Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Ajax | at home | Stat | league | away | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66.2 #4 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 41.5 #119 |
| 24.2 #3 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 9.2 #63 |
| 10.3 #2 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 5.0 #33 |
| 9.2 #4 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #78 |
| 9.0 #141 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 6.2 #151 |
| 1.3 #99 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.8 #22 |
| 12.3 #26 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 9.5 #36 |
| 125.8 #26 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 95.0 #107 |
| 72.2 #36 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 48.0 #114 |
| 656.7 #3 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 140.5 #50 |
| 1.2 #128 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.0 #64 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.8 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #80 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #82 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #63 |
| 3.4 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 0.3 #56 |
| 0.3 #40 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| – #97 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #97 |
| 3.7 #1 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.2 #18 |
| 1.7 #58 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 #27 |
| 0.3 #45 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #52 |
| 12.0 #3 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 4.5 #40 |
| – #130 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| 0.2 #34 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 7.0 #5 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.5 #47 |
| 5.0 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 2.2 #78 |
| 16.5 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 2.2 #48 |
| 8.8 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 3.8 #88 |
| 7.7 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 1.5 #45 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #82 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Ajax · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Shelbourne · Last 365 days
Absences
Ajax
- injury Ahmetcan Kaplan defender · Knee Injury · 3 missed
- injury Amourricho van Axel Dongen attacker · Thigh Problems · 16 missed
- injury Dies Janse defender · Minor Knock · 7 missed
- injury Josip Sutalo defender · Unknown Injury · 5 missed
- injury Ko Itakura defender · Unknown Injury · 5 missed
- injury Rayane Bounida midfielder · Unknown Injury · 6 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 3rd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
- Capacity
- 55,885
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Míchel · John Russell
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Atilla Karaoğlan
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 17.3° (feels 16.8°)
- Wind
- 0.9
- Humidity
- 63%
Where to watch · 18
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4 · Moja TV
England
Premier Sports Player
Israel
Sport 4
Kosovo
Arena Premium 4
Montenegro
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
Netherlands
Ziggo Sport
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
Northern Ireland
Premier Sports Player
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
Republic of Ireland
Premier Sports Player
Scotland
Premier Sports Player
Serbia
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
Wales
Premier Sports Player
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Ajax
DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 14.39–8.59 · xPts 9.92
- W
H
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 4.17–0.25
UEFA ECL - W
A
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 1.71–0.82
UEFA ECL - D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1 won on pens None–None
xG 4.92–4.87
NLD E - W
H
FC Groningen
2–0
xG 1.82–0.24
NLD E - D
A
SC Heerenveen
0–0
xG 1.77–2.41
NLD E
WWDLDWDWW 5W 3D 1L · 18 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 19 GA 7 · xG 20.01–14.9 · xPts 15.05
- W
H
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 4.17–0.25
UEFA ECL - W
A
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 1.71–0.82
UEFA ECL - D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1 won on pens None–None
xG 4.92–4.87
NLD E - W
H
FC Groningen
2–0
xG 1.82–0.24
NLD E - D
A
SC Heerenveen
0–0
xG 1.77–2.41
NLD E - L
H
FC Utrecht
1–2
xG 1.27–1.73
NLD E - D
H
PSV
2–2
xG 1.13–1.81
NLD E - W
A
NAC Breda
2–0
xG 1.7–1.92
NLD E - W
A
Heracles Almelo
3–0
xG 1.52–0.85
NLD E
Shelbourne
WL 1W 0D 1L · 3 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4
- L
A
Nõmme Kalju
1–2
UEFA ECL - W
H
Nõmme Kalju
5–2
UEFA ECL
WL 1W 0D 1L · 3 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4
- L
A
Nõmme Kalju
1–2
UEFA ECL - W
H
Nõmme Kalju
5–2
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 5–3 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 5–3 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 5–3 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- D Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- W Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Ajax all · 6 | Ajax at home · 3 | Shelbourne all · 4 | Shelbourne away · 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.67 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 0 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 3.67 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 100% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 3.46 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 0.97 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | 2.49 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 2.33 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 83% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 63% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 33% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 5% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 21 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 66% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 24.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 10.3 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 15% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 5.3 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 9.2 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 18% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 26.1 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 67.7 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 9.0 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 1.17 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ajax · 12 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98
