Rating 6.59 · G+A 1 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Europa Conference League · Play-offs
Momentum
– QarabağFC Twente –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Qarabağ | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5 #74 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 61.0 #11 |
| 8.8 #67 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 23.5 #4 |
| 2.5 #94 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 9.0 #3 |
| 4.5 #78 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 8.2 #9 |
| 10.0 #122 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 13.2 #70 |
| 1.8 #62 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.2 #101 |
| 13.8 #22 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 16.2 #12 |
| 100.0 #95 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 132.8 #20 |
| 54.5 #93 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 75.5 #28 |
| 314.2 #29 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 568.2 #7 |
| 2.0 #64 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.2 #57 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | – |
| 1.0 #47 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #114 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #60 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #59 |
| – #91 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #63 |
| 0.7 #36 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 2.2 #12 |
| 0.3 #39 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 1.0 #14 |
| – #67 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #67 |
| 1.0 #80 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.2 #5 |
| 1.2 #96 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 #96 |
| 0.2 #52 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #9 |
| 6.8 #26 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 9.0 #15 |
| – #27 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #104 |
| 6.7 #27 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 7.1 #3 |
| 2.5 #67 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 8.0 #1 |
| 5.2 #33 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 14.8 #4 |
| 4.8 #63 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 6.5 #28 |
| 2.2 #39 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 8.8 #3 |
| – #19 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Qarabağ · Last 365 days
Rating 6.66 · G+A 2 + 1 (13% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.78 · G+A 2 + 1 (13% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.8 ppg with (10) · 0.43 without (7)
FC Twente · Last 365 days
Rating 7.31 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (12% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 7.08 (81th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (19% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Rating 7.21 (93th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Absences
FC Twente
- injury Issam El Maach goalkeeper · Muscle Injury · 196 missed
- injury Mees Hilgers defender · Hamstring Injury · 67 missed
- injury Sam Lammers attacker · Unknown Injury · 78 missed
- injury Stav Lemkin #15 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 6 missed
- suspension Gijs Besselink midfielder · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2026-08-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Play-offs
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)), Baku
- Capacity
- 31,200
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Qurban Qurbanov · John van den Brom
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Rohit Saggi
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 24.9° (feels 25.1°)
- Wind
- 11.3
- Humidity
- 65%
Where to watch · 15
Azerbaijan
CBC Sport
Israel
Sport 4
Kosovo
Arena Premium 4
Montenegro
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN · Watch ESPN
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
Portugal
Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen
Serbia
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Qarabağ
DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 1 · xG 0.46–1.3 · xPts 0.68
- W
A
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.46–1.3
UEFA ECL - W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
UEFA ECL - L
A
Dynamo Kyiv
0–1
UEFA ECL
- D
A
CSKA Sofia
0–0 lost on pens None–None
UEFA EL - D
H
CSKA Sofia
0–0
UEFA EL
WWDDLWW 4W 2D 1L · 14 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 1 · xG 0.46–1.3 · xPts 0.68
- W
A
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.46–1.3
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
UEFA ECL
- L
A
Dynamo Kyiv
0–1
UEFA ECL
- D
A
CSKA Sofia
0–0 lost on pens None–None
UEFA EL
- D
H
CSKA Sofia
0–0
UEFA EL
- W
A
Vestri
3–0
UEFA EL - W
H
Vestri
3–0
UEFA EL
FC Twente
WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 10.43–3.64 · xPts 11.16
- L
H
Qarabağ
0–1
xG 1.3–0.46
UEFA ECL - W
H
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.69–0.56
NLD E - D
A
Dunajská Streda
3–3
xG 2.0–1.56
UEFA ECL - L
A
SC Heerenveen
0–1
xG 2.01–0.58
NLD E - W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL
DWLLDWLDWL 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 22 GA 17 · xG 17.48–8.21 · xPts 15.91
- L
H
Qarabağ
0–1
xG 1.3–0.46
UEFA ECL
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.69–0.56
NLD E
- D
A
Dunajská Streda
3–3
xG 2.0–1.56
UEFA ECL
- L
A
SC Heerenveen
0–1
xG 2.01–0.58
NLD E
- W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Ferencvárosi
2–2
UEFA EL - L
H
Ferencvárosi
1–2
UEFA EL
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 1.64–2.35
NLD E - W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
xG 4.54–0.62
NLD E - D
A
AZ Alkmaar
2–2
xG 0.88–1.6
NLD E
All meetings · 6 matches since 2009
Goals 4–8 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 4–8 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 33%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- L Qarabağ 1–4 FC Twente aet UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- W FC Twente 0–1 Qarabağ UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
