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Champions League · Play-offs Aggregate 2–3 · Fenerbahçe went through · After Full Time

Momentum

LYOFenerbahçe
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu
Capacity
59,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
55,443

Teams

Coaches
Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca · İsmail Kartal
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
26.0° (feels 26.0°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
58%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Olympique Lyonnais

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 8.12–6.47 · xPts 7.98

  • W A Toulouse 2–0 xG 1.06–1.99 FRA L1
  • D A Fenerbahçe 1–1 xG 0.93–0.65 UEFA CL
  • W H Sparta Praha 3–0 xG 2.09–0.64 UEFA CL
  • L H Lens 0–4 xG 2.28–1.84 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 1–2 xG 1.76–1.35 FRA L1

Fenerbahçe

WDWD 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 2 · xG 7.03–2.87 · xPts 8.05

  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 0.65–0.93 UEFA CL
  • W A Sturm Graz 1–0 xG 1.95–1.2 UEFA CL
  • D A Górnik Zabrze 1–1 xG 2.8–0.65 UEFA CL
  • W H Górnik Zabrze 1–0 xG 1.63–0.09 UEFA CL

All meetings · 7 matches since 2001

Olympique Lyonnais 42 draws1 Fenerbahçe

Goals 13–7 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 42 draws1 Fenerbahçe

Goals 13–7 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 22 draws1 Fenerbahçe

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 Fenerbahçe UEFA CL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • D Fenerbahçe 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais UEFA CL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • D Fenerbahçe 0–0 Olympique Lyonnais UEFA EL · League Stage
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 4–2 Fenerbahçe UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Fenerbahçe 1–3 Olympique Lyonnais UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 3–1 Fenerbahçe UEFA CL · 1st Group Stage
  • W Fenerbahçe 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais UEFA CL · 1st Group Stage
MetricOlympique Lyonnais all · 3Olympique Lyonnais at home · 2Fenerbahçe all · 6Fenerbahçe away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.00
W / D / L3 / 3 / 0
Goals for / match1.17
Goals against / match0.67
Clean sheets33%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored67%
Over 2.517%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.79
xG against / match0.80
xG difference0.99
Finishing vs xG-0.62
xPts / match2.00
Points vs xPts0.00
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first2.50
PPG when conceding first1.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading33%
Minutes level64%
Minutes trailing3%
First goal (min)39
First goal conceded (min)46
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half25%
Late goals for (76'+)0.00
Late goals against0.00
Style
Possession53%
Shots13.2
On target5.2
Shot conversion9%
Shots inside box66%
Big chances created2.8
Corners5.5
xG from set plays39%
Goals from headers14%
Pressure index14.4
Dominant minutes55.8
Pass accuracy84%
Fouls14.2
Cards2.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Fenerbahçe

0–15'10
16–30'20
31–45'13
46–60'20
61–75'11
76–90'00

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.128
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.342

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.112
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Fenerbahçe · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.146
Early press (0-15, level)+0.486
Late push (76+, level)-0.293

Game state

When ahead+0.144
When level+0.176
When behind-0.422
10 min after conceding-0.374
10 min after scoring+0.626

Situations

At home+0.293
Away+0.003
4+ days rest+0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.023
As favourite+0.214
As underdog+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.076
Conceded when ahead-0.214
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.60

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 67%2.02.00.51.510.65
4-3-31 33%0.01.02.01.512.52

Fenerbahçe

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.21.20.61.910.87
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.01.180.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.3 pts at 3.0h

1.9Home 51% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.953.68Draw 26% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.64.12Away 23% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 3.75
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.9 ▲ +2.13.68 · -0.24.12 ▼ -1.91.0h
bet3651.85 · +0.13.5 · -0.73.7 · +0.71.0h
Betfair1.87 · +0.33.4 ▲ +1.94.0 ▼ -2.21.0h
BetVictor1.87 ▲ +2.13.8 ▼ -1.13.9 ▼ -1.01.0h
Coral1.91 ▲ +2.53.7 ▼ -1.33.9 ▼ -1.21.0h
Ladbrokes1.91 ▲ +1.83.6 · -1.03.8 · -0.91.0h
Unibet1.89 · +0.23.55 · +0.13.85 · -0.21.0h
WilliamHill1.85 ▲ +2.33.4 · -0.93.8 ▼ -1.41.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 49% P 51%3.5Draw 26% P 26%3.7Away 25% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Lyon or Draw 37%1.22Lyon or Fenerbahce 37%1.8Draw or Fenerbahce 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.07Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

5.52.1Over 44% P 46%1.66Under 56% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw26%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.094.4-0.2642
Fouls / match22.122.7-0.27
Fouls per card5.45.2-0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.270.32-0.5332
Time added6.96.5+0.6474
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-11 61 360 12'8
2026-05-27 90 310 20'9
2026-04-26 30 181 81'6
2026-04-19 10 150 60'5
2026-04-14 20 190 45'10
2026-03-20 40 280 17'10
2026-03-14 40 260 32'14
2026-03-11 20 241 57'18
2026-02-26 · Fenerbahçe 10 201 40'11
2026-02-23 60 270 37'11