Santa Clara v Nacional

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 1

Santa ClaraSanta Clara

2–2

NacionalNacional

Momentum

– Santa ClaraNacional –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Santa Clara	at home	Stat	league	away	Nacional
44.8 #13	–	Ball possession	50.1	–	50.0 #9
13.7 #5	–	Shots total	12.2	–	10.5 #10
4.2 #7	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	2.8 #13
3.5 #12	–	Corners	4.4	–	3.3 #13
13.3 #6	–	Fouls	12.7	–	10.2 #16
0.8 #12	–	Offsides	1.2	–	1.0 #10
19.3 #1	–	Tackles	15.9	–	16.5 #8
77.0 #15	–	Attacks	92.9	–	87.0 #12
37.8 #10	–	Dangerous attacks	40.6	–	36.0 #11
355.8 #14	–	Passes	430.4	–	408.3 #9
2.2 #7	–	Yellowcards	2.1	–	1.3 #16
1.2 #6	–	Assists	1.0	–	0.7 #10
– #7	–	Btts	48.9	–	– #7
– #3	–	Cleansheet	28.7	–	– #9
– #3	–	Draw	26.3	–	– #10
1.6 #5	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.2 #9
0.3 #6	–	Expected goals difference	0.1	–	-0.0 #13
– #13	–	Failed to score	28.1	–	– #6
1.8 #5	2.3	Goals	1.4	0.7	1.2 #9
0.7 #16	0.7	Goals conceded	1.4	1.7	1.8 #5
7.8 #11	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	7.8 #11
– #14	–	Lost	36.7	–	– #2
0.2 #5	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #5
6.9 #5	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #12
4.7 #3	–	Shots blocked	2.9	–	2.7 #8
9.0 #4	–	Shots insidebox	7.7	–	5.8 #14
4.8 #10	–	Shots off target	5.2	–	5.0 #7
4.7 #7	–	Shots outsidebox	4.4	–	4.7 #7
– #3	–	Win	37.0	–	– #12

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 50 of 306
Goals / match: 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
Home / draw / away: 40% · 26% · 34%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 55%
Cards / match: 4.26 (reds 0.1)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Santa Clara · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Gonçalo Paciência 9 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.28 (93th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (55% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Pedro Pacheco 4 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 7.0 (83th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Djé 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.05 (78th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 86% of minutes

All key players

Nacional · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Léo Santos 34 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 7.15 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 75% of minutes

Pablo Ruan 99 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 6.82 (29th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 88% of minutes

Ze Vitor 38 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 6.92 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

All key players

Absences

Santa Clara

injury MT defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 25 missed

Nacional

injury Ivanildo Fernandes defender · Unknown Injury · 43 missed
injury Motez Nourani attacker · Unknown Injury · 65 missed
injury Ulisses defender · Unknown Injury · 35 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 1

Venue

Stadium: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity: 13,277
Surface: grass
Attendance: 3,150

Teams

Coaches: Petit · João Pedro Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião
Position: 14 · 13
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Hélder Carvalho

