Dynamo Kyiv v Qarabağ

Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round Aggregate 1–2 · Qarabağ went through · After Full Time

Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv

1–0

QarabağQarabağ

Momentum

– Dynamo KyivQarabağ –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Dynamo Kyiv	at home	Stat	league	away	Qarabağ
40.0 #133	–	Ball possession	49.1	–	49.5 #74
10.0 #52	–	Shots total	8.8	–	8.8 #67
3.5 #64	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	2.5 #94
5.0 #60	–	Corners	4.8	–	4.5 #78
15.0 #38	–	Fouls	13.1	–	10.0 #122
5.5 #1	–	Offsides	1.9	–	1.8 #62
10.0 #34	–	Tackles	10.8	–	13.8 #22
76.0 #145	–	Attacks	107.8	–	100.0 #95
49.5 #107	–	Dangerous attacks	60.3	–	54.5 #93
165.0 #48	–	Passes	311.6	–	314.2 #29
2.5 #40	–	Yellowcards	2.2	–	2.0 #64
–	–	Redcards	0.4	–	0.2 #16
–	–	Assists	1.1	–	1.0 #47
– #127	–	Btts	53.6	–	– #114
– #11	–	Cleansheet	23.4	–	– #11
– #91	–	Draw	25.5	–	– #91
0.6 #39	–	Expected goals	1.2	–	0.7 #36
-0.1 #49	–	Expected goals difference	0.4	–	0.3 #39
– #18	–	Failed to score	30.1	–	– #67
0.5 #115	1.0	Goals	1.3	0.5	1.0 #80
1.0 #110	0.0	Goals conceded	1.6	0.5	1.2 #96
–	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.2 #52
4.0 #43	–	Interceptions	6.2	–	6.8 #26
– #27	–	Lost	44.3	–	– #27
6.5 #45	–	Rating	6.5	–	6.7 #27
1.0 #122	–	Shots blocked	2.5	–	2.5 #67
4.5 #36	–	Shots insidebox	6.3	–	5.2 #33
8.0 #15	–	Shots off target	4.6	–	4.8 #63
2.5 #36	–	Shots outsidebox	3.7	–	2.2 #39
– #19	–	Win	30.2	–	– #19

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 258 of 366
Goals / match: 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
Home / draw / away: 46% · 25% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 53% · 57%
Cards / match: 4.26 (reds 0.12)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Dynamo Kyiv · Last 365 days

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok 8 · Central Midfield

On the bench

Rating 6.92 · G+A 0 + 2 (17% of team goals) · 48% of minutes

Team 1.14 ppg with (7) · 0.6 without (5)

Vitaliy Buyalskyi 29 · Attacking Midfield

On the bench

Rating 6.89 · G+A 1 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 33% of minutes

Mykola Shaparenko 10 · Central Midfield

On the bench

Rating 6.75 · G+A 0 + 2 (17% of team goals) · 51% of minutes

Team 0.83 ppg with (6) · 1.0 without (6)

All key players

Qarabağ · Last 365 days

Marko Jankovic 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.59 · G+A 1 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 85% of minutes

Abdellah Zoubir 10 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.66 · G+A 2 + 1 (13% of team goals) · 79% of minutes

Kady Borges 20 · Attacking Midfield

On the bench

Rating 6.78 · G+A 2 + 1 (13% of team goals) · 54% of minutes

Team 1.8 ppg with (10) · 0.43 without (7)

All key players

Absences

Dynamo Kyiv

injury Denys Popov #13 key player defender · Knee Surgery · 8 missed · until 2026-10-01
injury Kostyantyn Vivcharenko defender · Knee Injury · 4 missed
injury Mykola Mykhaylenko #9 key player midfielder · Knee Surgery · 10 missed
injury Reshat Ramadani midfielder · Knee Surgery · 21 missed
injury Roman Salenko midfielder · Hip Injury · 8 missed
injury Vladyslav Zakharchenko #19 key player defender · Torn Ankle Ligaments · 10 missed
suspension Vladyslav Gerych attacker · No Eligibility

Competition

Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Leg: 1/2

Venue

Stadium: Arena Lublin, Lublin · neutral
Capacity: 15,243
Surface: grass
Attendance: 4,335

Teams

Coaches: Ihor Kostyuk · Qurban Qurbanov
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Morten Krogh

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 23.4° (feels 23.6°)
Wind: 4.8
Humidity: 67%

Where to watch · 3

Azerbaijan CBC Sport · TV NET
Ukraine 2+2

No table for this competition stage.

