Rating 7.25 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– VSCNacional –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Vitória Guimarães | at home | Stat | league | away | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.0 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 50.0 #9 |
| 19.7 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 10.5 #10 |
| 4.7 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 2.8 #13 |
| 6.2 #3 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.3 #13 |
| 15.5 #2 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.2 #16 |
| 1.2 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #10 |
| 16.7 #7 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 16.5 #8 |
| 113.0 #3 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 87.0 #12 |
| 55.0 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 36.0 #11 |
| 438.7 #8 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 408.3 #9 |
| 2.7 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.7 #10 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #10 |
| – #12 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #7 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #10 |
| 1.9 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #9 |
| -1.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.0 #13 |
| – #4 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #6 |
| 0.7 #16 | 0.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 #9 |
| 1.2 #10 | 0.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | – |
| 10.2 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.8 #11 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #2 |
| 0.0 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #12 |
| 4.8 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 2.7 #8 |
| 12.2 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 5.8 #14 |
| 10.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 7.5 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.7 #7 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Vitória Guimarães · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.94 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (92th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Nacional · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.15 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Rating 6.82 (29th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.92 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Nacional
- injury Ivanildo Fernandes defender · Unknown Injury · 45 missed
- injury Ulisses defender · Unknown Injury · 37 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
- Capacity
- 30,029
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 15,838
Teams
- Coaches
- Tiago Carvalho Margarido · João Pedro Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião
- Position
- 17 · 6
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 24.6° (feels 24.8°)
- Wind
- 4.5
- Humidity
- 64%
Where to watch · 3
Portugal
Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Vitória Guimarães
LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 7.09–5.7 · xPts 7.85
- L
A
Sporting CP
2–3
xG 1.01–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
0–1
xG 2.38–0.31
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 1.35–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Casa Pia
0–1
xG 1.41–0.76
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–5
xG 0.94–2.37
PRT PL
WLLLLL 1W 0D 5L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 8.64–6.16 · xPts 10.04
- L
A
Sporting CP
2–3
xG 1.01–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
0–1
xG 2.38–0.31
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 1.35–1.13
PRT PL
- L
H
Casa Pia
0–1
xG 1.41–0.76
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–5
xG 0.94–2.37
PRT PL
- W
H
Rio Ave
2–0
xG 1.55–0.45
PRT PL
Nacional
LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.28–6.83 · xPts 7.13
- W
H
Estoril
2–0
xG 2.08–0.74
PRT PL
- D
A
Santa Clara
2–2
xG 1.25–1.5
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
2–0
xG 1.13–1.35
PRT PL
- L
A
Santa Clara
0–2
xG 1.01–1.62
PRT PL
- L
H
AVS
1–2
xG 1.82–1.62
PRT PL
WLLWDW 3W 1D 2L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 8.85–8.76 · xPts 8.3
- W
H
Estoril
2–0
xG 2.08–0.74
PRT PL
- D
A
Santa Clara
2–2
xG 1.25–1.5
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
2–0
xG 1.13–1.35
PRT PL
- L
A
Santa Clara
0–2
xG 1.01–1.62
PRT PL
- L
H
AVS
1–2
xG 1.82–1.62
PRT PL
- W
A
Tondela
2–0
xG 1.56–1.93
PRT PL
All meetings · 31 matches since 2005
Goals 40–38 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 52%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 2–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Vitória Guimarães 3–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–2 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Vitória Guimarães all · 6 | Vitória Guimarães at home · 3 | Nacional all · 6 | Nacional away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.67 | – | 0.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 4 | – | 1 / 1 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.67 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Both teams scored | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.83 | – | 1.15 | – |
| xG against / match | 0.87 | – | 1.87 | – |
| xG difference | 0.96 | – | -0.72 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -1.16 | – | 0.02 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.88 | – | 1.03 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -1.21 | – | -0.36 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.25 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 20% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | 12% | – |
| Minutes level | 58% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 44% | – |
| First goal (min) | 46 | – | 47 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | – | 27 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 75% | – | 57% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 27% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | 19.7 | – | 10.5 | – |
| On target | 4.7 | – | 2.8 | – |
| Shot conversion | 3% | – | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 56% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | – | 1.8 | – |
| Corners | 6.2 | – | 3.3 | – |
| xG from set plays | 27% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 25% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 15.9 | – | 9.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 62.7 | – | 43.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 81% | – |
| Fouls | 15.3 | – | 9.5 | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | – | 1.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Vitória Guimarães
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'02
61–75'30
76–90'02
Nacional
0–15'11
16–30'02
31–45'25
46–60'01
61–75'21
76–90'21
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154
Game state
When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373
Situations
At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446
Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Vitória Guimarães
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.83 | 0.87 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 67% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.22 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Metric | Vitória Guimarães all · 10 | Vitória Guimarães at home · 10 | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.60 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.86 | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.69 | 1.78 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | 0.63 | 1.17 | -0.53 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.92 | -0.56 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.74 | 2.09 | 1.10 | 0.78 |
| Points vs xPts | -1.04 | -0.40 | -0.10 | -0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 50% | 50% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 25% | 14% | 22% |
