Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Paide | at home | Stat | league | away | SK Rapid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.8 #128 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 64.2 #8 |
| 4.5 #111 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 20.7 #8 |
| 1.5 #122 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 7.5 #8 |
| 3.3 #115 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.2 #32 |
| 11.8 #98 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 13.8 #58 |
| 1.0 #103 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #44 |
| 5.7 #50 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 15.8 #14 |
| 85.2 #130 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 125.8 #26 |
| 48.5 #113 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 71.3 #38 |
| 103.3 #57 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 667.3 #2 |
| 1.3 #120 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.7 #99 |
| 0.8 #73 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #36 |
| – #49 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #76 |
| – #50 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #50 |
| 0.2 #59 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 3.2 #5 |
| 0.9 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | -0.0 #48 |
| – #85 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #97 |
| 1.2 #78 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.2 #7 |
| 1.3 #92 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 #92 |
| 0.3 #45 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #63 |
| 5.8 #36 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 7.7 #19 |
| – #92 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #130 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #19 |
| 6.5 #61 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 7.0 #6 |
| 2.3 #75 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 4.8 #13 |
| 1.2 #60 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 13.5 #6 |
| 2.3 #130 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 8.3 #13 |
| 0.5 #59 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 7.2 #7 |
| – #73 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Paide · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
SK Rapid · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Absences
SK Rapid
- injury Claudy Mbuyi attacker · Meniscus Injury · 31 missed
- injury Daniel Nunoo attacker · Hamstring Injury · 24 missed
- injury Dominic Vincze defender · Knee Injury · 10 missed
- injury Jean Marcelin defender · Hamstring Injury · 57 missed · until 2026-08-07
- injury Lorenz Szladits midfielder · Ankle Injury · 8 missed
- injury Martin Ndzie midfielder · Knee Injury · 27 missed
- injury Romeo Amane #9 key player midfielder · Ankle Sprain · 5 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 3rd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Sportland Arena, Sportland Arena · neutral
- Capacity
- 14,336
- Surface
- artificial turf
Teams
- Coaches
- Tarmo Kink · Johannes Hoff Thorup
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2
Referee
Danilo Nikolić
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 20.5° (feels 20.6°)
- Wind
- 4.7
- Humidity
- 75%
Where to watch · 4
Austria
ORF · ORF eins
Estonia
Soccernet
Switzerland
Sunrise TV
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Paide
DWWD 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2
- D
A
Zira
1–1
UEFA ECL - W
H
Zira
1–0
UEFA ECL - W
H
Hegelmann Litauen
3–0
UEFA ECL - D
A
Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
UEFA ECL
DWWD 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2
- D
A
Zira
1–1
UEFA ECL - W
H
Zira
1–0
UEFA ECL - W
H
Hegelmann Litauen
3–0
UEFA ECL - D
A
Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
UEFA ECL
SK Rapid
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 5.48–1.45 · xPts 4.83
- W
H
FC Santa Coloma
6–2
xG 3.42–0.36
UEFA ECL - W
A
FC Santa Coloma
3–1
xG 2.05–1.09
UEFA ECL
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 5.48–1.45 · xPts 4.83
- W
H
FC Santa Coloma
6–2
xG 3.42–0.36
UEFA ECL - W
A
FC Santa Coloma
3–1
xG 2.05–1.09
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Recent meetings
- L SK Rapid 2–0 Paide UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- L Paide 1–4 SK Rapid neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Paide all · 6 | Paide at home · 3 | SK Rapid all · 6 | SK Rapid away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.33 | – | 2.33 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 | – | 4 / 2 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 3.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 83% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.74 | – | 3.20 | – |
| xG against / match | 3.17 | – | 1.61 | – |
| xG difference | -2.43 | – | 1.59 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | -0.04 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.29 | – | 2.19 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | 2.33 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes level | 55% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | – | 6% | – |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | 28 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | – | 52 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | 61% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 71% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | – | 65% | – |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | 16.8 | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | 7.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 19% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | – | 4.7 | – |
| Corners | 3.3 | – | 6.2 | – |
| xG from set plays | 78% | – | 39% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 4.7 | – | 21.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 25.7 | – | 73.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | 90% | – |
| Fouls | 11.8 | – | 13.8 | – |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | 1.17 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Paide
SK Rapid
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Paide · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08
SK Rapid · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.67
Paide
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.37 | 3.27 |
SK Rapid
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 2.0 | 3.25 | 1.75 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.06 | 0.1 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.27 | 1.37 |
| Metric | Paide all · 10 | Paide at home · 8 | SK Rapid all · 10 | SK Rapid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 2.13 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 1 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 2.13 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 0.88 | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.40 | 1.94 |
| xG against / match | 3.17 | 3.27 | 1.51 | 1.94 |
| xG difference | -2.43 | -1.90 | 0.89 | 0.00 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.37 | -0.30 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 0.29 | 0.50 | 1.83 | 1.43 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | -0.50 | -0.33 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 62% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 3.00 | 2.14 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 67% | 40% | 40% |
| Leads held | 83% | 100% | 57% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 36% | 39% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 40% | 37% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 46 | 32 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 25 | 48 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 46% | 60% | 72% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 57% | 57% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | 59% | 54% |
| Shots | 8.2 | 9.6 | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 20% | 22% | 14% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 75% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 78% | 81% | 36% | 42% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 15% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 7.7 | 12.7 | 16.8 | 18.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.9 | 47.8 | 61.2 | 51.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78% | 84% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 13.0 | 14.8 | 15.7 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.88 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Paide
SK Rapid
Paide
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 1.71 | 1.86 | 0.1 | 3.06 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.37 | 3.27 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
SK Rapid
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.33 | 2.17 | 1.5 | 2.67 | 1.64 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.27 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.99 | 2.23 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.06 | 0.1 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Paide all · 6 | Paide at home · 3 | SK Rapid all · 12 | SK Rapid away · 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 12 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | – | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 | – | 4 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 8% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | 67% | 83% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.74 | – | 2.13 | 1.46 |
| xG against / match | 3.17 | – | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | -2.43 | – | 0.45 | -0.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | -0.30 | 0.54 |
| xPts / match | 0.29 | – | 1.60 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | – | -0.35 | 0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 58% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 29% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 57% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | 33% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 55% | – | 33% | 37% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | – | 34% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | 35 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | – | 41 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | 62% | 75% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 52% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | – | 56% | 55% |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | 14.0 | 13.5 |
| On target | 2.8 | – | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | – | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 3.3 | – | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 78% | – | 36% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 14% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 4.7 | – | 14.5 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 25.7 | – | 55.5 | 46.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.8 | – | 15.1 | 14.8 |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | 1.75 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Paide
SK Rapid
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Paide · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08
SK Rapid · 12 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level -0.28
Paide
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.37 | 3.27 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
SK Rapid
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 58% | 1.14 | 2.0 | 1.86 | 2.39 | 1.84 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.52 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.06 | 0.1 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 8% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.27 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 8% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.99 | 2.23 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7% | 8% | 7% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 14% | 15% | 12% | -3.0 |
| Away | 79% | 77% | 81% | +4.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 61% | 63% | +1.6 |
Danilo Nikolić
No career statistics.
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 31.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 29' | 4 |
