Rating 7.15 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– NacionalEstoril –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Nacional | at home | Stat | league | away | Estoril |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0 #9 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 44.8 #13 |
| 10.5 #10 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 12.5 #9 |
| 2.8 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 3.3 #13 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.5 #6 |
| 10.2 #16 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.0 #13 |
| 1.0 #10 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 0.5 #16 |
| 16.5 #8 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 17.2 #5 |
| 87.0 #12 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 87.7 #10 |
| 36.0 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 33.0 #13 |
| 408.3 #9 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 401.8 #10 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.2 #7 |
| 0.7 #10 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #12 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #3 |
| 1.2 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.8 #15 |
| -0.0 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.5 #15 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #2 |
| 1.2 #9 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 #17 |
| 1.8 #5 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 #9 |
| 7.8 #11 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 11.2 #2 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #2 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.7 #12 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 2.7 #8 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 3.3 #7 |
| 5.8 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 7.7 #9 |
| 5.0 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 4.7 #7 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #4 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nacional · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.82 (29th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.92 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Estoril · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.93 (50th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (100% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (55th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (81th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Nacional
- injury Motez Nourani attacker · Unknown Injury · 65 missed
- injury Ulisses defender · Unknown Injury · 36 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
- Capacity
- 5,132
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 1,980
Teams
- Coaches
- João Pedro Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião · Vasco Matos
- Position
- 9 · 13
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 30.4° (feels 31.9°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 52%
Where to watch · 3
Angola
Z Sports 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Nacional
WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.77–8.02 · xPts 6.05
- D
A
Santa Clara
2–2
xG 1.25–1.5
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
2–0
xG 1.13–1.35
PRT PL
- L
A
Santa Clara
0–2
xG 1.01–1.62
PRT PL
- L
H
AVS
1–2
xG 1.82–1.62
PRT PL - W
A
Tondela
2–0
xG 1.56–1.93
PRT PL
WWLLWD 3W 1D 2L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.55–8.44 · xPts 7.69
- D
A
Santa Clara
2–2
xG 1.25–1.5
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
2–0
xG 1.13–1.35
PRT PL
- L
A
Santa Clara
0–2
xG 1.01–1.62
PRT PL
- L
H
AVS
1–2
xG 1.82–1.62
PRT PL
- W
A
Tondela
2–0
xG 1.56–1.93
PRT PL
- W
H
Alverca
1–0
xG 0.78–0.42
PRT PL
Estoril
LDDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 4.85–7.63 · xPts 5.11
- D
H
Famalicão
1–1
xG 0.89–1.3
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
1–3
xG 1.9–3.44
PRT PL
- D
A
Alverca
1–1
xG 0.58–0.99
PRT PL
- D
A
Sporting Braga
1–1
xG 0.93–0.52
PRT PL
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.54–1.38
PRT PL
LLDDLD 0W 3D 3L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 5.23–8.67 · xPts 5.86
- D
H
Famalicão
1–1
xG 0.89–1.3
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
1–3
xG 1.9–3.44
PRT PL
- D
A
Alverca
1–1
xG 0.58–0.99
PRT PL
- D
A
Sporting Braga
1–1
xG 0.93–0.52
PRT PL
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.54–1.38
PRT PL
- L
A
Moreirense
0–1
xG 0.38–1.04
PRT PL
All meetings · 15 matches since 2012
Goals 17–19 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 40%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–8 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- W Nacional 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 0–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estoril 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Nacional 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estoril 1–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estoril 0–1 Nacional neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 0–1 Estoril neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 4–1 Estoril neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estoril 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–0 Estoril neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Nacional all · 6 | Nacional at home · 3 | Estoril all · 6 | Estoril away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.67 | – | 0.33 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 4 | – | 0 / 2 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 67% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 17% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.15 | – | 0.83 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.87 | – | 1.52 | – |
| xG difference | -0.72 | – | -0.69 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | – | -0.50 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.03 | – | 0.93 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.36 | – | -0.60 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 0.20 | – |
| Came back from behind | 20% | – | 20% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 12% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes level | 44% | – | 64% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | – | 36% | – |
| First goal (min) | 47 | – | 77 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | – | 48 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 100% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 27% | – | 62% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | 45% | – |
| Shots | 10.5 | – | 12.5 | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | 4.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 3% | – |
| Shots inside box | 56% | – | 61% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 1.0 | – |
| Corners | 3.3 | – | 4.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 24% | – | 22% | – |
| Goals from headers | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | – | 9.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 43.8 | – | 40.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 80% | – |
| Fouls | 9.5 | – | 12.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | 3.17 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'11
16–30'02
31–45'25
46–60'01
61–75'21
76–90'21
Estoril
0–15'01
16–30'00
31–45'02
46–60'01
61–75'12
76–90'12