Weather

Conditions: clear sky
Temperature: 22.1° (feels 22.7°)
Wind: 2.3
Humidity: 91%

Where to watch · 10

Angola Z Sports 1
Brazil Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Brazil
Finland Veikkaus TV · VeikkausTV
Greece Cosmote Sport 3
Portugal Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	15	2	13	18	WWWWW
2	Benfica	6	5	1	0	21	4	17	16	WWWWW
3	Sporting CP	6	4	2	0	15	6	9	14	WWWWD
4	Santa Clara	6	4	2	0	11	4	7	14	WWDWW
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	8	5	3	10	WLWDL
6	Estrela Amadora	6	2	4	0	14	12	2	10	DWDWD
7	Sporting Braga	5	3	1	1	7	5	2	10	DWWLW
8	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8	LDLWW
9	Gil Vicente	5	2	1	2	4	4	0	7	WWDLL
10	Marítimo	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7	WDLLL
11	Moreirense	6	2	1	3	7	13	-6	7	LWLLW
12	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8	11	-3	5	DLDLW
13	Famalicão	6	0	4	2	5	7	-2	4	LLDDD
14	Vitória Guimarães	6	1	1	4	4	7	-3	4	LWLDL
15	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7	11	-4	4	WLLLL
16	Rio Ave	6	1	1	4	5	14	-9	4	LWLLD
17	Estoril	6	0	2	4	2	8	-6	2	LLLDL
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1	15	-14	1	LLLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Sporting CP	3	3	0	0	8	3	5	9	WWWWD
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	6	1	5	9	WWWWW
3	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WWDWW
4	Benfica	3	2	1	0	7	4	3	7	WWWWW
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	WLWDL
6	Gil Vicente	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	6	WWDLL
7	Sporting Braga	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6	DWWLW
8	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	6	5	1	5	DWDWD
9	Vitória Guimarães	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	LWLDL
10	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	LWLLW
11	Marítimo	3	1	1	1	3	5	-2	4	WDLLL
12	Nacional	3	1	0	2	5	6	-1	3	WLLLL
13	Academico Viseu	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	LDLWW
14	Alverca	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2	DLDLW
15	Famalicão	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2	LLDDD
16	Estoril	3	0	2	1	1	3	-2	2	LLLDL
17	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	3	9	-6	1	LWLLD
18	Casa Pia	3	0	0	3	1	12	-11	0	LLLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	14	0	14	9	WWWWW
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	9	1	8	9	WWWWW
3	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7	WWDWW
4	Sporting CP	3	1	2	0	7	3	4	5	WWWWD
5	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	8	7	1	5	DWDWD
6	Academico Viseu	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	LDLWW
7	Sporting Braga	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4	DWWLW
8	Arouca	3	1	1	1	1	2	-1	4	WLWDL
9	Alverca	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3	DLDLW
10	Marítimo	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3	WDLLL
11	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	LWLLD
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	LWLLW
13	Famalicão	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	LLDDD
14	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	WWDLL
15	Nacional	3	0	1	2	2	5	-3	1	WLLLL
16	Casa Pia	3	0	1	2	0	3	-3	1	LLLDL
17	Vitória Guimarães	3	0	0	3	3	6	-3	0	LWLDL
18	Estoril	3	0	0	3	1	5	-4	0	LLLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Santa Clara

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.73–5.4 · xPts 7.52

L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.58–1.04 PRT PL
W H Nacional 2–0 xG 1.62–1.01 PRT PL
D A Arouca 2–2 xG 1.92–1.3 PRT PL
W H Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 2.41–0.19 PRT PL
D A Casa Pia 0–0 xG 0.2–1.86 PRT PL

Nacional

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.31–6.94 · xPts 6.49

W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 1.13–1.35 PRT PL
L A Santa Clara 0–2 xG 1.01–1.62 PRT PL
L H AVS 1–2 xG 1.82–1.62 PRT PL
W A Tondela 2–0 xG 1.56–1.93 PRT PL
W H Alverca 1–0 xG 0.78–0.42 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2018

Santa Clara 62 draws1 Nacional

Goals 21–9 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Santa Clara 62 draws1 Nacional

Goals 21–9 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 22 draws1 Nacional

