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Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 3–4 · Salzburg went through · After Full Time

Momentum

Pafos FCSalzburg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Alphamega Stadium · neutral
Capacity
10,900
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,183

Teams

Coaches
Ricardo Andrade Silva Sá Pinto · Danny Röhl
Position
2 · 1
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
27.3° (feels 30.7°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 15

  • Austria Servus TV · servustv.com
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4 · Moja TV
  • Cyprus Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 2
  • Kosovo Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Pafos FC

LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 0.37–1.58 · xPts 0.49

  • L A Salzburg 0–1 xG 0.37–1.58 UEFA EL
  • W H Hajduk Split 4–0 aet UEFA EL
  • L A Hajduk Split 0–2 UEFA EL

Salzburg

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 0 · xG 1.58–0.37 · xPts 2.27

  • W H Pafos FC 1–0 xG 1.58–0.37 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Pafos FC 01 draws1 Salzburg

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Pafos FC 01 draws1 Salzburg

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Pafos FC 01 draws1 Salzburg

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Pafos FC 3–3 Salzburg neutral UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Salzburg 1–0 Pafos FC UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricPafos FC all · 4Pafos FC at home · 2Salzburg all · 5Salzburg away · 3
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.60
W / D / L4 / 1 / 0
Goals for / match1.80
Goals against / match0.60
Clean sheets80%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored20%
Over 2.540%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.09
xG against / match0.97
xG difference1.12
Finishing vs xG-0.29
xPts / match2.10
Points vs xPts0.50
Game state
Scored first80%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first1.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held80%
Minutes leading22%
Minutes level69%
Minutes trailing10%
First goal (min)66
First goal conceded (min)15
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half89%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.60
Late goals against0.20
Style
Possession59%
Shots16.6
On target6.2
Shot conversion11%
Shots inside box66%
Big chances created3.6
Corners6.4
xG from set plays24%
Goals from headers12%
Pressure index15.8
Dominant minutes66.8
Pass accuracy87%
Fouls12.4
Cards1.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Salzburg

0–15'01
16–30'00
31–45'11
46–60'30
61–75'20
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Pafos FC · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.316
Late push (76+, level)+0.484
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.244

Game state

When ahead+0.043
When level+0.066
When behind+0.095
10 min after conceding+0.005
10 min after scoring+0.484

Situations

At home+0.213
Away-0.093
4+ days rest+0.066

Opposition

As favourite+0.253
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.146
Conceded when ahead-0.103
Conceded late (76+)-0.476

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.03

Salzburg · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.36) · stands out: away +0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.365
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level+0.415
10 min after scoring+0.484

Situations

At home+0.172
Away+0.483
4+ days rest+0.365

Opposition

As favourite+0.354

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)+0.045

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +0.07

Pafos FC

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-22 50%0.51.52.01.02.27
4-3-31 25%3.04.00.0
3-4-31 25%0.00.02.0

Salzburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 3 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%2.61.80.62.090.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 35% P 33%3.4Draw 27% P 27%2.37Away 38% P 39%

Double Chance

1.55Pafos FC or Draw 29%1.25Pafos FC or FC Salzburg 36%1.33Draw or FC Salzburg 34%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.15Under 44% P 44%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw27%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 14 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.864.72-1.0015
Fouls / match21.924.1-1.00
Fouls per card5.75.1+0.51 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.33+0.7779
Time added5.96.6-0.8519
First card
40' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-11 50 171 56'8
2026-05-06 60 230 8'7
2026-04-30 10 181 78'6
2026-04-19 30 212 36'9
2026-04-16 91 231 19'7
2026-03-22 30 220 24'7
2026-03-08 101 280 26'13
2026-02-25 71 311 14'14
2026-02-21 50 281 14'11
2026-02-18 20 160 13'12