SK Rapid v Paide · KickoffDNA

Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 6–1 · SK Rapid went through · After Full Time

SK RapidSK Rapid

2–0

PaidePaide

Momentum

– SK RapidPaide –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

SK Rapid	at home	Stat	league	away	Paide
64.2 #8	–	Ball possession	49.1	–	40.8 #128
20.7 #8	–	Shots total	8.8	–	4.5 #111
7.5 #8	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	1.5 #122
6.2 #32	–	Corners	4.8	–	3.3 #115
13.8 #58	–	Fouls	13.1	–	11.8 #98
2.0 #44	–	Offsides	1.9	–	1.0 #103
15.8 #14	–	Tackles	10.8	–	5.7 #50
125.8 #26	–	Attacks	107.8	–	85.2 #130
71.3 #38	–	Dangerous attacks	60.3	–	48.5 #113
667.3 #2	–	Passes	311.6	–	103.3 #57
1.7 #99	–	Yellowcards	2.2	–	1.3 #120
2.5 #1	–	Assists	1.1	–	0.8 #73
– #36	–	Btts	53.6	–	– #60
– #76	–	Cleansheet	23.4	–	– #49
– #50	–	Draw	25.5	–	– #50
3.2 #5	–	Expected goals	1.2	–	0.2 #59
-0.0 #48	–	Expected goals difference	0.4	–	0.9 #19
– #97	–	Failed to score	30.1	–	– #85
3.2 #7	3.3	Goals	1.3	0.7	1.2 #78
1.3 #92	1.3	Goals conceded	1.6	1.3	1.3 #92
0.2 #63	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.3 #45
7.7 #19	–	Interceptions	6.2	–	5.8 #36
– #130	–	Lost	44.3	–	– #92
0.3 #19	–	Penalties scored	0.3	–	–
7.0 #6	–	Rating	6.5	–	6.5 #61
4.8 #13	–	Shots blocked	2.5	–	2.3 #75
13.5 #6	–	Shots insidebox	6.3	–	1.2 #60
8.3 #13	–	Shots off target	4.6	–	2.3 #130
7.2 #7	–	Shots outsidebox	3.7	–	0.5 #59
– #12	–	Win	30.2	–	– #73

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 258 of 366
Goals / match: 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
Home / draw / away: 46% · 25% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 53% · 57%
Cards / match: 4.26 (reds 0.12)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

SK Rapid · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League

Ercan Kara 9 · Centre Forward

On the bench

Rating 7.72 · G+A 4 + 1 (26% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Bendegúz Bolla 77 · Right Back

On the bench

Rating 7.32 · G+A 1 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

Matthias Seidl 18 · Central Midfield

On the bench

Rating 7.13 · G+A 0 + 3 (16% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

All key players

Paide · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League

Pa Modou Sohna 11 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.63 · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

Daniel Luts 77 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 6.57 · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Victor Hugo 3 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 6.6 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

All key players

Absences

SK Rapid

injury Dominic Vincze defender · Knee Injury · 10 missed
injury Lorenz Szladits midfielder · Ankle Injury · 10 missed

Competition

Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Leg: 2/2

Venue

Stadium: Allianz Stadion, Wien
Capacity: 28,345
Surface: grass
Attendance: 13,705

Teams

Coaches: Johannes Hoff Thorup · Tarmo Kink
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Denys Shurman

Weather

Conditions: clear sky
Temperature: 25.5° (feels 24.9°)
Wind: 0.9
Humidity: 33%

Where to watch · 3

Austria ORF · ORF eins
Switzerland Sunrise TV

No table for this competition stage.