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

D Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
W Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
D Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
W Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
L Nacional 2–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
W Santa Clara 5–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
W Nacional 1–3 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
W Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
W Nacional 0–3 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Santa Clara all · 6	Santa Clara at home · 3	Nacional all · 6	Nacional away · 3
Results
Matches	6	–	6	–
Points per game	2.33	–	0.67	–
W / D / L	4 / 2 / 0	–	1 / 1 / 4	–
Goals for / match	1.83	–	1.17	–
Goals against / match	0.67	–	1.83	–
Clean sheets	50%	–	17%	–
Failed to score	0%	–	33%	–
Both teams scored	50%	–	50%	–
Over 2.5	50%	–	50%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.54	–	1.15	–
xG against / match	0.84	–	1.87	–
xG difference	0.70	–	-0.72	–
Finishing vs xG	0.29	–	0.02	–
xPts / match	1.87	–	1.03	–
Points vs xPts	0.47	–	-0.36	–
Game state
Scored first	83%	–	33%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.60	–	1.50	–
PPG when conceding first	1.00	–	0.25	–
Came back from behind	100%	–	20%	–
Leads held	80%	–	50%	–
Minutes leading	60%	–	12%	–
Minutes level	36%	–	44%	–
Minutes trailing	3%	–	44%	–
First goal (min)	28	–	47	–
First goal conceded (min)	50	–	27	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	36%	–	57%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	–	27%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.33	–	0.33	–
Late goals against	0.00	–	0.17	–
Style
Possession	45%	–	50%	–
Shots	13.7	–	10.5	–
On target	4.2	–	2.8	–
Shot conversion	13%	–	11%	–
Shots inside box	67%	–	56%	–
Big chances created	2.7	–	1.8	–
Corners	3.5	–	3.3	–
xG from set plays	22%	–	24%	–
Goals from headers	9%	–	29%	–
Pressure index	10.7	–	9.3	–
Dominant minutes	45.5	–	43.8	–
Pass accuracy	78%	–	81%	–
Fouls	13.2	–	9.5	–
Cards	2.67	–	1.33	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'20

16–30'40

31–45'12

46–60'21

61–75'01

76–90'20

Nacional

0–15'11

16–30'02

31–45'25

46–60'01

61–75'21

76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116

Early press (0-15, level)-0.176

Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085

When level-0.186

10 min after conceding-0.223

10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073

Away-0.263

4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184

As favourite+0.322

Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006

Conceded when ahead+0.225

Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Nacional · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.246

Early press (0-15, level)-0.176

Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284

Game state

When ahead-0.492

When level-0.226

When behind-0.185

10 min after conceding-0.325

10 min after scoring+0.334

Situations

At home-0.193

Away-0.283

4+ days rest-0.246

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.162

v bottom-tier opponents-0.262

Evenly matched-0.193

As underdog-0.283

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.126

Conceded when ahead+0.192

Conceded late (76+)-0.136

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 67%	2.0	1.25	0.75	1.46	0.85
4-3-3	2 33%	3.0	3.0	0.5	1.7	0.84

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	4 67%	0.75	1.0	1.5	0.86	2.06
3-4-3	1 17%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.25	1.5
4-2-3-1	1 17%	0.0	1.0	3.0	2.22	1.5

Metric	Santa Clara all · 10	Santa Clara at home · 10	Nacional all · 10	Nacional away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	2.10	1.90	1.00	0.50
W / D / L	6 / 3 / 1	6 / 1 / 3	3 / 1 / 6	1 / 2 / 7
Goals for / match	1.70	1.70	1.20	0.60
Goals against / match	0.80	1.10	1.50	1.60
Clean sheets	40%	50%	30%	10%
Failed to score	10%	10%	30%	60%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	40%	30%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	40%	30%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.58	1.30	1.24	0.91
xG against / match	0.86	1.06	1.78	2.09
xG difference	0.72	0.23	-0.53	-1.18
Finishing vs xG	0.12	0.40	-0.04	-0.31
xPts / match	1.84	1.52	1.10	0.78
Points vs xPts	0.26	0.38	-0.10	-0.28
Game state
Scored first	60%	60%	50%	10%
PPG when scoring first	2.67	2.67	1.80	3.00
PPG when conceding first	1.25	0.75	0.20	0.22
Came back from behind	75%	25%	14%	22%
Leads held	86%	86%	60%	100%
Minutes leading	44%	37%	19%	8%
Minutes level	46%	40%	45%	46%
Minutes trailing	10%	23%	36%	46%
First goal (min)	31	37	40	50
First goal conceded (min)	43	33	26	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	47%	59%	50%	33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	36%	33%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.50	0.40	0.30	0.10
Late goals against	0.10	0.10	0.20	0.20
Style
Possession	44%	47%	50%	45%
Shots	13.0	12.3	12.2	10.5
On target	3.3	3.6	3.3	3.9
Shot conversion	13%	14%	10%	6%
Shots inside box	65%	58%	57%	57%
Big chances created	2.6	2.5	1.8	1.4
Corners	4.0	3.9	4.3	3.5
xG from set plays	23%	25%	30%	33%
Goals from headers	18%	24%	33%	33%
Pressure index	11.1	11.8	9.1	6.4
Dominant minutes	47.5	51.3	42.0	34.3
Pass accuracy	78%	77%	79%	78%
Fouls	12.1	16.6	11.3	13.1
Cards	2.40	3.00	2.10	2.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'31

