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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 3–5 · Ajax went through · After Full Time

Momentum

ShelbourneAjax
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Tolka Park, Dublin
Capacity
9,681
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
John Russell · Míchel
Position
2 · 1
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
20.8° (feels 21.0°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 12

No table for this competition stage.

Shelbourne

WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 0.2–6.61 · xPts 0.0

  • L A Ajax 1–3 xG 0.2–6.61 UEFA ECL
  • L A Nõmme Kalju 1–2 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nõmme Kalju 5–2 UEFA ECL

Ajax

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 4 · xG 19.39–6.63 · xPts 11.75

  • W A PEC Zwolle 2–0 xG 1.97–0.49 NLD E
  • W H Shelbourne 3–1 xG 6.61–0.2 UEFA ECL
  • W H Vojvodina 4–1 xG 4.17–0.25 UEFA ECL
  • W A Vojvodina 4–1 xG 1.71–0.82 UEFA ECL
  • D H FC Utrecht 1–1 won on pens None–None xG 4.92–4.87 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Shelbourne 01 draws1 Ajax

Goals 3–5 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Shelbourne 01 draws1 Ajax

Goals 3–5 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Shelbourne 01 draws1 Ajax

Goals 3–5 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricShelbourne all · 4Shelbourne at home · 2Ajax all · 6Ajax away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.67
W / D / L5 / 1 / 0
Goals for / match3.67
Goals against / match1.67
Clean sheets0%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored100%
Over 2.5100%
Expected goals
xG for / match3.46
xG against / match0.97
xG difference2.49
Finishing vs xG0.21
xPts / match2.33
Points vs xPts0.34
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first2.50
PPG when conceding first3.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held83%
Minutes leading63%
Minutes level33%
Minutes trailing5%
First goal (min)21
First goal conceded (min)38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.33
Late goals against0.50
Style
Possession66%
Shots24.2
On target10.3
Shot conversion15%
Shots inside box68%
Big chances created5.3
Corners9.2
xG from set plays18%
Goals from headers14%
Pressure index26.1
Dominant minutes67.7
Pass accuracy91%
Fouls9.0
Cards1.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ajax

0–15'30
16–30'23
31–45'53
46–60'80
61–75'21
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Shelbourne · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.58

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)-0.374
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.583

Game state

When ahead-0.042
When level-0.214
When behind-0.283
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.054

Situations

At home+0.062
Away-0.412
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
As favourite-0.212
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded when ahead-0.232
Conceded late (76+)+0.123

Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

Shelbourne

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-21 25%3.05.02.0
5-4-11 25%0.01.03.00.26.61
3-5-21 25%1.02.02.00.841.33
4-3-31 25%0.01.02.0

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 83%2.63.81.82.831.12
4-1-4-11 17%3.03.01.06.610.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.5Home 10% P 8%5.75Draw 16% P 15%1.22Away 75% P 77%

Double Chance

3.6Shelbourne or Draw 13%1.1Shelbourne or Ajax 42%1.03Draw or Ajax 45%

Draw No Bet

8.51 11%1.052 89%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 69% P 67%3.0Under 31% P 33%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%9%7%-1.3
Draw15%15%11%-4.1
Away77%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Career
83 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.02 (4.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
27.1 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.75 cards, 20.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-16 30 170 20'4
2026-04-19 100 231 19'9
2026-04-12 41 211 55'10
2025-08-17 61 340 33'9