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Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 1–2 · Omonia Nicosia went through · After Full Time

Momentum

LRIOMO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
3rd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
Capacity
2,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
716

Teams

Coaches
Juan Pavón Domínguez · Henning Berg
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Əliyar Ağayev

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
29.7° (feels 31.9°)
Wind
3.7
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 3

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Lincoln Red Imps

WDLD 1W 2D 1L · 5 pts (1.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5

  • D H Mjällby 0–0 UEFA CL
  • L A Mjällby 0–3 UEFA CL
  • D A Inter Club d'Escaldes 1–1 UEFA CL
  • W H Inter Club d'Escaldes 3–1 UEFA CL

Omonia Nicosia

WL 1W 0D 1L · 3 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1

  • L A Kairat 0–1 lost on pens None–None UEFA CL
  • W H Kairat 1–0 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Lincoln Red Imps 01 draws1 Omonia Nicosia

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Lincoln Red Imps 01 draws1 Omonia Nicosia

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Lincoln Red Imps 01 draws1 Omonia Nicosia

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Lincoln Red Imps UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • D Lincoln Red Imps 1–1 Omonia Nicosia UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricLincoln Red Imps all · 2Lincoln Red Imps at home · 1Omonia Nicosia all · 5Omonia Nicosia away · 2
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.40
Goals against / match0.80
Clean sheets40%
Failed to score20%
Both teams scored40%
Over 2.520%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.29
xG against / match1.74
xG difference-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.37
xPts / match1.03
Points vs xPts0.97
Game state
Scored first60%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading32%
Minutes level64%
Minutes trailing4%
First goal (min)54
First goal conceded (min)65
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.60
Late goals against0.40
Style
Possession50%
Shots13.0
On target4.4
Shot conversion11%
Shots inside box55%
Big chances created2.3
Corners4.2
xG from set plays40%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index11.8
Dominant minutes50.4
Pass accuracy82%
Fouls9.6
Cards1.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Omonia Nicosia

0–15'00
16–30'30
31–45'01
46–60'10
61–75'01
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lincoln Red Imps · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.238
Early press (0-15, level)-0.138
Late push (76+, level)-0.445
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead-0.374
When level-0.178
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.456
10 min after scoring-0.324

Situations

At home-0.204
Away-0.274
4+ days rest-0.238

Opposition

As favourite-0.232
As underdog-0.236

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.068
Conceded when ahead+0.144
Conceded late (76+)+0.017

Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.13

Omonia Nicosia · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.157
Late push (76+, level)-0.413
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.163

Game state

When ahead-0.124
When level-0.047
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.314
10 min after scoring-0.365

Situations

With ten men-0.152
At home-0.154
Away-0.013
4+ days rest-0.097

Opposition

As favourite-0.103
Evenly matched-0.042
As underdog-0.132

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.164
Conceded late (76+)+0.077

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.17

Lincoln Red Imps

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-11 50%1.01.01.0
4-3-31 50%0.00.01.0

Omonia Nicosia

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 60%1.331.671.331.741.91
3-5-21 20%3.01.00.0
4-2-3-11 20%3.01.00.00.391.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 14% P 17%4.2Draw 21% P 22%1.38Away 65% P 61%

Double Chance

2.25Lincoln Red Imps FC or Draw 20%1.18Lincoln Red Imps FC or Omonia Nicosia 39%1.11Draw or Omonia Nicosia 41%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.07Under 45% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home17%16%15%-1.7
Draw22%23%20%-3.0
Away61%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Əliyar Ağayev

Career
50 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.1 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 11 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.72-0.4832
Fouls / match27.624.1+1.63
Fouls per card6.35.1+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.33+0.9481
Time added6.56.6-0.2134
First card
38' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 53% in last 15'
Cards to home side
65% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-19 72 280 27'16
2026-02-19 21 160 12'10
2026-01-22 60 210 82'6
2025-11-04 70 361 23'12
2025-10-02 40 270 81'6
2025-09-18 50 270 33'6
2025-08-21 31 130 33'6
2025-08-06 10 250 13'8