Rating 7.02 · G+A 4 + 1 (56% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round
Momentum
– CeljeARAR2 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Celje | at home | Stat | league | away | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.3 #19 | – | Ball possession | 49.8 | – | 43.3 #60 |
| 11.0 #43 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 7.0 #67 |
| 5.0 #30 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #59 |
| 5.2 #30 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #48 |
| 12.5 #30 | – | Fouls | 11.9 | – | 10.7 #58 |
| 3.0 #13 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 0.7 #69 |
| 5.0 #53 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | – |
| 112.0 #23 | – | Attacks | 100.6 | – | 92.5 #52 |
| 61.0 #26 | – | Dangerous attacks | 54.7 | – | 55.2 #40 |
| 198.7 #50 | – | Passes | 429.0 | – | – |
| 3.3 #8 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.8 #45 |
| 0.2 #15 | – | Redcards | 0.5 | – | – |
| 0.7 #60 | – | Assists | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #30 |
| – #34 | – | Btts | 63.9 | – | – #42 |
| – #30 | – | Cleansheet | 17.7 | – | – #17 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| 0.7 #42 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | – |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | – |
| – #37 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #35 |
| 1.7 #32 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 #37 |
| 1.7 #40 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 #49 |
| 4.5 #48 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | – |
| – #47 | – | Lost | 43.8 | – | – #20 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | – |
| 6.5 #51 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.3 #62 |
| 3.3 #33 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.8 #40 |
| 2.8 #51 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | – #56 |
| 4.7 #46 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.0 #53 |
| 1.8 #51 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | – #56 |
| – #51 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #22 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 81.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 108 of 234
- Goals / match
- 3.08 (home 1.92 · away 1.17)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 20% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 58%
- Cards / match
- 4.31 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Celje · 2026/2027 · Champions League
Rating 6.67 · G+A 1 + 1 (22% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.59 · G+A 1 + 1 (22% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Ararat-Armenia · 2026/2027 · Champions League
Rating 6.37 · G+A 0 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.32 · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.41 · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 51% of minutes
Absences
Celje
- injury Jost Pisek midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 16 missed · until 2026-11-01
- injury Łukasz Bejger defender · Shin Bruise · 14 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 3rd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
- Capacity
- 13,059
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 5,060
Teams
- Coaches
- Vítor de Carvalho Campelos · Manuel da Silva Cruz
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Referee
Marco Guida
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 19.5° (feels 19.9°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 94%
Where to watch · 2
Ukraine
Sport 1 · Sport 1 Ukraine
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 | FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14 | Arsenal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Aston Villa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Bodø / Glimt |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18 | Feyenoord |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Galatasaray |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Inter |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | LASK |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Lens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Manchester City |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | RB Leipzig |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Real Betis |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Roma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sabah |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Viking |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Villarreal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 8 | AEK Athens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10 | Club Brugge |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11 | Como |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | FC Barcelona |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13 | FC Bayern München |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Fenerbahçe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15 | LOSC Lille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Liverpool |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17 | Manchester United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Napoli |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | PSV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21 | Porto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Real Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Slavia Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Sporting CP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | VfB Stuttgart |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 | LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Celje
DD 0W 2D 0L · 2 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5
- D
H
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2–2 won on pens None–None
UEFA CL - D
A
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
UEFA CL
DD 0W 2D 0L · 2 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5
- D
H
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2–2 won on pens None–None
UEFA CL
- D
A
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
UEFA CL
Ararat-Armenia
WLWL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5
- L
A
Shamrock Rovers
1–2
UEFA CL - W
H
Shamrock Rovers
2–0
UEFA CL
- L
A
Riga
2–3
UEFA CL - W
H
Riga
2–0
UEFA CL
WLWL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5
- L
A
Shamrock Rovers
1–2
UEFA CL
- W
H
Shamrock Rovers
2–0
UEFA CL
- L
A
Riga
2–3
UEFA CL
- W
H
Riga
2–0
UEFA CL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2020
Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- W Celje 2–0 Ararat-Armenia UEFA CL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- L Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Celje aet neutral UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round
| Metric | Celje all · 5 | Celje at home · 3 | Ararat-Armenia all · 5 | Ararat-Armenia away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 5 | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | 1.20 | – | 1.20 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 1 | – | 2 / 0 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.80 | – | 1.40 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | – | 1.40 | – |
| Clean sheets | 20% | – | 40% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 20% | – |
| Both teams scored | 80% | – | 40% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | – | 40% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.03 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | 0.67 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -1.03 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -1.04 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | – | 40% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 75% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 8% | – | 15% | – |
| Minutes level | 70% | – | 55% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | – | 30% | – |
| First goal (min) | 47 | – | 58 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 15 | – | 36 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | – | 43% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | – | 0.40 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | – | 0.60 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 10.2 | – | 5.8 | – |
| On target | 5.0 | – | 2.6 | – |
| Shot conversion | 18% | – | 24% | – |
| Shots inside box | 61% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 31% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 9.5 | – | 5.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 52.0 | – | 34.4 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 13.6 | – | 10.4 | – |
| Cards | 3.60 | – | 2.40 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Celje
0–15'02
16–30'02
31–45'40
46–60'11
61–75'10
76–90'21
Ararat-Armenia
0–15'02
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'20
61–75'30
76–90'23
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Celje · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late push (76+, level)-0.335
Game state
When ahead-0.552
When level-0.156
When behind+0.245
10 min after conceding+0.145
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home+0.083
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.043
As underdog-0.292
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.036
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.016
Ahead vs level -0.40 · Behind vs level +0.39
Ararat-Armenia · 8 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.34) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.348
