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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 3–1 · Motherwell went through · After Full Time

Momentum

MotherwellHJK
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Fir Park, Motherwell
Capacity
13,742
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,185

Teams

Coaches
Alfred Johansson · Joonas Rantanen
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Michal Očenáš

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
20.8° (feels 20.9°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 1

  • Finland HJK TV

No table for this competition stage.

Motherwell

WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1

  • D A HJK 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W A HB 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H HB 2–0 UEFA ECL

HJK

WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 9 GA 1

  • D H Motherwell 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W A Coleraine 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Coleraine 5–0 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Motherwell 11 draws0 HJK

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Motherwell 11 draws0 HJK

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Motherwell 11 draws0 HJK

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Motherwell 2–0 HJK UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • D HJK 1–1 Motherwell UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricMotherwell all · 6Motherwell at home · 3HJK all · 4HJK away · 2
Results
Matches6
Points per game1.67
W / D / L3 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.67
Goals against / match1.33
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored50%
Over 2.550%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.27
xG against / match3.39
xG difference-3.12
Finishing vs xG0.73
xPts / match0.14
Points vs xPts-0.14
Game state
Scored first83%
PPG when scoring first2.00
PPG when conceding first0.00
Came back from behind0%
Leads held60%
Minutes leading40%
Minutes level47%
Minutes trailing13%
First goal (min)29
First goal conceded (min)35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.00
Late goals against0.33
Style
Possession48%
Shots7.2
On target3.3
Shot conversion28%
Shots inside box50%
Big chances created0.5
Corners2.5
xG from set plays4%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index6.7
Dominant minutes34.2
Pass accuracy80%
Fouls8.2
Cards1.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Motherwell

0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'10
46–60'31
61–75'23
76–90'02

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Motherwell · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.206
Early press (0-15, level)-0.036
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.272

Game state

When ahead-0.295
When level-0.096
When behind-0.322
10 min after conceding-0.453
10 min after scoring-0.336

Situations

With ten men-0.292
At home-0.213
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.206

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.442
As favourite-0.113
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.306
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)+0.325

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.23

HJK · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: 10 min after scoring -0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.234

Game state

When ahead-0.052
When level-0.114
When behind-0.082
10 min after conceding-0.132
10 min after scoring-0.303

Situations

At home-0.212
Away+0.032
4+ days rest-0.094

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.014
Conceded when ahead-0.032
Conceded late (76+)-0.592

Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level +0.03

Motherwell

Current: winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%1.51.751.750.273.39
4-2-3-12 33%2.01.50.5

HJK

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 75%1.331.331.0
4-3-31 25%3.05.00.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 53% P 51%3.6Draw 26% P 27%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.16Motherwell or Draw 41%1.28Motherwell or HJK Helsinki 37%2.1Draw or HJK Helsinki 22%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 51%1.95Under 49% P 49%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw27%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Michal Očenáš

Career
21 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.43 (4.24 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.584.92-0.5426
Fouls / match21.323.8-0.93
Fouls per card5.04.8+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.29-0.8920
Time added6.56.5-0.2233
First card
33' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 60 240 15'8
2025-10-02 40 260 70'8
2025-08-21 22 5