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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 1–4 · Jablonec went through · After Full Time

Momentum

Rīgas FSJablonec
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
LNK Sporta Parks
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,674

Teams

Coaches
Viktors Morozs · Luboš Kozel
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Igal Frid

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
17.2° (feels 17.1°)
Wind
5.8
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 3

  • Finland Veikkaus TV
  • Poland Polsat Box GO
  • Slovakia Oneplay

No table for this competition stage.

Rīgas FS

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5

  • L A Jablonec 0–2 UEFA ECL
  • D A Vestri 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Vestri 4–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Glentoran 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • W A Glentoran 2–1 UEFA ECL

Jablonec

LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3

  • W H Rīgas FS 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Varaždin 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Varaždin 2–3 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Rīgas FS 00 draws2 Jablonec

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Rīgas FS 00 draws2 Jablonec

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Rīgas FS 00 draws2 Jablonec

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Rīgas FS 1–2 Jablonec UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Jablonec 2–0 Rīgas FS UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricRīgas FS all · 6Rīgas FS at home · 3Jablonec all · 6Jablonec away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.672.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 24 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.671.50
Goals against / match1.170.83
Clean sheets17%50%
Failed to score17%17%
Both teams scored67%33%
Over 2.550%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.57
xG against / match3.34
xG difference-0.77
Finishing vs xG-2.07
xPts / match0.90
Points vs xPts0.60
Game state
Scored first33%67%
PPG when scoring first3.003.00
PPG when conceding first1.000.00
Came back from behind50%0%
Leads held100%80%
Minutes leading33%49%
Minutes level36%42%
Minutes trailing31%9%
First goal (min)2430
First goal conceded (min)2737
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half30%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half29%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.00
Late goals against0.000.17
Style
Possession56%46%
Shots12.211.8
On target4.24.7
Shot conversion16%15%
Shots inside box67%
Big chances created0.5
Corners5.73.7
xG from set plays79%
Goals from headers0%0%
Pressure index13.39.4
Dominant minutes55.751.3
Pass accuracy83%
Fouls13.013.8
Cards1.831.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rīgas FS

0–15'12
16–30'32
31–45'31
46–60'01
61–75'31
76–90'00

Jablonec

0–15'10
16–30'41
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'11
76–90'01

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rīgas FS · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +1.07

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.206
Early press (0-15, level)+0.216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.292

Game state

When ahead-0.123
When level+0.296
When behind+0.344
10 min after conceding+1.075
10 min after scoring+0.075

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.313
4+ days rest+0.206

Opposition

As favourite+0.175

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.266
Conceded when ahead-0.093
Conceded late (76+)-0.335

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.04

Jablonec · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.26

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.126
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.062

Game state

When ahead-0.205
When level+0.016
When behind-0.252
10 min after conceding-0.263
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

Against ten men-0.102
At home-0.073
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.126

Opposition

As favourite-0.252
Evenly matched+0.112
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.066

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.26

Rīgas FS

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.671.671.17

Jablonec

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 33%1.51.00.50.242.03
3-5-1-11 17%3.02.00.0
3-4-31 17%0.02.03.0
3-5-21 17%3.02.01.0
4-1-4-11 17%3.01.00.04.914.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 45% P 44%3.2Draw 29% P 27%3.4Away 27% P 29%

Double Chance

1.22RFS or Draw 37%1.28RFS or FK Jablonec 35%1.66Draw or FK Jablonec 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.65Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Igal Frid

Career
20 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.5 (4.3 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 11 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.92-1.2110
Fouls / match21.923.8-0.69
Fouls per card5.54.8+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.29+1.0080
Time added6.06.5-0.7620
First card
35' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
39% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-18 31 240 2'6
2025-12-11 50 240 30'6
2025-10-23 30 290 30'4