| Leads held | 100% | 83% | 60% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 28% | 19% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 61% | 56% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 16% | 36% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 59 | 40 | 40 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | 46 | 26 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 86% | 69% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 50% | 45% |
| Shots | 17.0 | 17.5 | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 7% | 10% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 61% | 57% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 30% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 15.4 | 17.9 | 9.1 | 6.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 63.4 | 67.3 | 42.0 | 34.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 14.3 | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Vitória Guimarães
0–15'12
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'43
76–90'24
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Vitória Guimarães
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 0.78 | 1.44 | 1.66 | 0.98 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 1.13 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Metric | Vitória Guimarães all · 35 | Vitória Guimarães at home · 18 | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 1.56 | 0.97 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 18 | 8 / 4 / 6 | 9 / 7 / 19 | 2 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.06 | 1.28 | 1.14 | 0.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 0.94 | 1.37 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 39% | 23% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 37% | 33% | 31% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 39% | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 46% | 35% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.41 | 1.54 | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.12 | 1.67 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | 0.17 | 0.42 | -0.41 | -0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | -0.27 | -0.12 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | 1.65 | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.37 | -0.10 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.71 | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.37 | 0.78 | 0.48 | 0.23 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 24% | 23% |
| Leads held | 73% | 89% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 22% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 58% | 55% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 20% | 28% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 65% | 62% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 65% | 54% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 51% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 15.4 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 60% | 58% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 37% | 39% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 9% | 18% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 14.1 | 15.6 | 9.0 | 7.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.4 | 56.3 | 39.7 | 34.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 14.7 | 15.1 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.50 | 2.89 | 2.41 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Vitória Guimarães
0–15'37
16–30'87
31–45'48
46–60'58
61–75'129
76–90'511
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Vitória Guimarães · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.13) · stands out: against ten men +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1335
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1435
Late push (76+, level)-0.1112
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0916
Game state
When ahead+0.2315
When level+0.1135
When behind+0.1321
10 min after conceding-0.1624
10 min after scoring+0.3021
Situations
With ten men-0.493
Against ten men+0.563
At home+0.1618
Away+0.1017
4+ days rest+0.1335
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.129
v mid-tier opponents+0.046
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3213
As favourite+0.3213
Evenly matched+0.1310
As underdog-0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0735
Conceded when ahead-0.1715
Conceded late (76+)-0.2831
Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level +0.01
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Vitória Guimarães
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 83% | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 9% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.44 | 0.4 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 1.13 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.8 pts at 30m
1.63Home 59% ▲ +3.0 ptsopened 1.694.05Draw 24% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.945.66Away 17% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 4.8
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.63 ▲ +3.0 | 4.05 · -0.3 | 5.66 ▼ -2.7 | 30m |
| bet365 | 1.6 ▲ +3.5 | 3.75 ▼ -1.0 | 5.75 ▼ -2.4 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.67 · -0.4 | 3.7 · +0.5 | 5.0 · -0.1 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▲ +3.5 | 3.75 ▼ -1.0 | 5.25 ▼ -2.5 | 30m |
| Coral | 1.67 ▲ +2.7 | 3.9 · -0.3 | 5.25 ▼ -2.3 | 30m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.65 ▲ +2.3 | 3.8 · -0.1 | 5.0 ▼ -2.2 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.68 · +0.2 | 3.75 · -0.3 | 5.1 · +0.1 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +2.0 | 3.7 · -0.7 | 4.8 ▼ -1.3 | 30m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 1.5h
1.8Yes 52% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.81.95No 48% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.83 · +0.7 | 1.91 · -0.7 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 · -0.8 | 1.83 · +0.8 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.9 · -0.1 | 1.78 · +0.1 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 30m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off
1.95Over 50% · -0.3 ptsopened 1.921.93Under 50% · +0.3 ptsopened 1.92
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95 · -0.3 | 1.93 · +0.3 | 30m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · +0.4 | 1.87 · -0.4 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.83 · +0.5 | 1.84 · -0.5 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.92 · +0.0 | 1.76 · +0.0 | 30m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.6Home 59% P 59%3.75Draw 25% P 24%5.75Away 16% P 17%
Double Chance
1.16Guimaraes or Draw 41%1.28Guimaraes or Nacional 37%2.15Draw or Nacional 22%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 59% | 59% | 57% | -1.5 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 28% | +3.8 |
| Away | 17% | 16% | 14% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
- Career
- 19 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.63 (6.21 yellow · 0.32 red)
- Fouls / match
- 28.1 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.47
- Cards to home side
- 54%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.41 | 5.66 | +0.98 | 88 |
| Fouls / match | 28.3 | 27.8 | +0.22 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.82 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.53 | 0.37 | +1.20 | 88 |
| Time added | 9.4 | 7.7 | +2.11 | 100 |
- First card
- 29' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 54% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 12' | 11 |
| 2026-03-21 · Nacional | 6 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 16' | 7 |
| 2026-02-13 | 10 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 39' | 13 |
| 2026-02-02 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 40' | 12 |
| 2026-01-19 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 45' | 7 |
| 2025-12-13 · Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 33' | 11 |
| 2025-11-02 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 32' | 6 |
| 2025-08-24 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 49' | 8 |