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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 5–2 · FC Midtjylland went through · After Full Time

Momentum

FCMBohemians
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
MCH Arena, Herning
Capacity
12,152
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Mike Tullberg · Alan Reynolds
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
22.0° (feels 21.6°)
Wind
1.4
Humidity
50%

Where to watch · 3

No table for this competition stage.

FC Midtjylland

LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 3 · xG 0.73–0.67 · xPts 1.36

  • W A Bohemians 2–0 xG 0.73–0.67 UEFA ECL
  • L H Beşiktaş 0–2 UEFA EL
  • L A Beşiktaş 0–1 UEFA EL

Bohemians

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 0.67–0.73 · xPts 1.26

  • L H FC Midtjylland 0–2 xG 0.67–0.73 UEFA ECL
  • L A KF Ballkani 2–3 won on pens None–None UEFA ECL
  • W H KF Ballkani 2–1 UEFA ECL
  • D A St Josephs FC 0–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H St Josephs FC 2–0 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

FC Midtjylland 20 draws0 Bohemians

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

FC Midtjylland 20 draws0 Bohemians

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

FC Midtjylland 20 draws0 Bohemians

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Midtjylland 3–2 Bohemians UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • W Bohemians 0–2 FC Midtjylland UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricFC Midtjylland all · 4FC Midtjylland at home · 2Bohemians all · 6Bohemians away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game1.17
W / D / L2 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.33
Goals against / match1.50
Clean sheets33%
Failed to score33%
Both teams scored50%
Over 2.550%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.80
xG against / match1.80
xG difference-0.99
Finishing vs xG0.20
xPts / match0.84
Points vs xPts-0.84
Game state
Scored first17%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.75
Came back from behind25%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading5%
Minutes level50%
Minutes trailing44%
First goal (min)54
First goal conceded (min)23
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half88%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.83
Late goals against0.33
Style
Possession50%
Shots9.2
On target3.7
Shot conversion14%
Shots inside box76%
Big chances created2.0
Corners5.0
xG from set plays19%
Goals from headers33%
Pressure index11.2
Dominant minutes56.2
Pass accuracy74%
Fouls11.3
Cards2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bohemians

0–15'01
16–30'13
31–45'00
46–60'13
61–75'10
76–90'52

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Midtjylland · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.216
Early press (0-15, level)+0.506
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.334
When level+0.206
When behind-0.043
10 min after conceding-0.274
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

With ten men-0.122
At home+0.273
Away+0.153
4+ days rest+0.216

Opposition

As favourite+0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.236
Conceded when ahead-0.314
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level -0.24

Bohemians · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)-0.026
Late push (76+, level)-0.372
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.462
When level+0.076
When behind-0.204
10 min after conceding-0.454
10 min after scoring+0.304

Situations

At home+0.053
Away-0.063
4+ days rest-0.006

Opposition

As favourite+0.113
As underdog-0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.146
Conceded when ahead-0.602
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.39 · Behind vs level -0.27

FC Midtjylland

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-21 25%3.02.00.01.350.39
3-1-4-21 25%3.03.02.02.870.94
4-5-11 25%3.04.01.02.531.29
4-3-31 25%3.02.00.00.730.67

Bohemians

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-32 33%0.01.02.50.81.8
4-3-32 33%2.01.00.0
5-4-11 17%0.02.03.0
5-3-21 17%3.02.01.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.18Home 77% P 77%6.0Draw 15% P 14%12.0Away 8% P 9%

Double Chance

1.01Midtjylland or Draw 45%1.08Midtjylland or Bohemians Dublin 42%3.8Draw or Bohemians Dublin 12%

Draw No Bet

1.051 89%8.52 11%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 66% P 68%2.75Under 34% P 32%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home77%76%77%+0.9
Draw14%15%15%-0.5
Away9%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Matteo Marcenaro

Career
53 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (4.96 yellow · 0.28 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.5 cards, 24.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-29 60 340 9'7
2026-04-18 30 180 65'5
2026-04-04 30 200 27'7
2026-02-23 20 231 62'15
2026-02-09 60 320 5'5
2026-01-23 50 191 15'8
2026-01-10 40 310 22'8
2025-11-30 40 250 59'5
2025-11-07 60 280 17'5
2025-10-29 50 320 26'8