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Estoril · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164
Game state
When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222
Situations
With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176
Behind vs level -0.19
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 67% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.22 | 1.5 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 83% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.34 | 1.96 |
| Metric | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional at home · 10 | Estoril all · 10 | Estoril away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 4 / 0 / 6 | 0 / 4 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.27 | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | 1.37 | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | -0.53 | -0.10 | -0.65 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | -0.07 | -0.39 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.10 | 1.35 | 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.16 | -0.57 | -0.39 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 0% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.80 | 2.00 | – | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| Leads held | 60% | 67% | – | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 24% | 0% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 48% | 55% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 28% | 45% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 74 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 42% | 43% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 48% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 13.8 | 12.1 | 9.2 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 9% | 4% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 59% | 59% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 27% | 16% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 8.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.0 | 44.6 | 43.3 | 40.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 78% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13.0 | 12.7 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Estoril
0–15'04
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'12
61–75'12
76–90'32
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.63 | 1.24 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 3.44 |
| Metric | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional at home · 18 | Estoril all · 35 | Estoril away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 0.97 | 1.28 | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 19 | 7 / 2 / 9 | 9 / 9 / 17 | 4 / 3 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.50 | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.28 | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 31% | 22% | 37% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 50% | 51% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 56% | 54% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.41 | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | -0.41 | -0.16 | -0.46 | -0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.19 | 1.32 | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 50% | 26% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.77 | 1.67 | 2.11 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.48 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 25% | 37% | 21% |
| Leads held | 56% | 58% | 69% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 22% | 17% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 55% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 40% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 44 | 39 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 37 | 28 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 74% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 52% | 42% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.3 | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 57% | 64% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 44% | 32% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 18% | 15% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.7 | 44.4 | 44.8 | 42.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 78% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 13.1 | 12.8 | 13.3 |
| Cards | 2.89 | 3.33 | 2.46 | 2.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Estoril
0–15'516
16–30'67
31–45'1010
46–60'107
61–75'89
76–90'98
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Estoril · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.0611
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918
Game state
When ahead-0.0713
When level-0.0135
When behind-0.0927
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.3122
Situations
With ten men+0.083
Against ten men-0.473
At home+0.0117
Away-0.1118
4+ days rest-0.0535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.067
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713
As favourite+0.088
Evenly matched+0.0113
As underdog-0.1814
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0935
Conceded when ahead+0.0813
Conceded late (76+)-0.0831
Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.24 | 1.15 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 17% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.17 | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 14% | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 5 14% | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.12 | 2.41 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 1.61 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.0Home 31% P 31%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.37Away 40% P 40%
Double Chance
1.53Nacional or Draw 31%1.33Nacional or Estoril 35%1.4Draw or Estoril 34%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 31% | 31% | 31% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 31% | +1.5 |
| Away | 40% | 39% | 38% | -1.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa
- Career
- 45 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.73 (4.53 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.4 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.4
- Cards to home side
- 41%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 46 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.43 | 5.66 | -1.53 | 9 |
| Fouls / match | 27.5 | 27.9 | -0.18 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 4.9 | +1.40 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.39 | 0.37 | +0.22 | 52 |
| Time added | 8.4 | 7.7 | +0.95 | 91 |
- First card
- 31' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.26
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 26' | 9 |
| 2026-04-04 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2026-03-07 · Estoril | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 18' | 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 38' | 6 |
| 2026-02-08 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 8' | 10 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 50' | 7 |
| 2025-12-15 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 36' | 7 |
| 2025-11-28 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 90' | 4 |
| 2025-09-28 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 16' | 10 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 29' | 8 |