SK Rapid

WWW 3W 0D 0L · 9 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 8.75–2.82 · xPts 7.19

W A Paide 4–1 xG 3.27–1.37 UEFA ECL
W H FC Santa Coloma 6–2 xG 3.42–0.36 UEFA ECL
W A FC Santa Coloma 3–1 xG 2.05–1.09 UEFA ECL

Paide

DWWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 1.37–3.27 · xPts 0.5

L H SK Rapid 1–4 xG 1.37–3.27 UEFA ECL
D A Zira 1–1 UEFA ECL
W H Zira 1–0 UEFA ECL
W H Hegelmann Litauen 3–0 UEFA ECL
D A Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

SK Rapid 20 draws0 Paide

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

SK Rapid 20 draws0 Paide

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

SK Rapid 20 draws0 Paide

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

W SK Rapid 2–0 Paide UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
W Paide 1–4 SK Rapid neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2

Metric	SK Rapid all · 6	SK Rapid at home · 3	Paide all · 6	Paide away · 3
Results
Matches	6	–	6	–
Points per game	2.33	–	1.33	–
W / D / L	4 / 2 / 0	–	2 / 2 / 2	–
Goals for / match	3.17	–	1.17	–
Goals against / match	1.33	–	1.33	–
Clean sheets	17%	–	33%	–
Failed to score	0%	–	17%	–
Both teams scored	83%	–	50%	–
Over 2.5	83%	–	33%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	3.20	–	0.74	–
xG against / match	1.61	–	3.17	–
xG difference	1.59	–	-2.43	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.04	–	-0.24	–
xPts / match	2.19	–	0.29	–
Points vs xPts	0.14	–	-0.29	–
Game state
Scored first	100%	–	50%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.33	–	2.33	–
PPG when conceding first	–	–	0.33	–
Came back from behind	100%	–	33%	–
Leads held	67%	–	67%	–
Minutes leading	50%	–	16%	–
Minutes level	44%	–	55%	–
Minutes trailing	6%	–	30%	–
First goal (min)	28	–	51	–
First goal conceded (min)	52	–	23	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	61%	–	43%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	71%	–	50%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	1.33	–	0.17	–
Late goals against	0.50	–	0.67	–
Style
Possession	65%	–	41%	–
Shots	16.8	–	7.2	–
On target	7.0	–	2.8	–
Shot conversion	19%	–	16%	–
Shots inside box	71%	–	70%	–
Big chances created	4.7	–	1.5	–
Corners	6.2	–	3.3	–
xG from set plays	39%	–	78%	–
Goals from headers	11%	–	0%	–
Pressure index	21.4	–	4.7	–
Dominant minutes	73.5	–	25.7	–
Pass accuracy	90%	–	80%	–
Fouls	13.8	–	11.8	–
Cards	1.17	–	1.33	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SK Rapid

0–15'20

16–30'21

31–45'31

46–60'32

61–75'11

76–90'72

Paide

0–15'02

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'00

61–75'20

76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SK Rapid · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.446

Early press (0-15, level)+0.446

Late push (76+, level)+0.173

Game state

When ahead+0.426

When level+0.506

10 min after conceding-0.385

10 min after scoring+0.626

Situations

At home+0.453

Away+0.433

4+ days rest+0.446

Opposition

As favourite+0.535

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206

Conceded when ahead-0.096

Conceded late (76+)-0.415

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.67

Paide · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.336

Early press (0-15, level)-0.386

Late push (76+, level)-0.404

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612

Game state

When ahead-0.453

When level-0.296

When behind-0.373

10 min after conceding-0.294

10 min after scoring-0.215

Situations

At home-0.393

Away-0.283

4+ days rest-0.336

Opposition

As underdog-0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.416

Conceded when ahead+0.453

Conceded late (76+)+0.195

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08

SK Rapid

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 67%	2.0	3.25	1.75	3.22	2.05
4-4-2	1 17%	3.0	2.0	0.0	3.06	0.1
4-1-3-2	1 17%	3.0	4.0	1.0	3.27	1.37

Paide

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	4 67%	1.25	1.25	1.0	0.1	3.06
4-1-4-1	1 17%	3.0	1.0	0.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 17%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.37	3.27