16–30'51

31–45'12

46–60'21

61–75'12

76–90'51

Nacional

0–15'21

16–30'14

31–45'35

46–60'01

61–75'32

76–90'32

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	7 70%	1.71	1.29	0.86	1.43	0.96
4-3-3	2 20%	3.0	3.0	0.5	1.7	0.84
4-1-4-1	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	2.41	0.19

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	0.75	1.0	1.75	1.65	1.67
3-4-2-1	4 40%	0.75	1.0	1.5	0.86	2.06
3-4-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.25	1.5
4-3-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	0.0	1.13	1.35

Metric	Santa Clara all · 35	Santa Clara at home · 18	Nacional all · 35	Nacional away · 17
Results
Matches	35	18	35	17
Points per game	1.29	1.61	0.97	0.65
W / D / L	12 / 9 / 14	9 / 2 / 7	9 / 7 / 19	2 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match	1.17	1.33	1.14	0.76
Goals against / match	1.14	1.00	1.37	1.47
Clean sheets	31%	44%	23%	12%
Failed to score	29%	22%	31%	41%
Both teams scored	46%	39%	49%	47%
Over 2.5	40%	44%	46%	35%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.17	1.24	1.26	1.11
xG against / match	1.06	0.98	1.67	1.78
xG difference	0.11	0.26	-0.41	-0.67
Finishing vs xG	0.01	0.09	-0.12	-0.35
xPts / match	1.44	1.53	1.19	1.06
Points vs xPts	-0.15	0.08	-0.22	-0.41
Game state
Scored first	46%	56%	37%	24%
PPG when scoring first	2.19	2.50	1.77	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.47	0.43	0.48	0.23
Came back from behind	33%	12%	24%	23%
Leads held	71%	82%	56%	50%
Minutes leading	24%	29%	18%	13%
Minutes level	53%	53%	55%	54%
Minutes trailing	23%	18%	28%	33%
First goal (min)	34	36	44	45
First goal conceded (min)	39	40	40	43
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	51%	58%	62%	38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	50%	54%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.37	0.39	0.26	0.12
Late goals against	0.17	0.11	0.29	0.24
Style
Possession	48%	48%	48%	45%
Shots	12.1	12.2	12.7	12.2
On target	3.3	3.5	4.2	4.1
Shot conversion	10%	11%	9%	6%
Shots inside box	57%	56%	58%	59%
Big chances created	2.0	2.4	1.9	1.7
Corners	4.3	4.4	3.9	3.6
xG from set plays	36%	37%	39%	32%
Goals from headers	18%	25%	18%	15%
Pressure index	10.5	11.3	9.0	7.3
Dominant minutes	46.1	47.4	39.7	34.6
Pass accuracy	79%	78%	78%	77%
Fouls	14.7	16.2	13.4	13.8
Cards	3.09	3.39	2.89	2.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'134