Dynamo Kyiv

DDLL 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5

L A PAOK 0–2 UEFA EL
L H PAOK 2–3 UEFA EL
D A Universitatea Cluj 0–0 won on pens None–None UEFA EL
D H Universitatea Cluj 0–0 UEFA EL

Qarabağ

WWDD 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 0

D A CSKA Sofia 0–0 lost on pens None–None UEFA EL
D H CSKA Sofia 0–0 UEFA EL
W A Vestri 3–0 UEFA EL
W H Vestri 3–0 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Dynamo Kyiv 10 draws1 Qarabağ

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Dynamo Kyiv 10 draws1 Qarabağ

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Dynamo Kyiv 10 draws1 Qarabağ

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

L Qarabağ 2–0 Dynamo Kyiv neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
W Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Qarabağ neutral UEFA ECL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2

Metric	Dynamo Kyiv all · 2	Dynamo Kyiv at home · 1	Qarabağ all · 4	Qarabağ away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Dynamo Kyiv · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.016

Early press (0-15, level)+0.116

Late push (76+, level)+0.072

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.572

When level+0.216

When behind-0.053

10 min after conceding-0.323

10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.153

Away+0.133

4+ days rest-0.016

Opposition

As favourite+0.153

As underdog-0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.166

Conceded when ahead+0.142

Conceded late (76+)-0.346

Ahead vs level -0.79 · Behind vs level -0.27

Qarabağ · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.25

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.058

Early press (0-15, level)+0.218

Late push (76+, level)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.065

When level+0.108

10 min after conceding-0.242

10 min after scoring+0.005

Situations

At home-0.044

Away+0.144

4+ days rest+0.058

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402

As favourite+0.174

Evenly matched-0.172

As underdog+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.078

Conceded when ahead-0.035

Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.04

Dynamo Kyiv

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 100%	1.5	0.5	1.0	–	–

Qarabağ

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 100%	1.5	1.0	1.25	0.51	2.19

Metric	Dynamo Kyiv all · 10	Dynamo Kyiv at home · 10	Qarabağ all · 10	Qarabağ away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.10	1.90	1.40	1.30
W / D / L	3 / 2 / 5	6 / 1 / 3	4 / 2 / 4	4 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match	1.20	1.60	1.30	1.30
Goals against / match	1.10	0.60	1.40	1.80
Clean sheets	50%	70%	60%	30%
Failed to score	50%	30%	30%	40%
Both teams scored	20%	10%	30%	40%
Over 2.5	30%	30%	50%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.21	1.20	0.82	0.85
xG against / match	1.52	0.80	2.84	2.53
xG difference	-0.31	0.40	-2.01	-1.68
Finishing vs xG	1.04	1.05	0.43	0.57
xPts / match	1.34	1.66	0.47	0.70
Points vs xPts	0.16	0.60	0.27	0.58
Game state
Scored first	40%	70%	50%	30%
PPG when scoring first	2.25	2.57	2.40	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00
Came back from behind	0%	0%	0%	29%
Leads held	75%	86%	80%	80%
Minutes leading	24%	43%	29%	20%
Minutes level	46%	44%	41%	42%
Minutes trailing	30%	13%	30%	38%
First goal (min)	23	24	37	31
First goal conceded (min)	24	43	24	24
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	67%	56%	62%	69%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	50%	33%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.50	0.10	0.20
Late goals against	0.00	0.10	0.40	0.20
Style
Possession	52%	56%	54%	50%
Shots	12.9	10.3	11.2	10.1
On target	4.0	3.8	3.4	3.7
Shot conversion	10%	16%	13%	13%
Shots inside box	62%	66%	62%	65%
Big chances created	2.5	2.8	1.8	1.6
Corners	5.2	5.3	7.2	5.7
xG from set plays	26%	27%	45%	30%
Goals from headers	33%	33%	0%	0%
Pressure index	13.5	17.0	9.9	8.7
Dominant minutes	54.2	63.2	50.7	41.2
Pass accuracy	85%	85%	79%	80%
Fouls	13.4	12.4	8.9	6.7
Cards	2.20	1.50	1.60	1.10

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Dynamo Kyiv

0–15'22

16–30'21

31–45'03

46–60'43

61–75'12

76–90'30

Qarabağ

0–15'25

16–30'20

31–45'13

46–60'61

61–75'11

76–90'12

Dynamo Kyiv

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	5 50%	1.0	1.6	1.0	1.45	1.34
4-2-3-1	3 30%	1.0	0.33	1.33	–	–
4-1-4-1	2 20%	1.5	1.5	1.0	0.97	1.7

Qarabağ

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	1.56	1.22	1.22	0.53	2.92
3-4-2-1	1 10%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.69	2.57

