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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 4–1 · Jablonec went through · After Full Time

Momentum

JablonecRīgas FS
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Capacity
6,280
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,911

Teams

Coaches
Luboš Kozel · Viktors Morozs
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-5-1-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Nathan Verboomen

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
22.1° (feels 22.5°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 1

  • Slovakia Oneplay

No table for this competition stage.

Jablonec

LW 1W 0D 1L · 3 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3

  • W H Varaždin 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Varaždin 2–3 UEFA ECL

Rīgas FS

WWWD 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3

  • D A Vestri 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Vestri 4–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Glentoran 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • W A Glentoran 2–1 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Jablonec 20 draws0 Rīgas FS

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Jablonec 20 draws0 Rīgas FS

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Jablonec 20 draws0 Rīgas FS

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Rīgas FS 1–2 Jablonec UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • W Jablonec 2–0 Rīgas FS UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricJablonec all · 6Jablonec at home · 3Rīgas FS all · 6Rīgas FS away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.001.67
W / D / L4 / 0 / 23 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.501.67
Goals against / match0.831.17
Clean sheets50%17%
Failed to score17%17%
Both teams scored33%67%
Over 2.533%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.57
xG against / match3.34
xG difference-0.77
Finishing vs xG-2.07
xPts / match0.90
Points vs xPts0.60
Game state
Scored first67%33%
PPG when scoring first3.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.00
Came back from behind0%50%
Leads held80%100%
Minutes leading49%33%
Minutes level42%36%
Minutes trailing9%31%
First goal (min)3024
First goal conceded (min)3727
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half44%30%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%29%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.00
Late goals against0.170.00
Style
Possession46%56%
Shots11.812.2
On target4.74.2
Shot conversion15%16%
Shots inside box67%
Big chances created0.5
Corners3.75.7
xG from set plays79%
Goals from headers0%0%
Pressure index9.413.3
Dominant minutes51.355.7
Pass accuracy83%
Fouls13.813.0
Cards1.501.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Jablonec

0–15'10
16–30'41
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'11
76–90'01

Rīgas FS

0–15'12
16–30'32
31–45'31
46–60'01
61–75'31
76–90'00

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Jablonec · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.26

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.126
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.062

Game state

When ahead-0.205
When level+0.016
When behind-0.252
10 min after conceding-0.263
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

Against ten men-0.102
At home-0.073
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.126

Opposition

As favourite-0.252
Evenly matched+0.112
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.066

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.26

Rīgas FS · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +1.07

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.206
Early press (0-15, level)+0.216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.292

Game state

When ahead-0.123
When level+0.296
When behind+0.344
10 min after conceding+1.075
10 min after scoring+0.075

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.313
4+ days rest+0.206

Opposition

As favourite+0.175

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.266
Conceded when ahead-0.093
Conceded late (76+)-0.335

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.04

Jablonec

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 33%1.51.00.50.242.03
3-5-1-11 17%3.02.00.0
3-4-31 17%0.02.03.0
3-5-21 17%3.02.01.0
4-1-4-11 17%3.01.00.04.914.66

Rīgas FS

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.671.671.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 52% P 56%3.3Draw 28% P 25%4.5Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.1FK Jablonec or Draw 42%1.25FK Jablonec or RFS 37%2.15Draw or RFS 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.65Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Nathan Verboomen

Career
14 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.14 (4.71 yellow · 0.29 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.86 cards, 22.6 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-30 51 190 10'6