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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 2–4 · Lugano went through · After Full Time

Momentum

NSÍLugano
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar, Klaksvík · neutral
Capacity
2,500
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Siggi Eyjolfsson · Mattia Croci-Torti
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Robert Hennessy

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.0° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
7.5
Humidity
99%

Where to watch · 7

  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Switzerland Blue Sport · Play RSI · RSI La 2 · RTS Sport · SRF Play · Sunrise TV

No table for this competition stage.

NSÍ

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 0.68–3.05 · xPts 0.26

  • L A Lugano 0–2 xG 0.68–3.05 UEFA ECL
  • W A Koper 3–1 won on pens None–None UEFA ECL
  • L H Koper 0–2 UEFA ECL
  • W A Hamrun Spartans 2–1 UEFA ECL
  • D H Hamrun Spartans 1–1 UEFA ECL

Lugano

WWW 3W 0D 0L · 9 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1 · xG 9.05–2.57 · xPts 7.58

  • W H NSÍ 2–0 xG 3.05–0.68 UEFA ECL
  • W A Dukagjini 5–1 xG 3.46–1.1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Dukagjini 1–0 xG 2.54–0.79 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

NSÍ 01 draws1 Lugano

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

NSÍ 01 draws1 Lugano

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

NSÍ 01 draws1 Lugano

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D NSÍ 2–2 Lugano neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Lugano 2–0 NSÍ UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricNSÍ all · 6NSÍ at home · 3Lugano all · 6Lugano away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.332.33
W / D / L2 / 2 / 24 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match1.332.17
Goals against / match1.500.83
Clean sheets0%33%
Failed to score33%0%
Both teams scored67%67%
Over 2.550%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.932.38
xG against / match2.771.31
xG difference-1.831.07
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.21
xPts / match0.471.97
Points vs xPts0.030.37
Game state
Scored first67%67%
PPG when scoring first2.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.00
Came back from behind0%100%
Leads held50%100%
Minutes leading31%52%
Minutes level53%37%
Minutes trailing16%11%
First goal (min)3336
First goal conceded (min)6139
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half88%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.50
Late goals against0.830.00
Style
Possession41%58%
Shots8.317.5
On target4.06.0
Shot conversion16%12%
Shots inside box64%71%
Big chances created1.03.3
Corners5.35.7
xG from set plays15%21%
Goals from headers0%31%
Pressure index6.822.0
Dominant minutes38.361.3
Pass accuracy77%88%
Fouls9.515.0
Cards1.831.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NSÍ

0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'20
46–60'02
61–75'21
76–90'14

Lugano

0–15'31
16–30'11
31–45'20
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'30

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NSÍ · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.164
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.312

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.166
When behind-0.422
10 min after conceding-0.445
10 min after scoring+0.064

Situations

At home-0.233
Away-0.193
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.122
As underdog-0.254

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.366
Conceded when ahead+0.254
Conceded late (76+)-0.066

Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26

Lugano · 6 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.486
Late push (76+, level)+0.282
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.022

Game state

When ahead+0.674
When level+0.426
When behind+0.842
10 min after conceding+0.064
10 min after scoring+0.716

Situations

At home+0.663
Away+0.503
4+ days rest+0.596

Opposition

As favourite+0.755

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.216
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.235

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42

NSÍ

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 33%2.02.01.0
5-4-12 33%1.51.01.50.683.05
4-4-21 17%1.02.02.01.182.48
4-2-3-11 17%0.00.02.0

Lugano

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-22 33%2.02.01.02.770.93
3-4-2-12 33%3.01.50.52.311.18
3-1-4-21 17%3.05.01.03.461.1
3-5-21 17%1.01.01.00.692.54

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.0Home 15% P 12%5.0Draw 18% P 18%1.38Away 66% P 70%

Double Chance

3.0NSI Runavik or Draw 16%1.14NSI Runavik or Lugano 42%1.11Draw or Lugano 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 20%1.162 80%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 66%2.5Under 38% P 34%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 67.5–70% · 208 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%12%11%-0.9
Draw18%20%15%-4.3
Away70%69%74%+5.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Robert Hennessy

Career
20 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.85 (4.65 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.74.92-0.4031
Fouls / match27.623.8+1.58
Fouls per card5.94.8+1.18 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.29-0.6726
Time added6.66.5-0.1241
First card
35' on average
Card timing
29% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-22 10 231 62'5
2025-11-27 80 330 13'6
2025-10-02 40 271 84'7