–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Marítimo 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 6Arouca at home · 3Marítimo all · 6Marítimo away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.671.17
W / D / L3 / 1 / 22 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.331.17
Goals against / match0.831.83
Clean sheets50%17%
Failed to score33%17%
Both teams scored33%67%
Over 2.550%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.970.99
xG against / match1.481.20
xG difference-0.51-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.360.17
xPts / match1.141.22
Points vs xPts0.53-0.05
Game state
Scored first33%33%
PPG when scoring first3.001.50
PPG when conceding first1.001.00
Came back from behind33%40%
Leads held100%67%
Minutes leading26%8%
Minutes level54%42%
Minutes trailing20%49%
First goal (min)4252
First goal conceded (min)3920
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%36%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.50
Late goals against0.170.33
Style
Possession52%46%
Shots10.210.5
On target3.73.2
Shot conversion13%11%
Shots inside box59%70%
Big chances created2.01.7
Corners3.03.0
xG from set plays10%48%
Goals from headers38%29%
Pressure index9.711.1
Dominant minutes42.549.0
Pass accuracy85%79%
Fouls9.515.8
Cards2.672.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'00
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'01
76–90'11

Marítimo

0–15'02
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'01
61–75'21
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Marítimo · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.63

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.366
Late push (76+, level)-0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.144

Game state

When ahead+0.033
When level+0.066
When behind+0.075
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.635

Situations

At home+0.123
Away+0.013
4+ days rest+0.066

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.182
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.086
Conceded when ahead+0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.216

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.02

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.671.330.830.971.48

Marítimo

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.751.51.251.240.99
4-3-32 33%0.00.53.00.51.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.9d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +4.4 pts at 4.7d

2.18Home 44% ▲ +4.7 ptsopened 2.383.36Draw 29% · -0.6 ptsopened 3.213.59Away 27% ▼ -4.1 ptsopened 3.04
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 6 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.18 ▲ +4.73.36 · -0.63.59 ▼ -4.130m
bet3652.1 ▲ +5.63.3 · -0.53.5 ▼ -5.130m
Betfair2.2 ▲ +4.33.3 · -0.13.3 ▼ -4.230m
BetVictor2.1 ▲ +4.93.2 ▼ -1.13.25 ▼ -3.830m
Unibet2.16 ▲ +4.13.2 · -0.43.4 ▼ -3.630m
WilliamHill2.15 ▲ +5.13.1 · -0.13.4 ▼ -5.030m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.3Draw 28% P 29%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3FC Arouca or Draw 36%1.33FC Arouca or Maritimo 35%1.66Draw or Maritimo 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 46%1.75Under 54% P 54%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Career
101 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
6.28 (5.75 yellow · 0.35 red)
Fouls / match
29.2 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.725.66+1.3797
Fouls / match29.927.9+1.04
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.78 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.37+0.8882
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
27' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-13 30 160 36'9
2026-08-09 41 231 32'11
2026-07-22 41 160 34'8
2026-05-16 61 221 37'8
2026-05-02 41 341 55'19
2026-04-10 110 300 11'14
2025-11-27 20 160 89'5
2025-10-23 40 170 33'6
2025-09-21 71 290 34'11
2025-08-30 · Arouca 80 320 21'10