Metric	Dynamo Kyiv all · 12	Dynamo Kyiv at home · 6	Qarabağ all · 17	Qarabağ away · 8
Results
Matches	12	6	17	8
Points per game	0.92	1.67	1.24	0.88
W / D / L	3 / 2 / 7	3 / 1 / 2	6 / 3 / 8	2 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match	1.00	1.83	1.35	0.88
Goals against / match	1.33	0.83	1.94	1.88
Clean sheets	42%	67%	41%	38%
Failed to score	58%	33%	29%	50%
Both teams scored	17%	17%	41%	25%
Over 2.5	33%	33%	59%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.97	1.32	1.00	0.72
xG against / match	1.71	0.85	2.64	3.10
xG difference	-0.74	0.47	-1.63	-2.38
Finishing vs xG	0.53	1.35	0.36	0.08
xPts / match	1.03	1.70	0.73	0.43
Points vs xPts	-0.03	0.30	0.18	0.17
Game state
Scored first	33%	67%	53%	38%
PPG when scoring first	2.25	2.25	2.00	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	0.17	0.00
Came back from behind	0%	0%	20%	0%
Leads held	75%	75%	60%	67%
Minutes leading	20%	41%	29%	22%
Minutes level	41%	38%	44%	40%
Minutes trailing	39%	21%	27%	38%
First goal (min)	23	15	28	27
First goal conceded (min)	22	22	28	27
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	67%	64%	52%	57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	44%	40%	55%	60%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.25	0.50	0.24	0.00
Late goals against	0.00	0.00	0.59	0.25
Style
Possession	52%	53%	51%	50%
Shots	11.8	11.3	10.8	10.0
On target	3.4	4.2	3.6	3.5
Shot conversion	9%	16%	13%	9%
Shots inside box	58%	69%	62%	64%
Big chances created	2.0	3.0	1.9	1.4
Corners	5.1	4.7	5.7	6.4
xG from set plays	27%	30%	25%	38%
Goals from headers	33%	38%	0%	0%
Pressure index	11.9	14.5	10.9	8.3
Dominant minutes	51.3	57.3	44.8	38.4
Pass accuracy	84%	84%	80%	79%
Fouls	12.6	11.8	7.8	6.6
Cards	2.08	1.33	1.47	1.25

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Dynamo Kyiv

0–15'23

16–30'21

31–45'05

46–60'44

61–75'13

76–90'30

Qarabağ

0–15'57

16–30'42

31–45'25

46–60'74

61–75'15

76–90'48

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Dynamo Kyiv · 12 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0312

Early press (0-15, level)+0.2112

Late push (76+, level)+0.072

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.446

Game state

When ahead+0.074

When level+0.1712

When behind-0.147

10 min after conceding-0.287

10 min after scoring+0.445

Situations

Against ten men-1.002

At home-0.076

Away+0.136

4+ days rest+0.0312

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.422

As favourite+0.265

As underdog-0.146

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0412

Conceded when ahead-0.144

Conceded late (76+)-0.2010

Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.31

Qarabağ · 17 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0417

Early press (0-15, level)+0.4317

Late push (76+, level)-0.466

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.196

Game state

When ahead-0.0710

When level+0.1817

When behind-0.119

10 min after conceding-0.1210

10 min after scoring+0.0611

Situations

At home+0.049

Away+0.038

4+ days rest+0.0417

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.016

v mid-tier opponents-0.072

As favourite+0.174

Evenly matched+0.203

As underdog-0.0710

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0917

Conceded when ahead+0.0510

Conceded late (76+)+0.0714

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.29

Dynamo Kyiv

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	5 42%	1.0	1.6	1.0	1.45	1.34
4-2-3-1	4 33%	0.75	0.25	1.75	0.47	2.44
4-1-4-1	2 17%	1.5	1.5	1.0	0.97	1.7
3-4-3	1 8%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.51	1.72

Qarabağ

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	16 94%	1.31	1.31	1.88	0.93	2.64
3-4-2-1	1 6%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.69	2.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 42% P 45%3.1Draw 29% P 27%3.1Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Dynamo Kyiv or Draw 36%1.28Dynamo Kyiv or FK Qarabag 36%1.6Draw or FK Qarabag 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 48%1.85Under 51% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	45%	46%	50%	+4.6
Draw	27%	26%	23%	-2.4
Away	28%	28%	26%	-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	48%	49%	50%	+1.3

Morten Krogh

Career: 28 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match: 4.54 (4.43 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match: 24.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.36
Cards to home side: 44%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	5.2	4.92	+0.18	67
Fouls / match	25.1	23.8	+0.59
Fouls per card	4.8	4.8	-0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.1	0.29	-1.33	10
Time added	7.3	6.5	+0.63	72

First card: 34' on average
Card timing: 9% in first 30' · 49% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 45% (league 47%)

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-27	4	0	26	0	45'	6
2025-11-06	–	–	28	–	–	4
2025-08-21	3	0	24	0	8'	5
2025-08-07	5	0	20	0	3'	8

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Dynamo Kyiv · Last 365 days

Qarabağ · Last 365 days

Absences

Dynamo Kyiv

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 3

Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Dynamo Kyiv · 6 matches

Qarabağ · 8 matches

Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ

Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Dynamo Kyiv · 12 matches

Qarabağ · 17 matches

Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

Morten Krogh

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

Recent matches