Rating 6.89 · G+A 1 + 0 (100% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round
Momentum
– C1SPAO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | at home | Stat | league | away | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 #103 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 51.8 #59 |
| 13.0 #28 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 16.5 #16 |
| 2.2 #105 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 7.3 #9 |
| 5.2 #56 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.7 #24 |
| 14.2 #50 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 11.2 #109 |
| 0.8 #123 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 0.8 #122 |
| 9.5 #36 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 12.2 #27 |
| 112.0 #59 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 145.0 #8 |
| 66.2 #55 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 82.7 #16 |
| 230.8 #35 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 489.8 #14 |
| 2.8 #34 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.3 #54 |
| 0.2 #123 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.7 #83 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #11 |
| 0.5 #46 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #23 |
| -0.0 #47 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 0.4 #34 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #97 |
| 0.5 #115 | 0.5 | Goals | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 #37 |
| 0.8 #134 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 #92 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #45 |
| 6.5 #28 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 8.3 #18 |
| – #104 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #130 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #34 |
| 6.7 #26 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.8 #16 |
| 4.0 #19 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 4.8 #13 |
| 5.0 #34 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 9.2 #16 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 6.0 #39 |
| 3.2 #32 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 5.5 #16 |
| – #92 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
CSKA 1948 Sofia · Last 365 days
Rating 7.01 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.76 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Panathinaikos · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Rating 7.08 · G+A 0 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.11 · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Rating 6.94 · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Absences
CSKA 1948 Sofia
- injury Bernardo Couto midfielder · Torn Knee Ligaments · 32 missed
Panathinaikos
- injury Davide Calabria defender · Unknown Injury · 4 missed
- injury Pavlos Pantelidis attacker · Tibia And Fibula Fracture · 2 missed
- injury Sverrir Ingi Ingason defender · Knee Injury · 4 missed · until 2027-06-30
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 3rd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadion Vitosha (Bistritsa (Bistrica)), Bistrica · neutral
- Capacity
- 2,500
Teams
- Coaches
- Yuri Vasev · Jacob Neestrup Hansen
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-1-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Jasper Vergoote
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.4° (feels 22.8°)
- Wind
- 2.8
- Humidity
- 39%
Where to watch · 2
Cyprus
SKAI
Greece
SKAI
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CSKA 1948 Sofia
DD 0W 2D 0L · 2 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0
- D
H
Spartak Trnava
0–0 won on pens None–None
UEFA ECL - D
A
Spartak Trnava
0–0
UEFA ECL
DD 0W 2D 0L · 2 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0
- D
H
Spartak Trnava
0–0 won on pens None–None
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Spartak Trnava
0–0
UEFA ECL
Panathinaikos
WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 3.64–1.85 · xPts 3.97
- D
H
Paksi SE
2–2
xG 1.57–0.6
UEFA ECL - W
A
Paksi SE
2–1
xG 2.08–1.25
UEFA ECL
WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 3.64–1.85 · xPts 3.97
- D
H
Paksi SE
2–2
xG 1.57–0.6
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Paksi SE
2–1
xG 2.08–1.25
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–2 Panathinaikos aet neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
| Metric | CSKA 1948 Sofia all · 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia at home · 2 | Panathinaikos all · 5 | Panathinaikos away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.20 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 3 / 2 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 2.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.40 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.87 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.34 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.53 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.13 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.76 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.74 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 80% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 31% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 62% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 7% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 54 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 74 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 75% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 86% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.60 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.80 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 48% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 17.0 | – |
| On target | – | – | 7.8 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 12% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 64% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 3.8 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 6.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 33% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 12% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 15.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 66.4 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 11.4 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 2.60 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Panathinaikos
0–15'00
16–30'00
31–45'21
46–60'31
61–75'21
76–90'14
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
CSKA 1948 Sofia · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: when level -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.153
Late push (76+, level)-0.143
Game state
When level-0.253
Situations
At home-0.262
4+ days rest-0.253
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)-0.383
Behind vs level +0.01
Panathinaikos · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late push (76+, level)+0.303
Game state
When ahead+0.204
When level+0.525
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.765
Situations
At home+0.212
Away+0.553
4+ days rest+0.405
Opposition
As favourite+0.405
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.345
Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.23
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 67% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.8 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Panathinaikos
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 2 40% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 2.65 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.08 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.86 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 20% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 0.6 |
