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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 1–6 · FC Midtjylland went through · After Full Time

Momentum

RijekaFCM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Capacity
8,279
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,352

Teams

Coaches
Matjaž Kek · Mike Tullberg
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-5-1

Referee

Jasper Vergoote

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
24.4° (feels 24.9°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 5

  • Croatia Max Sport 1 · MAX To Go
  • Denmark Bold+
  • United States ESPN+ · Fubo.tv

No table for this competition stage.

Rijeka

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 0.39–1.35 · xPts 0.6

  • L A FC Midtjylland 0–2 xG 0.39–1.35 UEFA ECL
  • D A Ilves 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Ilves 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W A Derry City 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Derry City 1–0 UEFA ECL

FC Midtjylland

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 4.94–1.99 · xPts 5.92

  • W H Rijeka 2–0 xG 1.35–0.39 UEFA ECL
  • W H Bohemians 3–2 xG 2.87–0.94 UEFA ECL
  • W A Bohemians 2–0 xG 0.73–0.67 UEFA ECL
  • L H Beşiktaş 0–2 UEFA EL
  • L A Beşiktaş 0–1 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Rijeka 00 draws2 FC Midtjylland

Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Rijeka 00 draws2 FC Midtjylland

Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Rijeka 00 draws2 FC Midtjylland

Goals 1–6 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Rijeka 1–4 FC Midtjylland UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L FC Midtjylland 2–0 Rijeka UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricRijeka all · 6Rijeka at home · 3FC Midtjylland all · 4FC Midtjylland away · 2
Results
Matches6
Points per game1.67
W / D / L3 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.83
Goals against / match1.17
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score17%
Both teams scored33%
Over 2.517%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.84
xG against / match1.94
xG difference-1.10
Finishing vs xG-0.34
xPts / match0.66
Points vs xPts-0.66
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first2.25
PPG when conceding first0.50
Came back from behind33%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading37%
Minutes level42%
Minutes trailing21%
First goal (min)31
First goal conceded (min)34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.00
Late goals against0.17
Style
Possession56%
Shots13.2
On target5.2
Shot conversion8%
Shots inside box72%
Big chances created1.0
Corners6.0
xG from set plays11%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index10.6
Dominant minutes48.5
Pass accuracy72%
Fouls12.2
Cards2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rijeka

0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'13
61–75'11
76–90'01

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rijeka · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.372

Game state

When ahead-0.104
When level+0.176
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.185

Situations

At home+0.113
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

As favourite+0.104

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead-0.234
Conceded late (76+)-0.236

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level -0.41

FC Midtjylland · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.216
Early press (0-15, level)+0.506
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.334
When level+0.206
When behind-0.043
10 min after conceding-0.274
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

With ten men-0.122
At home+0.273
Away+0.153
4+ days rest+0.216

Opposition

As favourite+0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.236
Conceded when ahead-0.314
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level -0.24

Rijeka

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%1.40.81.40.841.94
4-3-31 17%3.01.00.0

FC Midtjylland

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-21 25%3.02.00.01.350.39
4-3-31 25%3.02.00.00.730.67
3-1-4-21 25%3.03.02.02.870.94
4-5-11 25%3.04.01.02.531.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 102 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.9 pts at 1.8h

2.84Home 33% · +0.1 ptsopened 2.813.22Draw 29% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 3.352.49Away 38% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 2.36
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.84 · +0.13.22 ▲ +1.52.49 ▼ -1.645m
bet3652.5 ▲ +5.33.6 ▼ -1.32.45 ▼ -4.045m
Betfair3.0 ▼ -4.53.1 ▲ +3.12.2 ▲ +1.445m
BetVictor3.13 ▼ -1.83.25 · +0.12.25 ▲ +1.745m
Coral2.75 · +0.23.6 · +0.12.4 · -0.345m
Ladbrokes2.7 · +0.63.6 · -0.02.4 · -0.645m
Unibet2.85 · +0.43.3 · -0.42.43 · +0.045m
WilliamHill3.0 ▼ -4.13.1 ▲ +1.22.25 ▲ +2.945m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 37% P 33%3.6Draw 26% P 29%2.45Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5HNK Rijeka or Draw 30%1.25HNK Rijeka or Midtjylland 36%1.36Draw or Midtjylland 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.7Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw29%28%28%-0.1
Away38%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Jasper Vergoote

Career
13 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.31 (3.15 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 7.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.61
Cards to home side
37%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.64.92-1.672
Fouls / match23.323.8-0.13
Fouls per card6.54.8+1.81 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.29+0.6465
Time added7.66.5+0.9684
First card
30' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-11 40 260 41'6
2026-01-29 10 300 50'6
2025-12-11 40 241 10'9
2025-10-23 20 240 35'11