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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 3

Momentum

PortoArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,825

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
4 · 3
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.7° (feels 21.1°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 24

  • Andorra beIN Sports 1
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  • Argentina DIRECTV Sports Argentina
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  • Chile DIRECTV Sports Chile
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  • Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 3HD
  • Ecuador DIRECTV Sports Ecuador
  • France beIN Sports 1 · beIN Sports 1 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Greece Cosmote Sport 3
  • Monaco beIN Sports 1
  • Peru DIRECTV Sports Peru
  • Portugal Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Trinidad and Tobago DIRECTV Sports Caribbean
  • Uruguay DIRECTV Sports Uruguay
  • Venezuela DIRECTV Sports Venezuela · inter

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 9.43–4.38 · xPts 9.88

  • W A Rio Ave 2–0 xG 1.99–0.78 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 2–0 xG 2.45–1.6 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.04–0.58 PRT PL
  • L A AVS 1–3 xG 3.03–0.65 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 1–0 xG 0.91–0.76 PRT PL

Arouca

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 6.34–6.92 · xPts 6.73

  • W H Moreirense 4–0 xG 1.72–0.74 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 0.31–2.38 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 3–1 xG 2.06–0.85 PRT PL
  • W A Gil Vicente 3–1 xG 0.95–1.03 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.3–1.92 PRT PL

All meetings · 19 matches since 2013

Porto 161 draws2 Arouca

Goals 53–11 · 3.37 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 81 draws1 Arouca

Goals 26–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 50 draws0 Arouca

Goals 15–1 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Porto 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–4 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 4–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 3–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 5–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 6Porto at home · 3Arouca all · 6Arouca away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game3.001.67
W / D / L6 / 0 / 03 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match2.501.33
Goals against / match0.330.83
Clean sheets67%50%
Failed to score0%33%
Both teams scored33%33%
Over 2.550%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.380.97
xG against / match1.101.48
xG difference1.28-0.51
Finishing vs xG0.120.36
xPts / match2.091.14
Points vs xPts0.910.53
Game state
Scored first67%33%
PPG when scoring first3.003.00
PPG when conceding first3.001.00
Came back from behind100%33%
Leads held100%100%
Minutes leading61%26%
Minutes level35%54%
Minutes trailing4%20%
First goal (min)2942
First goal conceded (min)3239
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half0%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.17
Late goals against0.000.17
Style
Possession56%52%
Shots15.310.2
On target6.23.7
Shot conversion16%13%
Shots inside box70%59%
Big chances created4.22.0
Corners7.53.0
xG from set plays41%10%
Goals from headers21%38%
Pressure index19.29.7
Dominant minutes61.842.5
Pass accuracy84%85%
Fouls13.29.5
Cards0.672.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'30
16–30'11
31–45'41
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'30

Arouca

0–15'00
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'01
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-36 100%3.02.50.332.381.1

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.671.330.830.971.48

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.2d before kick-off · 78 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.8 pts at 3.2d

1.23Home 78% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 1.196.63Draw 14% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 7.0612.45Away 8% · +0.5 ptsopened 13.19
3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.23 ▼ -1.66.63 ▲ +1.112.45 · +0.530m
bet3651.27 ▼ -4.55.25 ▲ +2.211.0 ▲ +2.330m
Betfair1.2 ▼ -2.16.0 ▲ +1.012.0 ▲ +1.030m
BetVictor1.22 ▼ -2.95.5 ▲ +1.310.5 ▲ +1.630m
Coral1.28 ▼ -4.85.75 ▲ +2.710.0 ▲ +2.130m
Ladbrokes1.28 ▼ -4.35.75 ▲ +2.010.0 ▲ +2.230m
Unibet1.22 ▼ -1.26.25 · +1.013.0 · +0.230m
WilliamHill1.25 ▼ -4.05.8 ▲ +1.810.0 ▲ +2.230m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 74% P 78%5.25Draw 18% P 14%11.0Away 9% P 8%

Double Chance

1.05FC Porto or Draw 46%1.16FC Porto or FC Arouca 41%3.75Draw or FC Arouca 13%

Draw No Bet

1.061 90%10.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.25Under 42% P 41%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home78%78%79%+0.7
Draw14%13%14%+0.2
Away8%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 73%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.45.66-0.3036
Fouls / match27.427.8-0.22
Fouls per card5.14.9+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.37-0.2139
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-17 31 240 62'3
2026-08-13 20 281 36'5
2026-05-11 50 171 56'8
2026-05-06 60 230 8'7
2026-04-30 10 181 78'6
2026-04-19 30 212 36'9
2026-04-16 91 231 19'7
2026-03-22 30 220 24'7
2026-03-08 · Porto 101 280 26'13
2026-02-25 71 311 14'14