16–30'56

31–45'210

46–60'47

61–75'47

76–90'136

Nacional

0–15'48

16–30'45

31–45'79

46–60'67

61–75'109

76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: against ten men -0.37

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0635

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0435

Late push (76+, level)-0.2415

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0619

Game state

When ahead-0.1217

When level-0.0735

When behind-0.0021

10 min after conceding-0.2524

10 min after scoring+0.2325

Situations

With ten men+0.084

Against ten men-0.373

At home-0.0618

Away-0.0617

4+ days rest-0.0635

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.277

v mid-tier opponents-0.186

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0214

As favourite+0.1212

Evenly matched-0.1016

As underdog-0.277

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0435

Conceded when ahead+0.1417

Conceded late (76+)-0.0734

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.06

Nacional · 35 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1535

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035

Late push (76+, level)-0.1215

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718

Game state

When ahead-0.3716

When level-0.1035

When behind-0.1225

10 min after conceding-0.1827

10 min after scoring+0.0424

Situations

With ten men-0.105

Against ten men-0.073

At home-0.1318

Away-0.1817

4+ days rest-0.1535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.437

v mid-tier opponents-0.209

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411

As favourite-0.056

Evenly matched-0.0515

As underdog-0.3114

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2735

Conceded when ahead+0.4616

Conceded late (76+)+0.0533

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	11 31%	1.64	1.27	0.64	1.1	0.98
4-2-3-1	9 26%	1.78	1.22	0.78	1.3	0.93
5-4-1	3 9%	0.0	0.33	1.33	0.39	1.04
3-4-2-1	3 9%	0.0	1.0	2.33	1.26	1.82
3-4-3	3 9%	1.33	1.33	1.33	1.62	1.28

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	13 37%	1.08	0.85	0.92	1.07	1.75
4-2-3-1	10 29%	0.8	1.2	1.7	1.41	1.57
3-4-2-1	4 11%	0.75	1.0	1.5	0.86	2.06
5-4-1	3 9%	1.33	1.0	1.0	1.35	1.58
3-4-3	2 6%	2.0	3.0	1.0	1.24	1.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 50%3.0Draw 31% P 30%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Santa Clara or Draw 40%1.36Santa Clara or Nacional 35%1.9Draw or Nacional 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.6Over 36% P 36%1.47Under 64% P 64%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 17.5–20% · 120 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	50%	52%	49%	-2.4
Draw	30%	29%	33%	+4.1
Away	20%	19%	18%	-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.0 goals a game · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 38%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	36%	36%	41%	+4.2

Hélder Carvalho

Career: 42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
Fouls / match: 28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.41
Cards to home side: 53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.62	5.66	-1.29	12
Fouls / match	28.9	27.9	+0.55
Fouls per card	6.3	4.9	+1.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.45	0.37	+0.65	79
Time added	8.0	7.7	+0.48	73

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.31

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-05-11 · Santa Clara · Nacional	3	0	26	0	29'	6
2026-04-26	6	0	30	1	15'	7
2026-04-17	3	0	21	0	66'	6
2026-04-06	1	0	29	0	85'	10
2026-03-14	2	0	34	0	45'	7
2026-02-28	4	0	26	0	54'	7
2026-02-21 · Santa Clara	4	0	30	1	14'	10
2026-01-24	6	2	23	0	64'	6
2026-01-03	3	0	22	1	11'	8
2025-12-14	2	0	34	0	28'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Santa Clara · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Nacional · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Santa Clara

Nacional

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 10

Santa Clara

Nacional

All meetings · 9 matches since 2018

Last 10 · 9 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

Nacional

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Nacional · 6 matches

Santa Clara

Nacional

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

Nacional

Santa Clara

Nacional

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

Nacional

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 35 matches

Nacional · 35 matches

Santa Clara

Nacional

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 17.5–20% · 120 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

Hélder Carvalho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

Recent matches