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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 0–1 · Raków Częstochowa went through · After Full Time

Momentum

HammarbyRAK
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
Capacity
32,000
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Henrik Rydström · Dawid Kroczek
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Luca Pairetto

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.7° (feels 20.0°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
45%

Where to watch · 2

  • Sweden Sport Bladet Play · Sportbladet Play

No table for this competition stage.

Hammarby

DLD 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4

  • D A Raków Częstochowa 0–0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Anderlecht 1–3 UEFA EL
  • D H Anderlecht 1–1 UEFA EL

Raków Częstochowa

WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 7 GA 1

  • D H Hammarby 0–0 UEFA ECL
  • W A Valletta 4–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Valletta 3–1 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Hammarby 01 draws1 Raków Częstochowa

Goals 0–1 · 0.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Hammarby 01 draws1 Raków Częstochowa

Goals 0–1 · 0.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Hammarby 01 draws1 Raków Częstochowa

Goals 0–1 · 0.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Hammarby 0–1 Raków Częstochowa UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • D Raków Częstochowa 0–0 Hammarby UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricHammarby all · 2Hammarby at home · 1Raków Częstochowa all · 6Raków Częstochowa away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game1.83
W / D / L3 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match2.00
Goals against / match1.00
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score17%
Both teams scored50%
Over 2.567%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.47
xG against / match1.43
xG difference1.04
Finishing vs xG-0.47
xPts / match2.00
Points vs xPts-2.00
Game state
Scored first33%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first1.33
Came back from behind67%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading22%
Minutes level45%
Minutes trailing33%
First goal (min)42
First goal conceded (min)15
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.83
Late goals against0.17
Style
Possession54%
Shots15.8
On target6.0
Shot conversion15%
Shots inside box55%
Big chances created6.0
Corners4.3
xG from set plays38%
Goals from headers50%
Pressure index12.8
Dominant minutes60.7
Pass accuracy82%
Fouls11.2
Cards1.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Raków Częstochowa

0–15'01
16–30'22
31–45'20
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'50

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hammarby · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.024
Early press (0-15, level)+0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.683
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.053

Game state

When level+0.094
When behind+0.073
10 min after conceding-0.263
10 min after scoring-0.862

Situations

At home+0.212
Away-0.172
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

As favourite+0.212
Evenly matched-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.054

Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level -0.02

Raków Częstochowa · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)+0.386
Late push (76+, level)+0.324
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.172

Game state

When ahead-0.253
When level+0.176
When behind-0.003
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.475

Situations

Against ten men-0.562
At home+0.143
Away-0.093
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

As favourite+0.273
As underdog-0.212

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.076
Conceded when ahead+0.063
Conceded late (76+)-0.245

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level -0.17

Hammarby

Current: winless 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%0.50.00.5

Raków Częstochowa

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-36 100%1.832.01.02.471.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 60% P 60%4.0Draw 23% P 23%5.5Away 17% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12Hammarby or Draw 42%1.25Hammarby or Rakow Czestochowa 37%2.25Draw or Rakow Czestochowa 21%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.15Under 44% P 45%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw23%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Luca Pairetto

Career
158 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.98 (4.66 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
27.0 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.45
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.14.92+0.0663
Fouls / match23.023.8-0.25
Fouls per card4.74.8-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.00.29-1.980
Time added7.26.5+0.5371
First card
34' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
39% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
2.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-23 40 280 30'5
2026-03-22 20 110 35'4
2026-03-02 50 281 28'13
2026-02-15 31 211 11'8
2026-02-01 71 201 8'6
2026-01-18 50 310 20'5
2026-01-06 40 222 22'7
2025-12-20 71 340 38'6
2025-12-06 50 301 7'8
2025-11-23 70 300 8'8