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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 7–3 · Monaco went through · After Full Time

Momentum

MonacoGZA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Filipe Luís · Michal Gašparík
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Vasilis Fotias

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
28.4° (feels 33.6°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 13

  • Andorra DAZN
  • England Ligue 1+
  • France DAZN · Ligue 1+
  • Monaco DAZN
  • Northern Ireland Ligue 1+
  • Norway VG+ · VGTV
  • Poland Polsat Sport 2 · Polsat Sport Premium 2
  • Republic of Ireland Ligue 1+
  • Scotland Ligue 1+
  • Wales Ligue 1+

No table for this competition stage.

Monaco

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 6.6–5.78 · xPts 7.34

  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.47–0.97 FRA L1
  • W A Górnik Zabrze 3–2 xG 1.75–1.34 UEFA ECL
  • L A Strasbourg 4–5 xG 1.57–1.77 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.47–0.47 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 2–1 xG 1.34–1.22 FRA L1

Górnik Zabrze

LDDL 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.25–7.36 · xPts 3.68

  • L H Monaco 2–3 xG 1.34–1.75 UEFA ECL
  • D H Ferencvárosi 1–1 xG 2.17–1.17 UEFA EL
  • D H Fenerbahçe 1–1 xG 0.65–2.8 UEFA CL
  • L A Fenerbahçe 0–1 xG 0.09–1.63 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Monaco 20 draws0 Górnik Zabrze

Goals 7–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Monaco 20 draws0 Górnik Zabrze

Goals 7–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Monaco 20 draws0 Górnik Zabrze

Goals 7–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Monaco 4–1 Górnik Zabrze UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Górnik Zabrze 2–3 Monaco UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricMonaco all · 2Monaco at home · 1Górnik Zabrze all · 2Górnik Zabrze away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.037
Early press (0-15, level)+0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.162

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.037
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.267

Situations

At home-0.113
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.223
As favourite-0.044
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.106

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.09

Górnik Zabrze · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.045
Early press (0-15, level)-0.285
Late push (76+, level)-0.272
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.132

Game state

When level+0.055
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.225
10 min after scoring+0.543

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.402
4+ days rest+0.045

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.084
As underdog-0.084

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level +0.34 · Behind vs level -0.08

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 50%3.04.01.01.860.97
4-4-21 50%3.03.02.01.751.34

Górnik Zabrze

Current: winless 5 · scoring 4 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 100%0.01.53.51.151.81

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.0 pts at 4.2d

1.39Home 68% ▲ +3.7 ptsopened 1.425.07Draw 19% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 4.486.86Away 14% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 5.82
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.39 ▲ +3.75.07 ▼ -1.76.86 ▼ -1.945m
bet3651.22 ▲ +7.45.75 ▼ -4.59.0 ▼ -2.945m
Betfair1.3 ▼ -1.44.75 · +0.77.0 · +0.745m
BetVictor1.3 ▲ +2.65.25 ▼ -1.48.5 ▼ -1.345m
Coral1.36 ▲ +1.95.25 · -0.97.5 · -0.945m
Unibet1.3 ▲ +2.75.1 ▼ -1.78.0 ▼ -1.045m
WilliamHill1.35 · +0.74.6 · +0.17.5 · -0.845m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 74% P 68%5.75Draw 16% P 19%9.0Away 10% P 14%

Double Chance

1.08Monaco or Draw 44%1.14Monaco or Gornik Zabrze 42%3.25Draw or Gornik Zabrze 15%

Draw No Bet

1.111 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%68%68%-0.1
Draw19%18%18%-0.3
Away14%13%14%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Vasilis Fotias

Career
20 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.584.92-1.690
Fouls / match23.223.8-0.18
Fouls per card6.24.8+1.53 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.29+0.2057
Time added6.96.5+0.2161
First card
30' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-13 40 311 46'6
2026-03-12 50 310 29'7
2026-02-26 20 210 29'5
2026-01-22 41 190 27'7
2025-12-11 50 320 27'5
2025-10-23 30 200 36'6
2025-09-25 50 220 16'5