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Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 2–1 · Omonia Nicosia went through · After Full Time

Momentum

OMOLRI
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Neo GSP (Nicosía (Levkosía)), Levkosía
Capacity
22,859
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,691

Teams

Coaches
Henning Berg · Juan Pavón Domínguez
Position
2 · 1
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Sebastian Gishamer

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
30.4° (feels 32.9°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
57%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Omonia Nicosia

WLD 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 2 GA 2

  • D A Lincoln Red Imps 1–1 UEFA EL
  • L A Kairat 0–1 lost on pens None–None UEFA CL
  • W H Kairat 1–0 UEFA CL

Lincoln Red Imps

WDLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6

  • D H Omonia Nicosia 1–1 UEFA EL
  • D H Mjällby 0–0 UEFA CL
  • L A Mjällby 0–3 UEFA CL
  • D A Inter Club d'Escaldes 1–1 UEFA CL
  • W H Inter Club d'Escaldes 3–1 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Omonia Nicosia 11 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Omonia Nicosia 11 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Omonia Nicosia 11 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Lincoln Red Imps UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • D Lincoln Red Imps 1–1 Omonia Nicosia UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricOmonia Nicosia all · 5Omonia Nicosia at home · 3Lincoln Red Imps all · 2Lincoln Red Imps away · 1
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.40
Goals against / match0.80
Clean sheets40%
Failed to score20%
Both teams scored40%
Over 2.520%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.29
xG against / match1.74
xG difference-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.37
xPts / match1.03
Points vs xPts0.97
Game state
Scored first60%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading32%
Minutes level64%
Minutes trailing4%
First goal (min)54
First goal conceded (min)65
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.60
Late goals against0.40
Style
Possession50%
Shots13.0
On target4.4
Shot conversion11%
Shots inside box55%
Big chances created2.3
Corners4.2
xG from set plays40%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index11.8
Dominant minutes50.4
Pass accuracy82%
Fouls9.6
Cards1.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Omonia Nicosia

0–15'00
16–30'30
31–45'01
46–60'10
61–75'01
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Omonia Nicosia · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.157
Late push (76+, level)-0.413
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.163

Game state

When ahead-0.124
When level-0.047
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.314
10 min after scoring-0.365

Situations

With ten men-0.152
At home-0.154
Away-0.013
4+ days rest-0.097

Opposition

As favourite-0.103
Evenly matched-0.042
As underdog-0.132

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.164
Conceded late (76+)+0.077

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.17

Lincoln Red Imps · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.238
Early press (0-15, level)-0.138
Late push (76+, level)-0.445
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead-0.374
When level-0.178
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.456
10 min after scoring-0.324

Situations

At home-0.204
Away-0.274
4+ days rest-0.238

Opposition

As favourite-0.232
As underdog-0.236

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.068
Conceded when ahead+0.144
Conceded late (76+)+0.017

Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.14

Omonia Nicosia

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 60%1.331.671.331.741.91
3-5-21 20%3.01.00.0
4-2-3-11 20%3.01.00.00.391.4

Lincoln Red Imps

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-31 50%0.00.01.0
4-1-4-11 50%1.01.01.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.2Home 77% P 83%6.5Draw 14% P 12%11.0Away 8% P 5%

Double Chance

1.01Omonia Nicosia or Draw 46%1.06Omonia Nicosia or Lincoln Red Imps FC 44%5.0Draw or Lincoln Red Imps FC 9%

Draw No Bet

1.051 89%8.52 11%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 65%2.62Under 35% P 35%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%86%+2.5
Draw12%11%9%-1.4
Away5%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Sebastian Gishamer

Career
31 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.42 (4.16 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.314.72-0.5430
Fouls / match23.924.1-0.07
Fouls per card5.55.1+0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.33-1.0311
Time added5.86.6-0.9615
First card
44' on average
Card timing
7% in first 30' · 46% in last 15'
Cards to home side
37% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-12 40 260 48'6
2026-02-19 40 341 21'8
2026-01-29 20 241 76'5
2025-11-27 40 200 39'5
2025-11-05 50 281 44'8
2025-10-02 20 200 77'6
2025-08-28 10 140 57'4
2025-08-14 · Lincoln Red Imps 50 330 24'6