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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 2–2 · Borac Banja Luka went through · After Penalties

Momentum

ML VitebskBBL
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadyen DYuSSh-1, Rahachow · neutral
Capacity
250
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Igor Ryabov · Vinko Marinović
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Andy Madley

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.2° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
8.4
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 9

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · ARENA SPORT PREMIUM 1 · Moja TV
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud · Arena sport 2
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud · Arena sport 2
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · Arena sport 2

No table for this competition stage.

ML Vitebsk

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7

  • L A Borac Banja Luka 0–1 UEFA ECL
  • W A Sutjeska 2–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Sutjeska 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Universitatea Craiova 0–1 UEFA CL
  • L H Universitatea Craiova 1–4 UEFA CL

Borac Banja Luka

DLWDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8

  • W H ML Vitebsk 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • D A Petrocub 3–3 UEFA ECL
  • W H Petrocub 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Levski Sofia 0–4 UEFA CL
  • D H Levski Sofia 1–1 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

ML Vitebsk 10 draws1 Borac Banja Luka

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

ML Vitebsk 10 draws1 Borac Banja Luka

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

ML Vitebsk 10 draws1 Borac Banja Luka

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W ML Vitebsk 2–1 Borac Banja Luka pens None–None neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Borac Banja Luka 1–0 ML Vitebsk UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricML Vitebsk all · 4ML Vitebsk at home · 2Borac Banja Luka all · 6Borac Banja Luka away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.17
W / D / L4 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match2.33
Goals against / match1.17
Clean sheets33%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored67%
Over 2.583%
Game state
Scored first50%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first1.33
Came back from behind67%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading42%
Minutes level30%
Minutes trailing28%
First goal (min)44
First goal conceded (min)38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half69%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.83
Late goals against0.17
Style
Possession49%
Shots16.3
On target6.8
Shot conversion22%
Corners5.2
Pressure index8.5
Dominant minutes42.8
Fouls11.8
Cards2.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borac Banja Luka

0–15'11
16–30'32
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'21
76–90'40

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

ML Vitebsk · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.086
Late push (76+, level)-0.342
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.143

Game state

When ahead-0.393
When level+0.126
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.244
10 min after scoring-0.544

Situations

At home-0.033
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.045

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.102
As underdog+0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.056
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level +0.16

Borac Banja Luka · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: when level -0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.228
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.522

Game state

When ahead-0.335
When level-0.358
When behind+0.174
10 min after conceding+0.136
10 min after scoring-0.346

Situations

At home-0.304
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.228

Opposition

As favourite-0.174
Evenly matched-0.312
As underdog-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.138
Conceded when ahead+0.315
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level +0.52

ML Vitebsk

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 100%2.251.750.75

Borac Banja Luka

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 83%2.02.61.4
4-2-1-31 17%3.01.00.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 34% P 35%3.25Draw 28% P 27%2.4Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5ML Vitebsk or Draw 32%1.33ML Vitebsk or Borac Banja Luka 36%1.5Draw or Borac Banja Luka 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 154 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.9
Draw27%26%30%+4.1
Away38%38%35%-3.3

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Andy Madley

Career
314 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.41 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 3 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 35.7 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-14 · Borac Banja Luka 30 250 17'2
2026-05-24 10 120 82'13
2026-05-12 80 340 13'11
2026-05-09 62 330 41'9
2026-04-25 40 200 19'11
2026-04-22 40 291 37'15
2026-04-22 22 6
2026-04-12 30 291 68'7
2026-04-03 30 171 38'8
2026-03-14 23 61'14