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Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 2–4 · Anderlecht went through · After Full Time

Momentum

PAOKAnderlecht
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
Capacity
28,703
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,161

Teams

Coaches
Alessio Lisci · Vítor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Juan Martínez Munuera

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
26.6° (feels 26.6°)
Wind
1.9
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 24

  • Belgium VTM 2 · VTM GO
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 3 · Moja TV
  • Brazil Canal Gol Brasil · Claro TV+ · Sky+ · Vivo Play
  • Bulgaria Max Sport 3
  • Cyprus Open TV
  • Greece Open TV
  • Kosovo Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Portugal Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1
  • United States Fubo.tv

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

PAOK

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2

  • W H Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 UEFA EL
  • W A Dynamo Kyiv 3–2 UEFA EL

Anderlecht

DW 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 2

  • W H Hammarby 3–1 UEFA EL
  • D A Hammarby 1–1 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

PAOK 00 draws2 Anderlecht

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

PAOK 00 draws2 Anderlecht

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

PAOK 00 draws2 Anderlecht

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Anderlecht 3–2 PAOK UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L PAOK 0–1 Anderlecht UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricPAOK all · 4PAOK at home · 2Anderlecht all · 7Anderlecht away · 3
Results
Matches7
Points per game2.29
W / D / L5 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match2.14
Goals against / match0.86
Clean sheets43%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored57%
Over 2.571%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.64
xG against / match1.72
xG difference-0.08
Finishing vs xG0.36
xPts / match1.32
Points vs xPts0.93
Game state
Scored first71%
PPG when scoring first2.60
PPG when conceding first1.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held83%
Minutes leading59%
Minutes level21%
Minutes trailing20%
First goal (min)26
First goal conceded (min)34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.29
Late goals against0.29
Style
Possession46%
Shots11.6
On target5.4
Shot conversion18%
Shots inside box79%
Big chances created3.5
Corners5.1
xG from set plays36%
Goals from headers29%
Pressure index13.3
Dominant minutes53.1
Pass accuracy84%
Fouls14.1
Cards2.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Anderlecht

0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'40
61–75'20
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PAOK · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: when behind +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)-0.126
Late push (76+, level)+0.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.424

Game state

When ahead-0.382
When level+0.156
When behind+0.445
10 min after conceding-0.035
10 min after scoring+0.105

Situations

At home+0.303
Away+0.033
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

As favourite+0.303
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.012
Conceded late (76+)-0.426

Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level +0.29

Anderlecht · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.057
Early press (0-15, level)+0.547
Late push (76+, level)+0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.266
When level+0.657
When behind+0.222
10 min after conceding-0.084
10 min after scoring+0.107

Situations

Against ten men-0.872
At home+0.284
Away-0.283
4+ days rest+0.057

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.164
As underdog-0.362

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.055

Ahead vs level -0.91 · Behind vs level -0.43

PAOK

Current: winless 4 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.751.52.071.35

Anderlecht

Current: winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 57%3.02.50.51.741.73
4-4-23 43%1.331.671.331.351.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 59% P 58%3.8Draw 24% P 23%5.5Away 17% P 19%

Double Chance

1.14PAOK Salonika or Draw 41%1.25PAOK Salonika or Anderlecht 38%2.25Draw or Anderlecht 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 54%2.05Under 46% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home58%59%60%+1.3
Draw23%23%24%+1.3
Away19%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Juan Martínez Munuera

Career
254 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.74 (4.55 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-22 30 220 46'4
2026-05-23 20 260 3'5
2026-05-13 70 350 31'9
2026-05-04 30 300 28'8
2026-04-21 20 260 35'9
2026-04-05 40 220 29'6
2026-03-19 50 210 71'15
2026-03-15 10 192 37'9
2026-02-21 70 270 27'21
2026-02-18 70 330 31'7