Shelbourne · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.58
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 5 83% | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.83 | 1.12 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.61 | 0.2 |
Shelbourne
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 5-4-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 6.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.84 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Ajax all · 10 | Ajax at home · 10 | Shelbourne all · 10 | Shelbourne away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 2 / 1 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 1 / 3 / 6 | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 3.30 | 2.60 | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 80% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.99 | 3.14 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| xG against / match | 1.18 | 1.59 | 2.30 | 2.66 |
| xG difference | 1.81 | 1.55 | -1.66 | -2.02 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.31 | -0.54 | -0.26 | -0.40 |
| xPts / match | 2.17 | 1.97 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | -0.18 | -0.36 | -0.48 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.33 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 60% | 14% | 14% |
| Leads held | 78% | 71% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 51% | 41% | 14% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 48% | 55% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | 10% | 31% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 34 | 31 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 51 | 43 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 44% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 63% | 61% | 38% | 38% |
| Shots | 24.0 | 22.4 | 9.9 | 7.5 |
| On target | 8.9 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 12% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 54% | 52% |
| Big chances created | 4.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Corners | 8.4 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 28% | 24% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 23.7 | 22.1 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.4 | 69.2 | 24.6 | 22.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 88% | 76% | 73% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 9.0 | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.30 | 2.50 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
Shelbourne
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.0 | 2.85 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.61 | 0.2 |
Shelbourne
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.68 | 0.92 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.22 | 3.94 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 6.61 |
| Metric | Ajax all · 50 | Ajax at home · 25 | Shelbourne all · 10 | Shelbourne away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 10 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.56 | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 15 / 12 | 11 / 6 / 8 | 1 / 3 / 6 | 0 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.08 | 1.96 | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.48 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 12% | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 68% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 64% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.29 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.43 | 2.30 | 2.66 |
| xG difference | 0.42 | 0.86 | -1.66 | -2.02 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | -0.33 | -0.26 | -0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.57 | 1.75 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | -0.19 | -0.36 | -0.49 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.33 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 27% | 14% | 0% |
| Leads held | 70% | 69% | 50% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 35% | 40% | 14% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 43% | 55% | 66% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 17% | 31% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 31 | 31 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 45 | 43 | 54 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 42% | 44% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 59% | 50% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 38% | 36% |
| Shots | 16.2 | 17.6 | 9.9 | 8.4 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 54% | 50% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 21% | 24% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 16.4 | 18.7 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.7 | 60.4 | 24.6 | 20.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 76% | 74% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.82 | 1.48 | 2.50 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
Shelbourne
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ajax · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level +0.26 · Behind vs level -0.03
Shelbourne · 10 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.36) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.57
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.34 · Behind vs level +0.01
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 66% | 1.76 | 2.3 | 1.42 | 2.01 | 1.49 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 11 22% | 1.0 | 1.27 | 2.0 | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.68 | 0.56 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
Shelbourne
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.68 | 0.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.22 | 3.94 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 6.61 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 90–95% · away 0–5% · 124 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 91% | 92% | 97% | +5.1 |
| Draw | 7% | 6% | 3% | -2.6 |
| Away | 2% | 3% | 0% | -2.5 |
In those fixtures: 4.3 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 82%
Atilla Karaoğlan
- Career
- 16 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.13 (5.13 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.9 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.44
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 12 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.08 | 4.92 | +0.04 | 57 |
| Fouls / match | 26.4 | 23.8 | +1.13 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 4.8 | +0.40 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.42 | 0.29 | +0.75 | 72 |
| Time added | 5.3 | 6.5 | -1.51 | 8 |
- First card
- 27' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 56' | 6 |
| 2025-10-02 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 6' | 5 |
| 2025-08-07 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 65' | 6 |
