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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 1

Momentum

PortoAlverca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,558

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Sérgio Ferreira
Position
12 · 8
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.2° (feels 24.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 55

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 10.41–3.52 · xPts 10.49

  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.04–0.58 PRT PL
  • L A AVS 1–3 xG 3.03–0.65 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 1–0 xG 0.91–0.76 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–1 xG 2.02–1.41 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 2–0 xG 3.4–0.11 PRT PL

Alverca

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 3.63–3.94 · xPts 6.29

  • L A Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.64–0.67 PRT PL
  • D H Estoril 1–1 xG 0.99–0.58 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.76–0.91 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 2–1 xG 0.81–0.99 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 0–1 xG 0.42–0.78 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Porto 30 draws0 Alverca

Goals 6–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Porto 30 draws0 Alverca

Goals 6–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Porto 30 draws0 Alverca

Goals 6–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Porto 2–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Alverca 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 6Porto at home · 3Alverca all · 6Alverca away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game3.000.83
W / D / L6 / 0 / 01 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match2.501.33
Goals against / match0.331.83
Clean sheets67%0%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored33%83%
Over 2.550%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.381.08
xG against / match1.101.85
xG difference1.28-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.120.25
xPts / match2.090.88
Points vs xPts0.91-0.04
Game state
Scored first67%50%
PPG when scoring first3.001.33
PPG when conceding first3.000.33
Came back from behind100%25%
Leads held100%25%
Minutes leading61%19%
Minutes level35%42%
Minutes trailing4%39%
First goal (min)2955
First goal conceded (min)3247
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half0%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.17
Late goals against0.000.33
Style
Possession56%43%
Shots15.310.0
On target6.23.7
Shot conversion16%13%
Shots inside box70%58%
Big chances created4.22.0
Corners7.54.5
xG from set plays41%44%
Goals from headers21%38%
Pressure index19.28.7
Dominant minutes61.841.2
Pass accuracy84%79%
Fouls13.213.0
Cards0.672.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'30
16–30'11
31–45'41
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'30

Alverca

0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'31
46–60'15
61–75'21
76–90'12

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-36 100%3.02.50.332.381.1

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 50%0.671.332.00.741.44
3-4-33 50%1.01.331.671.422.26

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.18Home 79% P 80%6.0Draw 16% P 14%17.0Away 5% P 6%

Double Chance

1.03FC Porto or Draw 46%1.14FC Porto or Alverca 42%4.0Draw or Alverca 12%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.37Yes 39%1.53No 61%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.15Under 44% P 43%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home80%79%82%+3.0
Draw14%14%13%-1.5
Away6%7%5%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.9+0.50
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3664
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-06 60 200 3'15
2026-05-16 10 270 63'6
2026-05-11 30 270 22'9
2026-04-26 80 260 27'7
2026-04-12 · Porto 40 280 30'9
2026-03-21 10 260 69'4
2026-03-12 40 240 30'7
2026-03-08 30 321 45'10
2026-02-26 60 220 12'9
2026-02-15 40 190 34'9