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Champions League · Play-offs Aggregate 6–4 · Sabah went through · After Extra Time

Momentum

SabahHBS
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)), Baku · neutral
Capacity
31,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,890

Teams

Coaches
Valdas Dambrauskas · Ran Kozuch
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Istvan Kovacs

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
25.9° (feels 26.8°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
89%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Sabah

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 3.54–2.97 · xPts 2.92

  • L A Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1–2 xG 0.65–1.72 UEFA CL
  • W H AGF 4–0 xG 2.89–1.26 UEFA CL
  • W A KuPS 2–0 UEFA CL
  • W H KuPS 1–0 UEFA CL
  • W A The New Saints 2–1 UEFA CL

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

LWWW 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 1.72–0.65 · xPts 2.13

  • W H Sabah 2–1 xG 1.72–0.65 UEFA CL
  • W A Crvena Zvezda 2–0 UEFA CL
  • W H Víkingur Reykjavík 2–0 UEFA CL
  • L A Víkingur Reykjavík 1–2 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Sabah 10 draws1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Goals 6–4 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Sabah 10 draws1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Goals 6–4 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Sabah 10 draws1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Goals 6–4 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Sabah 5–2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva aet neutral UEFA CL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2–1 Sabah neutral UEFA CL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricSabah all · 8Sabah at home · 4Hapoel Be'er Sheva all · 5Hapoel Be'er Sheva away · 3
Results
Matches85
Points per game2.251.80
W / D / L6 / 0 / 23 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match2.131.80
Goals against / match1.131.60
Clean sheets50%40%
Failed to score12%0%
Both teams scored38%60%
Over 2.562%60%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.031.48
xG against / match1.892.25
xG difference0.15-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.470.52
xPts / match1.441.22
Points vs xPts0.060.28
Game state
Scored first75%60%
PPG when scoring first2.502.00
PPG when conceding first1.501.50
Came back from behind33%33%
Leads held86%75%
Minutes leading36%22%
Minutes level49%62%
Minutes trailing15%15%
First goal (min)4246
First goal conceded (min)4231
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half67%78%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.750.60
Late goals against0.250.80
Style
Possession52%62%
Shots15.910.8
On target5.64.6
Shot conversion13%17%
Shots inside box78%78%
Big chances created4.02.0
Corners5.93.8
xG from set plays15%18%
Goals from headers30%25%
Pressure index15.710.4
Dominant minutes58.647.4
Pass accuracy83%86%
Fouls11.610.6
Cards1.254.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sabah

0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'20
61–75'42
76–90'42

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

0–15'11
16–30'00
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'31
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sabah · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.158
Early press (0-15, level)-0.058
Late push (76+, level)-0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.226
When level+0.128
When behind+0.073
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.607

Situations

At home+0.374
Away-0.094
4+ days rest+0.158

Opposition

As favourite+0.365
Evenly matched-0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.108
Conceded when ahead-0.236
Conceded late (76+)-0.247

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.06

Hapoel Be'er Sheva · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.014

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level+0.076
When behind+0.152
10 min after conceding-0.383
10 min after scoring-0.125

Situations

At home+0.273
Away-0.223
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.092
Evenly matched+0.062
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.096
Conceded when ahead+0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.276

Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +0.08

Sabah

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 75%2.52.50.832.471.41
4-3-32 25%1.51.02.00.743.33

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 100%1.81.81.61.482.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.9 pts at 23.8h

1.93Home 50% ▼ -3.1 ptsopened 1.793.91Draw 25% · +0.9 ptsopened 4.03.74Away 26% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 4.02
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.93 ▼ -3.13.91 · +0.93.74 ▲ +2.245m
bet3651.85 ▼ -3.84.0 · +0.53.3 ▲ +3.345m
Betfair1.91 ▼ -5.23.75 · +0.83.6 ▲ +4.445m
BetVictor1.91 ▼ -3.73.75 · +0.43.8 ▲ +3.445m
Coral1.85 ▼ -1.43.75 · +0.34.0 ▲ +1.145m
Ladbrokes1.83 ▼ -1.23.7 · +0.24.0 · +1.045m
Unibet1.86 ▼ -4.73.8 · +1.03.75 ▲ +3.745m
WilliamHill1.91 ▼ -3.73.5 ▲ +2.13.6 ▲ +1.745m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 49% P 50%4.0Draw 23% P 25%3.3Away 28% P 26%

Double Chance

1.33Sabah or Draw 36%1.22Sabah or Hapoel Beer Sheva 39%1.83Draw or Hapoel Beer Sheva 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.07Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
5.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Istvan Kovacs

Career
89 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
5.37 (5.07 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 37 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.244.4+1.4994
Fouls / match24.222.7+1.11
Fouls per card4.75.2-0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.32-0.1252
Time added6.66.5+0.2761
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-11 63 210 16'7
2026-04-08 51 230 31'7
2026-03-19 70 482 26'9
2026-02-25 61 200 24'7
2026-01-28 30 260 56'6
2026-01-21 70 220 29'6
2025-12-11 50 191 45'5
2025-11-04 50 270 23'7
2025-10-01 40 260 6'8
2025-09-17 61 290 15'10