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Champions League · Play-offs Aggregate 6–1 · Bodø / Glimt went through · After Full Time

Momentum

Bodø / GlimtNEC Nijmegen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Capacity
8,270
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
8,009

Teams

Coaches
Kjetil Knutsen · Dick Schreuder
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Michael Oliver

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.8° (feels 11.6°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
97%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Bodø / Glimt

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 5.49–4.93 · xPts 3.0

  • W A NEC Nijmegen 3–1 xG 1.65–2.26 UEFA CL
  • W H Union Saint-Gilloise 3–2 aet xG 3.85–2.67 UEFA CL

NEC Nijmegen

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 14.58–6.06 · xPts 10.88

  • L H Bodø / Glimt 1–3 xG 2.26–1.65 UEFA CL
  • W A Willem II 4–1 xG 2.78–1.42 NLD E
  • W H Olympiacos F.C. 2–1 aet xG 1.91–0.94 UEFA CL
  • L H Telstar 1–2 xG 2.5–1.37 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 xG 5.12–0.69 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Bodø / Glimt 20 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Bodø / Glimt 20 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Bodø / Glimt 20 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Bodø / Glimt 3–0 NEC Nijmegen UEFA CL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Bodø / Glimt UEFA CL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricBodø / Glimt all · 4Bodø / Glimt at home · 2NEC Nijmegen all · 3NEC Nijmegen away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bodø / Glimt · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.37

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204

Game state

When ahead-0.123
When level+0.104
10 min after conceding-0.373
10 min after scoring-0.043

Situations

At home+0.242
Away-0.272
4+ days rest+0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.274
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)+0.273

Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.29

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

Bodø / Glimt

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 100%2.252.252.02.091.9

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-21 33%3.02.01.01.910.94
3-4-2-11 33%0.01.03.02.261.65
3-4-1-21 33%0.00.03.00.22.48

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.8 pts at 4.8d

1.51Home 63% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 1.585.09Draw 19% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 4.615.4Away 18% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 4.72
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.51 ▲ +3.85.09 ▼ -1.65.4 ▼ -2.21.0h
bet3651.48 ▲ +2.74.75 · -0.95.0 ▼ -1.81.0h
Betfair1.47 ▲ +1.84.6 · +0.85.0 ▼ -2.61.0h
BetVictor1.5 ▲ +3.35.0 ▼ -1.25.5 ▼ -2.11.0h
Coral1.53 ▲ +1.74.8 · +0.05.25 ▼ -1.71.0h
Ladbrokes1.53 ▲ +1.64.8 · -0.85.0 · -0.81.0h
Unibet1.44 · +0.85.0 · +0.25.6 ▼ -1.11.0h
WilliamHill1.44 ▲ +3.24.6 · -0.85.0 ▼ -2.41.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.48Home 62% P 63%4.75Draw 19% P 19%5.0Away 18% P 18%

Double Chance

1.11Bodo/Glimt or Draw 41%1.12Bodo/Glimt or NEC 40%2.4Draw or NEC 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 72% P 74%3.4Under 28% P 26%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–65% · away 15–20% · 1,148 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%62%63%+0.9
Draw19%22%21%-0.6
Away18%16%16%-0.3

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.574%73%74%+0.3

Michael Oliver

Career
622 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.724.4+0.7074
Fouls / match23.222.7+0.49
Fouls per card4.95.2-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.32-0.9413
Time added5.66.5-0.9616
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 20 311 34'19
2026-08-11 50 230 43'4
2026-05-24 50 330 13'13
2026-05-17 10 160 90'10
2026-05-04 50 200 45'8
2026-04-25 40 260 46'5
2026-04-18 40 250 25'9
2026-04-11 40 301 77'7
2026-04-07 50 240 37'5
2026-04-04 60 252 24'3