Metric	SK Rapid all · 10	SK Rapid at home · 10	Paide all · 10	Paide away · 8
Results
Matches	10	10	10	8
Points per game	1.50	1.40	1.70	1.00
W / D / L	4 / 3 / 3	4 / 2 / 4	5 / 2 / 3	2 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match	2.10	1.90	1.60	1.13
Goals against / match	1.50	1.70	1.70	2.63
Clean sheets	10%	20%	30%	0%
Failed to score	20%	30%	20%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	50%	50%	75%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	50%	62%
Expected goals
xG for / match	2.40	2.63	0.74	0.10
xG against / match	1.51	1.59	3.17	3.06
xG difference	0.89	1.04	-2.43	-2.96
Finishing vs xG	-0.30	-0.73	-0.24	-0.10
xPts / match	1.83	1.95	0.29	0.07
Points vs xPts	-0.33	-0.55	-0.29	-0.07
Game state
Scored first	70%	60%	60%	38%
PPG when scoring first	2.14	2.33	2.67	2.33
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	0.25	0.20
Came back from behind	40%	20%	25%	20%
Leads held	57%	67%	83%	67%
Minutes leading	39%	38%	29%	10%
Minutes level	37%	33%	45%	42%
Minutes trailing	24%	28%	26%	48%
First goal (min)	32	25	38	42
First goal conceded (min)	48	39	32	24
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	39%	50%	43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	57%	57%	53%	42%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.80	0.40	0.30	0.13
Late goals against	0.40	0.80	0.60	0.50
Style
Possession	59%	57%	47%	47%
Shots	14.6	17.2	8.2	5.0
On target	5.7	5.7	3.5	2.5
Shot conversion	14%	11%	20%	26%
Shots inside box	68%	69%	70%	50%
Big chances created	3.8	3.5	1.5	1.0
Corners	4.7	5.2	4.2	3.6
xG from set plays	36%	35%	78%	35%
Goals from headers	15%	11%	0%	0%
Pressure index	16.8	16.8	7.7	6.1
Dominant minutes	61.2	62.6	35.9	32.3
Pass accuracy	84%	83%	80%	81%
Fouls	14.8	12.7	11.6	11.9
Cards	1.80	2.00	1.30	1.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SK Rapid

0–15'30

16–30'23

31–45'33

46–60'34

61–75'21

76–90'73

Paide

0–15'22

16–30'12

31–45'54

46–60'03

61–75'50

76–90'36

SK Rapid

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 60%	1.33	2.17	1.5	2.67	1.64
4-1-3-2	1 10%	3.0	4.0	1.0	3.27	1.37
3-4-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.99	2.23
4-4-2	1 10%	3.0	2.0	0.0	3.06	0.1
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.6	1.52

Paide

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	7 70%	1.57	1.71	1.86	0.1	3.06
4-1-3-2	1 10%	3.0	2.0	0.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.37	3.27
4-1-4-1	1 10%	3.0	1.0	0.0	–	–

Metric	SK Rapid all · 12	SK Rapid at home · 6	Paide all · 6	Paide away · 3
Results
Matches	12	6	6	–
Points per game	1.25	1.17	1.33	–
W / D / L	4 / 3 / 5	2 / 1 / 3	2 / 2 / 2	–
Goals for / match	1.83	1.67	1.17	–
Goals against / match	1.83	1.50	1.33	–
Clean sheets	8%	17%	33%	–
Failed to score	25%	50%	17%	–
Both teams scored	67%	33%	50%	–
Over 2.5	67%	50%	33%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	2.13	2.80	0.74	–
xG against / match	1.68	1.67	3.17	–
xG difference	0.45	1.13	-2.43	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.30	-1.13	-0.24	–
xPts / match	1.60	1.96	0.29	–
Points vs xPts	-0.35	-0.79	-0.29	–
Game state
Scored first	58%	50%	50%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.14	2.33	2.33	–
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	0.33	–
Came back from behind	29%	25%	33%	–
Leads held	57%	67%	67%	–
Minutes leading	33%	31%	16%	–
Minutes level	33%	30%	55%	–
Minutes trailing	34%	39%	30%	–
First goal (min)	35	27	51	–
First goal conceded (min)	41	35	23	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	62%	44%	43%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	52%	50%	50%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.67	0.50	0.17	–
Late goals against	0.50	0.67	0.67	–
Style
Possession	56%	58%	41%	–
Shots	14.0	14.5	7.2	–
On target	5.2	5.2	2.8	–
Shot conversion	13%	12%	16%	–
Shots inside box	68%	67%	70%	–
Big chances created	3.3	3.7	1.5	–
Corners	4.4	4.7	3.3	–
xG from set plays	36%	46%	78%	–
Goals from headers	14%	0%	0%	–
Pressure index	14.5	18.0	4.7	–
Dominant minutes	55.5	64.7	25.7	–
Pass accuracy	83%	84%	80%	–
Fouls	15.1	15.3	11.8	–
Cards	1.75	2.00	1.33	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SK Rapid