Early press (0-15, level)-0.358
Late push (76+, level)-0.454
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.473
Game state
When ahead-0.264
When level-0.358
When behind-0.384
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring-0.207
Situations
At home-0.394
Away-0.304
4+ days rest-0.348
Opposition
As underdog-0.336
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.328
Conceded when ahead-0.224
Conceded late (76+)+0.177
Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.03
Celje
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 40% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 40% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 1.36 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 20% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Ararat-Armenia
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 80% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.25 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Celje all · 10 | Celje at home · 10 | Ararat-Armenia all · 10 | Ararat-Armenia away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.63 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 30% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 10% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.64 | 1.98 | 1.33 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.98 | – |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.12 | -0.65 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.41 | -0.33 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.49 | 1.00 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.10 | -0.07 | 0.49 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 30% | 50% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 25% | 24% | 11% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 52% | 59% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 38 | 48 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 20 | 15 | 30 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 31% | 47% | 75% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 44% | 36% | 44% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 60% | 46% | 48% |
| Shots | 9.6 | 15.0 | 6.8 | 8.9 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 11% | 18% | 21% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 58% | 72% | 44% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 30% | 67% | – |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 0% | 50% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.2 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 13.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.4 | 60.2 | 32.6 | 48.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 87% | 90% | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 13.8 | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Celje
0–15'14
16–30'33
31–45'72
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'31
Ararat-Armenia
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'13
46–60'32
61–75'31
76–90'35
Celje
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.36 | 2.07 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.43 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.77 | 1.47 |
Ararat-Armenia
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.98 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Celje all · 16 | Celje at home · 8 | Ararat-Armenia all · 8 | Ararat-Armenia away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 16 | 8 | 8 | – |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.75 | 1.25 | – |
| W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 2 | 3 / 1 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.56 | 1.63 | 1.25 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.56 | 1.50 | 1.50 | – |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% | 38% | – |
| Failed to score | 25% | 25% | 12% | – |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 62% | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 75% | 38% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 2.02 | 1.33 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.69 | 1.98 | – |
| xG difference | 0.00 | 0.33 | -0.65 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.25 | -0.52 | -0.33 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.60 | 1.00 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.50 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 25% | 50% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.90 | 1.40 | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 60% | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 78% | 80% | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 18% | 11% | – |
| Minutes level | 46% | 54% | 61% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 28% | 28% | – |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 46 | 57 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 21 | 15 | 32 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 50% | 90% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 44% | 20% | 42% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.63 | 0.38 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.38 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 45% | – |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.1 | 6.6 | – |
| On target | 4.9 | 6.1 | 2.4 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 12% | 19% | – |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 58% | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | – |
| Corners | 4.7 | 6.6 | 3.9 | – |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 32% | 67% | – |
| Goals from headers | 6% | 0% | 50% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.2 | 17.5 | 5.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.1 | 59.3 | 32.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 84% | – |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 13.8 | 10.1 | – |
| Cards | 2.44 | 3.25 | 2.25 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Celje
0–15'16
16–30'44
31–45'103
46–60'25
61–75'23
76–90'52
Ararat-Armenia
0–15'02
16–30'13
31–45'02
46–60'31
61–75'31
76–90'33
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Celje · 16 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: evenly matched +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2816
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4216
Late push (76+, level)-0.188
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.083
Game state
When ahead-0.068
When level+0.4016
When behind+0.3510
10 min after conceding-0.0812
10 min after scoring+0.2012
Situations
At home+0.388
Away+0.188
4+ days rest+0.2816
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.297
Evenly matched+0.473
As underdog+0.146
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0416
Conceded when ahead+0.148
Conceded late (76+)-0.1315
Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.05
Ararat-Armenia · 8 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.34) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.348
Early press (0-15, level)-0.358
Late push (76+, level)-0.454
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.473
Game state
When ahead-0.264
When level-0.358
When behind-0.384
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring-0.207
Situations
At home-0.394
Away-0.304
4+ days rest-0.348
Opposition
As underdog-0.336
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.328
Conceded when ahead-0.224
Conceded late (76+)+0.177
Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.03
Celje
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 38% | 2.17 | 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 2.04 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 25% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.52 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 12% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.33 | 1.16 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 6% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Ararat-Armenia
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 7 88% | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.98 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.42Home 65% P 64%4.5Draw 21% P 22%6.5Away 14% P 14%
Double Chance
1.06NK Celje or Draw 44%1.14NK Celje or Ararat Armenia 41%3.25Draw or Ararat Armenia 14%
Draw No Bet
1.121 83%5.52 17%
Both Teams To Score
1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.57Over 60% P 58%2.35Under 40% P 42%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.9 |
| Draw | 22% | 22% | 24% | +2.1 |
| Away | 14% | 14% | 13% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Marco Guida
- Career
- 277 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 19 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.53 | 4.4 | -1.12 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 22.7 | -0.27 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 5.2 | +0.85 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.42 | 0.32 | +0.66 | 74 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.10 | 45 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 55% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 2' | 6 |
| 2026-04-09 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15' | 8 |
| 2026-04-04 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 17' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 55' | 15 |
| 2026-03-10 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33' | 8 |
| 2026-01-28 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 22' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 56' | 8 |