- D FC Twente 1–1 Qarabağ UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- D Qarabağ 0–0 FC Twente neutral UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
- D Qarabağ 0–0 FC Twente UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L FC Twente 3–1 Qarabağ neutral UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
| Metric | Qarabağ all · 4 | Qarabağ at home · 2 | FC Twente all · 4 | FC Twente away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Qarabağ · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.058
Early press (0-15, level)+0.218
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.065
When level+0.108
10 min after conceding-0.242
10 min after scoring+0.005
Situations
At home-0.044
Away+0.144
4+ days rest+0.058
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
As favourite+0.174
Evenly matched-0.172
As underdog+0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.078
Conceded when ahead-0.035
Conceded late (76+)-0.057
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.04
FC Twente · 12 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586
Game state
When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910
Situations
At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310
Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08
Qarabağ
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 0.51 | 2.19 |
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.54 | 1.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.43 | 0.49 |
| Metric | Qarabağ all · 10 | Qarabağ at home · 10 | FC Twente all · 10 | FC Twente away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.80 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% | 50% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 60% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.82 | 1.24 | 2.41 | 2.00 |
| xG against / match | 2.84 | 2.33 | 0.72 | 1.26 |
| xG difference | -2.01 | -1.09 | 1.70 | 0.74 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| xPts / match | 0.47 | 0.93 | 2.35 | 1.83 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.27 | 0.07 | -0.35 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 33% | 67% | 75% |
| Leads held | 80% | 50% | 75% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 33% | 36% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 49% | 50% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 17% | 14% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 28 | 36 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 24 | 26 | 49 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 44% | 65% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 53% | 70% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 51% | 61% | 56% |
| Shots | 11.2 | 11.4 | 22.4 | 18.3 |
| On target | 3.4 | 3.6 | 8.5 | 6.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 58% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 7.2 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| xG from set plays | 45% | 19% | 26% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 17% | 5% |
| Pressure index | 9.9 | 12.1 | 21.5 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.7 | 47.9 | 72.5 | 59.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 9.4 | 11.2 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Qarabağ
0–15'25
16–30'20
31–45'13
46–60'61
61–75'11
76–90'12
FC Twente
0–15'40
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'54
61–75'51
76–90'52
Qarabağ
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0.53 | 2.92 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.69 | 2.57 |
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.13 | 2.38 | 1.13 | 2.55 | 0.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.43 | 0.49 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
| Metric | Qarabağ all · 17 | Qarabağ at home · 9 | FC Twente all · 41 | FC Twente away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 17 | 9 | 41 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.56 | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 8 | 4 / 2 / 3 | 20 / 15 / 6 | 7 / 11 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 2.15 |
| Goals against / match | 1.94 | 2.00 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 44% | 27% | 5% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 11% | 12% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 56% | 66% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 67% | 56% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.00 | 1.24 | 2.20 | 2.09 |
| xG against / match | 2.64 | 2.25 | 1.05 | 1.32 |
| xG difference | -1.63 | -1.01 | 1.16 | 0.76 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.36 | 0.59 | -0.15 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 0.73 | 0.99 | 2.02 | 1.85 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.18 | 0.18 | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 67% | 58% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.21 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.17 | 0.50 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 40% | 68% | 82% |
| Leads held | 60% | 57% | 67% | 47% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 36% | 34% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 48% | 51% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 17% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 28 | 38 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 29 | 44 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 50% | 63% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 64% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.65 |
| Late goals against | 0.59 | 0.89 | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 11.6 | 19.1 | 18.0 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 17% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 66% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 19% | 24% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 15% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 13.2 | 19.4 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.8 | 50.6 | 62.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 7.8 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 1.47 | 1.67 | 1.39 | 1.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Qarabağ