| Metric | CSKA 1948 Sofia all · 7 | CSKA 1948 Sofia at home · 4 | Panathinaikos all · 10 | Panathinaikos away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | – | 1.70 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 2 | – | 4 / 5 / 1 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | – | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.14 | – | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | – | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.74 | 1.73 |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | – | 1.76 | 2.11 |
| xG difference | -0.94 | – | -0.02 | -0.38 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | – | -0.30 | -0.33 |
| xPts / match | 0.76 | – | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.76 | – | 0.37 | 0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 0% | – | 70% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.14 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 67% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 50% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 5% | – | 26% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 76% | – | 60% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | – | 14% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 73 | – | 51 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 56 | – | 59 | 56 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | – | 69% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | 73% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.71 | – | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 47% | 46% |
| Shots | 9.6 | – | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| On target | 3.1 | – | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | – | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | – | 61% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | – | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.1 | – | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | – | 53% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 15% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 5.4 | – | 14.2 | 8.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.4 | – | 54.7 | 43.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | – | 79% | 80% |
| Fouls | 14.0 | – | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 3.71 | – | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
CSKA 1948 Sofia
0–15'01
16–30'10
31–45'00
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'11
Panathinaikos
0–15'12
16–30'00
31–45'32
46–60'42
61–75'33
76–90'26
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 71% | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | – | – |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 29% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.8 |
Panathinaikos
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.15 | 2.06 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 2.65 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 2.36 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 0.6 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03 | 0.78 |
| Metric | CSKA 1948 Sofia all · 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia at home · 2 | Panathinaikos all · 17 | Panathinaikos away · 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 17 | 9 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.65 | 1.89 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 7 / 7 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.47 | 1.56 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.35 | 1.44 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 18% | 11% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 12% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 76% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 65% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.58 | 2.25 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.14 | -0.29 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.28 | 0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 71% | 78% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | 33% |
| Leads held | – | – | 54% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 26% | 32% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 62% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 13% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 49 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 55 | 56 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 61% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 70% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 50% | 46% |
| Shots | – | – | 14.2 | 13.4 |
| On target | – | – | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 57% | 60% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Corners | – | – | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 42% | 42% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 17% | 7% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 16.0 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 55.3 | 46.7 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | – | – | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| Cards | – | – | 2.88 | 3.44 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Panathinaikos
0–15'32
16–30'31
31–45'34
46–60'53
61–75'55
76–90'48
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
CSKA 1948 Sofia · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: when level -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.153
Late push (76+, level)-0.143
Game state
When level-0.253
Situations
At home-0.262
4+ days rest-0.253
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)-0.383
Behind vs level +0.01
Panathinaikos · 17 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2317
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2917
Late push (76+, level)+0.0111
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.304
Game state
When ahead+0.0213
When level+0.3317
When behind+0.096
10 min after conceding-0.0113
10 min after scoring+0.4515
Situations
Against ten men+0.572
At home+0.308
Away+0.159
4+ days rest+0.2317
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.449
Evenly matched-0.034
As underdog-0.054
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1217
Conceded when ahead-0.0813
Conceded late (76+)-0.3415
Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.24
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 67% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.8 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Panathinaikos
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 24% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.15 | 2.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 18% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 18% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 1.61 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 12% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 2.65 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.78 | 0.57 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.0Home 18% P 19%3.4Draw 27% P 27%1.7Away 54% P 55%
Double Chance
2.1CSKA 1948 Sofia or Draw 22%1.3CSKA 1948 Sofia or Panathinaikos 36%1.14Draw or Panathinaikos 41%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19% | 19% | 24% | +5.3 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 26% | -1.3 |
| Away | 55% | 54% | 50% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Jasper Vergoote
- Career
- 13 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.31 (3.15 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.1 · 7.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.61
- Cards to home side
- 37%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.6 | 4.92 | -1.67 | 2 |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 23.8 | -0.13 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 4.8 | +1.81 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.29 | +0.64 | 65 |
| Time added | 7.6 | 6.5 | +0.96 | 84 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 50' | 6 |
| 2025-12-11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 10' | 9 |
| 2025-10-23 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 35' | 11 |