0–15'32

16–30'24

31–45'34

46–60'35

61–75'31

76–90'75

Paide

0–15'02

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'00

61–75'20

76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SK Rapid · 12 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1812

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1712

Late push (76+, level)+0.204

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.055

Game state

When ahead+0.227

When level+0.2812

When behind+0.016

10 min after conceding-0.3311

10 min after scoring+0.488

Situations

At home+0.236

Away+0.136

4+ days rest+0.1812

Opposition

As favourite+0.396

Evenly matched+0.303

As underdog-0.423

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1012

Conceded when ahead+0.027

Conceded late (76+)-0.4110

Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level -0.28

Paide · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.336

Early press (0-15, level)-0.386

Late push (76+, level)-0.404

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612

Game state

When ahead-0.453

When level-0.296

When behind-0.373

10 min after conceding-0.294

10 min after scoring-0.215

Situations

At home-0.393

Away-0.283

4+ days rest-0.336

Opposition

As underdog-0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.416

Conceded when ahead+0.453

Conceded late (76+)+0.195

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08

SK Rapid

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	7 58%	1.14	2.0	1.86	2.39	1.84
4-3-3	1 8%	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.6	1.52
4-4-2	1 8%	3.0	2.0	0.0	3.06	0.1
4-1-3-2	1 8%	3.0	4.0	1.0	3.27	1.37
3-4-1-2	1 8%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.99	2.23

Paide

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	4 67%	1.25	1.25	1.0	0.1	3.06
4-2-3-1	1 17%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.37	3.27
4-1-4-1	1 17%	3.0	1.0	0.0	–	–

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.14Home 80% P 84%7.0Draw 13% P 11%13.0Away 7% P 5%

Double Chance

1.06Rapid Vienna or Paide Linnameeskond6.0Draw or Paide Linnameeskond

Draw No Bet

1.021 91%10.52 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 72% P 68%3.4Under 28% P 32%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	84%	84%	86%	+2.5
Draw	11%	11%	9%	-1.4
Away	5%	6%	5%	-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	68%	69%	69%	+0.6

Denys Shurman

Career: 14 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match: 5.5 (5.14 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match: 22.5 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.5
Cards to home side: 52%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.4	4.92	-0.75	22
Fouls / match	20.4	23.8	-1.28
Fouls per card	4.5	4.8	-0.39 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.4	0.29	+0.64	65
Time added	5.7	6.5	-1.08	14

First card: 40' on average
Card timing: 11% in first 30' · 43% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 2.0

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	1st card	+min
2026-07-30	6	0	37	31'	3
2025-11-27	1	0	19	90'	4
2025-08-14	9	1	24	18'	8

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

SK Rapid · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League

Paide · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League

Absences

SK Rapid

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 3

SK Rapid

Paide

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SK Rapid

Paide

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SK Rapid · 6 matches

Paide · 6 matches

SK Rapid

Paide

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SK Rapid

Paide

SK Rapid

Paide

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SK Rapid

Paide

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SK Rapid · 12 matches

Paide · 6 matches

SK Rapid

Paide

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

Denys Shurman

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

Recent matches