0–15'57
16–30'42
31–45'25
46–60'74
61–75'15
76–90'48
FC Twente
0–15'84
16–30'127
31–45'106
46–60'2213
61–75'128
76–90'179
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Qarabağ · 17 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0417
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4317
Late push (76+, level)-0.466
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.186
Game state
When ahead-0.0710
When level+0.1817
When behind-0.119
10 min after conceding-0.1210
10 min after scoring+0.0611
Situations
At home+0.049
Away+0.038
4+ days rest+0.0417
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.016
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.174
Evenly matched+0.203
As underdog-0.0710
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1017
Conceded when ahead+0.0510
Conceded late (76+)+0.0714
Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.29
FC Twente · 41 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4441
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3641
Late push (76+, level)+0.3219
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4612
Game state
When ahead+0.4829
When level+0.4541
When behind+0.3219
10 min after conceding-0.0329
10 min after scoring+0.6236
Situations
With ten men+0.312
Against ten men-0.073
At home+0.5821
Away+0.2820
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.4036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.537
v mid-tier opponents+0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.6113
As favourite+0.4929
Evenly matched+0.1811
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2241
Conceded when ahead-0.2429
Conceded late (76+)-0.3234
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.13
Qarabağ
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 94% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.88 | 0.93 | 2.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 6% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.69 | 2.57 |
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 71% | 1.79 | 1.97 | 1.21 | 2.33 | 1.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 24% | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.12 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
| 4-2-1-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 98 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.9 pts at 1.0h
3.09Home 30% · -0.7 ptsopened 2.983.89Draw 24% · +0.0 ptsopened 3.842.07Away 45% · +0.6 ptsopened 2.07
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.09 · -0.7 | 3.89 · +0.0 | 2.07 · +0.6 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 3.0 ▲ +3.4 | 3.7 · -0.8 | 2.0 ▼ -2.6 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 3.0 ▲ +2.7 | 3.5 · +0.7 | 2.05 ▼ -3.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 3.13 ▲ +2.9 | 3.6 · +0.5 | 2.1 ▼ -3.4 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 3.3 · +0.0 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 3.3 · +0.0 | 3.75 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 2.95 ▲ +2.7 | 3.75 · -0.8 | 2.17 ▼ -1.9 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 3.0 · +0.8 | 3.5 · +0.6 | 2.05 ▼ -1.4 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes -4.5 pts at 2.3d
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +3.0 ptsopened 1.612.37No 39% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +3.0 | 2.37 ▼ -3.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.45 ▲ +4.8 | 2.55 ▼ -4.8 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +2.6 | 2.4 ▼ -2.6 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.52 · +0.7 | 2.32 · -0.7 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +2.1 | 2.3 ▼ -2.1 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 98 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over -4.9 pts at 2.6d
1.64Over 58% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.722.27Under 42% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 2.08
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64 ▲ +3.3 | 2.27 ▼ -3.3 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +1.9 | 2.25 ▼ -1.9 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +2.9 | 2.25 ▼ -2.9 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.59 ▲ +2.6 | 2.16 ▼ -2.6 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.58 ▲ +1.7 | 2.2 ▼ -1.7 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.0Home 30% P 30%3.7Draw 24% P 24%2.0Away 45% P 45%
Double Chance
1.66FK Qarabag or Draw 27%1.22FK Qarabag or FC Twente 37%1.28Draw or FC Twente 35%
Draw No Bet
2.371 39%1.532 61%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.25Under 42% P 42%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–40% · away 40–50% · 1,015 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30% | 32% | 30% | -1.3 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 25% | -1.4 |
| Away | 45% | 42% | 44% | +2.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Rohit Saggi
- Career
- 33 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.67 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.7 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 40%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 11 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.18 | 4.92 | +0.16 | 65 |
| Fouls / match | 25.9 | 23.8 | +0.91 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 4.8 | +0.18 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.27 | 0.29 | -0.19 | 39 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 6.5 | +0.31 | 67 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 54% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 7 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 59' | 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 24' | 3 |
| 2026-03-12 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 36' | 9 |
| 2026-02-19 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 10' | 8 |
| 2026-01-29 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 35' | 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 64' | 6 |
| 2025-10-23 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 88' | 6 |
| 2025-08-28 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 19' | 9 |