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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 1–6 · SK Rapid went through · After Full Time

Momentum

PaideSK Rapid
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Sportland Arena, Sportland Arena · neutral
Capacity
14,336
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Tarmo Kink · Johannes Hoff Thorup
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

Danilo Nikolić

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
20.5° (feels 20.6°)
Wind
4.7
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 4

  • Austria ORF · ORF eins
  • Estonia Soccernet
  • Switzerland Sunrise TV

No table for this competition stage.

Paide

DWWD 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2

  • D A Zira 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Zira 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Hegelmann Litauen 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • D A Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 UEFA ECL

SK Rapid

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 5.48–1.45 · xPts 4.83

  • W H FC Santa Coloma 6–2 xG 3.42–0.36 UEFA ECL
  • W A FC Santa Coloma 3–1 xG 2.05–1.09 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Paide 00 draws2 SK Rapid

Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paide 00 draws2 SK Rapid

Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paide 00 draws2 SK Rapid

Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L SK Rapid 2–0 Paide UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Paide 1–4 SK Rapid neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricPaide all · 6Paide at home · 3SK Rapid all · 6SK Rapid away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.332.33
W / D / L2 / 2 / 24 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match1.173.17
Goals against / match1.331.33
Clean sheets33%17%
Failed to score17%0%
Both teams scored50%83%
Over 2.533%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.743.20
xG against / match3.171.61
xG difference-2.431.59
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.04
xPts / match0.292.19
Points vs xPts-0.290.14
Game state
Scored first50%100%
PPG when scoring first2.332.33
PPG when conceding first0.33
Came back from behind33%100%
Leads held67%67%
Minutes leading16%50%
Minutes level55%44%
Minutes trailing30%6%
First goal (min)5128
First goal conceded (min)2352
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.171.33
Late goals against0.670.50
Style
Possession41%65%
Shots7.216.8
On target2.87.0
Shot conversion16%19%
Shots inside box70%71%
Big chances created1.54.7
Corners3.36.2
xG from set plays78%39%
Goals from headers0%11%
Pressure index4.721.4
Dominant minutes25.773.5
Pass accuracy80%90%
Fouls11.813.8
Cards1.331.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paide

0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'00
61–75'20
76–90'14

SK Rapid

0–15'20
16–30'21
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'11
76–90'72

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paide · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.336
Early press (0-15, level)-0.386
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612

Game state

When ahead-0.453
When level-0.296
When behind-0.373
10 min after conceding-0.294
10 min after scoring-0.215

Situations

At home-0.393
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.336

Opposition

As underdog-0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.416
Conceded when ahead+0.453
Conceded late (76+)+0.195

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08

SK Rapid · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.446
Early press (0-15, level)+0.446
Late push (76+, level)+0.173

Game state

When ahead+0.426
When level+0.506
10 min after conceding-0.385
10 min after scoring+0.626

Situations

At home+0.453
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.446

Opposition

As favourite+0.535

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.096
Conceded late (76+)-0.415

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.67

Paide

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%1.251.251.00.13.06
4-1-4-11 17%3.01.00.0
4-2-3-11 17%0.01.04.01.373.27

SK Rapid

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%2.03.251.753.222.05
4-4-21 17%3.02.00.03.060.1
4-1-3-21 17%3.04.01.03.271.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

13.0Home 7% P 7%5.75Draw 16% P 14%1.2Away 77% P 79%

Double Chance

4.33Paide Linnameeskond or Draw 11%1.12Paide Linnameeskond or Rapid Vienna 42%1.01Draw or Rapid Vienna 47%

Draw No Bet

10.01 9%1.032 91%

Both Teams To Score

2.75Yes 34%1.4No 66%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.6Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home7%8%7%-1.0
Draw14%15%12%-3.0
Away79%77%81%+4.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.6

Danilo Nikolić

No career statistics.

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 31.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-30 50 200 27'5
2025-12-18 20 210 29'4