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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 5–1 · Partizan went through · After Full Time

Momentum

PartizanTobol
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Partizana, Beograd
Capacity
32,170
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Saša Ilić · Miroslav Romashchenko
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
25.2° (feels 25.3°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 12

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 3 · Moja TV
  • Kazakhstan Qazaqstan TV HD · qazaqstan.tv
  • Kosovo ARENA SPORT PREMIUM 1
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud · ARENA SPORT PREMIUM 1
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud · ARENA SPORT PREMIUM 1
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · ARENA SPORT PREMIUM 1

No table for this competition stage.

Partizan

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 0

  • W A UNA Strassen 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H UNA Strassen 4–0 UEFA ECL

Tobol

DD 0W 2D 0L · 2 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 2

  • D H Panevėžys 1–1 won on pens None–None UEFA ECL
  • D A Panevėžys 1–1 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Partizan 20 draws0 Tobol

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Partizan 20 draws0 Tobol

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Partizan 20 draws0 Tobol

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Tobyl 1–2 Partizan UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • W Partizan 3–0 Tobyl UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricPartizan all · 6Partizan at home · 3Tobol all · 4Tobol away · 2
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.50
W / D / L5 / 0 / 1
Goals for / match2.17
Goals against / match0.83
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored50%
Over 2.583%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.62
xG against / match1.03
xG difference0.59
Finishing vs xG-0.12
xPts / match1.75
Points vs xPts-0.25
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first1.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading40%
Minutes level46%
Minutes trailing14%
First goal (min)38
First goal conceded (min)28
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half69%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.67
Late goals against0.33
Style
Possession51%
Shots12.2
On target4.2
Shot conversion21%
Shots inside box58%
Big chances created2.0
Corners5.0
xG from set plays31%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index9.1
Dominant minutes43.8
Pass accuracy80%
Fouls11.7
Cards1.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Partizan

0–15'12
16–30'10
31–45'20
46–60'30
61–75'21
76–90'42

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Partizan · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.176
Early press (0-15, level)-0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.183

Game state

When ahead-0.305
When level+0.016
When behind-0.392
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.136

Situations

Against ten men-0.092
At home-0.153
Away-0.203
4+ days rest-0.176

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.233
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.166
Conceded when ahead+0.145
Conceded late (76+)+0.105

Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.40

Tobol · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when behind +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.263

Game state

When level+0.064
When behind+0.324
10 min after conceding-0.024
10 min after scoring-0.053

Situations

At home+0.122
Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

As favourite+0.302

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.394

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level +0.26

Partizan

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%3.02.50.252.050.7
4-1-4-11 17%3.02.01.0
3-4-31 17%0.01.03.01.191.35

Tobol

Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 75%0.670.671.67
4-4-21 25%0.01.02.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 66% P 74%4.33Draw 21% P 17%7.0Away 13% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Partizan Belgrade or Draw 44%1.16Partizan Belgrade or Tobol Kostanay 41%3.25Draw or Tobol Kostanay 15%

Draw No Bet

1.121 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.25Under 42% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw17%17%18%+0.9
Away10%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 11 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.04.92-0.0551
Fouls / match27.123.8+1.39
Fouls per card5.44.8+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.270.29-0.1939
Time added8.06.5+1.3892
First card
30' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.5

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-16 10 270 63'6
2026-05-11 30 270 22'9
2026-04-26 80 260 27'7
2026-04-12 40 280 30'9
2026-03-21 10 260 69'4
2026-03-12 40 240 30'7
2026-03-08 30 321 45'10
2026-02-26 60 220 12'9
2026-02-15 40 190 34'9
2026-02-09 80 251 45'15