Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | at home | Stat | league | away | Lugano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.0 #19 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 57.7 #24 |
| 15.5 #19 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 17.5 #14 |
| 4.0 #53 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 6.0 #16 |
| 5.0 #60 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.7 #45 |
| 13.5 #60 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 15.0 #38 |
| 0.5 #126 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #44 |
| 10.5 #32 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 14.3 #18 |
| 120.0 #40 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 111.7 #63 |
| 59.0 #77 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 70.0 #43 |
| 547.5 #10 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 515.7 #13 |
| 0.5 #147 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.0 #132 |
| 0.5 #90 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.7 #20 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #52 |
| – #80 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #49 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #50 |
| 2.1 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 2.4 #9 |
| -1.1 #61 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | -0.2 #51 |
| – #97 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #97 |
| 1.0 #80 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 #22 |
| 1.5 #59 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 #126 |
| 6.5 #28 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 7.5 #20 |
| – #27 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #130 |
| 0.5 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #34 |
| 6.8 #19 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 7.0 #6 |
| 5.5 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 3.5 #29 |
| 10.0 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 12.5 #8 |
| 6.0 #39 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 8.0 #15 |
| 5.5 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 5.0 #21 |
| – #92 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Maccabi Tel Aviv · Last 365 days
Lugano · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Absences
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- injury Denny Gropper defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 35 missed · until 2026-11-01
- injury Ion Nicolaescu attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 32 missed · until 2026-11-01
- injury Kervin Andrade #15 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 154 missed
- injury Kristijan Belic #13 key player midfielder · Metatarsal Fracture · 8 missed · until 2026-11-23
- injury Ori Azo attacker · Back Injury · 79 missed
- injury Sagiv Jehezkel #12 key player attacker · Groin Injury · 1 missed
Lugano
- injury Claudio Cassano midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 33 missed
- injury Ezgjan Alioski defender · Unknown Injury · 6 missed
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Play-offs
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Batumi Stadium (Adjarabet Arena) · neutral
- Capacity
- 20,000
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Kenny Miller · Mattia Croci-Torti
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Jérémie Pignard
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.0° (feels 23.6°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 88%
Where to watch · 2
Israel
Sport 2
Switzerland
SRF Play
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Maccabi Tel Aviv
WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 1.57–2.07 · xPts 1.09
- L
A
Lugano
1–2
xG 1.57–2.07
UEFA ECL - W
A
CSKA Sofia
3–1
UEFA EL - L
H
CSKA Sofia
0–3
UEFA EL - W
H
Sheriff
1–0
UEFA EL - W
A
Sheriff
5–0
UEFA EL
WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 1.57–2.07 · xPts 1.09
- L
A
Lugano
1–2
xG 1.57–2.07
UEFA ECL - W
A
CSKA Sofia
3–1
UEFA EL - L
H
CSKA Sofia
0–3
UEFA EL - W
H
Sheriff
1–0
UEFA EL - W
A
Sheriff
5–0
UEFA EL
Lugano
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 13.6–5.32 · xPts 11.42
- W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2–1
xG 2.07–1.57
UEFA ECL - D
A
NSÍ
2–2
xG 2.48–1.18
UEFA ECL - W
H
NSÍ
2–0
xG 3.05–0.68
UEFA ECL - W
A
Dukagjini
5–1
xG 3.46–1.1
UEFA ECL - W
H
Dukagjini
1–0
xG 2.54–0.79
UEFA ECL
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 13.6–5.32 · xPts 11.42
- W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2–1
xG 2.07–1.57
UEFA ECL - D
A
NSÍ
2–2
xG 2.48–1.18
UEFA ECL - W
H
NSÍ
2–0
xG 3.05–0.68
UEFA ECL - W
A
Dukagjini
5–1
xG 3.46–1.1
UEFA ECL - W
H
Dukagjini
1–0
xG 2.54–0.79
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%
Recent meetings
- D Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Lugano neutral UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
| Metric | Maccabi Tel Aviv all · 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv at home · 1 | Lugano all · 6 | Lugano away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.33 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 4 / 2 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 2.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 0.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 2.38 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.31 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 1.07 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.21 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.97 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.37 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 52% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 11% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 36 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 39 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 17.5 | – |
| On target | – | – | 6.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 12% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 3.3 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 5.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 31% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 22.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 61.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 88% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 15.0 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 1.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lugano
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Maccabi Tel Aviv · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.15
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.20
Lugano · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.05 | 1.38 |
Lugano
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 2.54 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.1 |
| Metric | Maccabi Tel Aviv all · 10 | Maccabi Tel Aviv at home · 10 | Lugano all · 10 | Lugano away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.02 | 1.02 | 2.18 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 2.51 | 1.94 | 1.50 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | -1.49 | -0.92 | 0.69 | 0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.52 | -0.62 | -0.48 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 0.75 | 1.01 | 1.78 | 1.55 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.58 | -0.81 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 50% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 60% | 50% |
| Leads held | 75% | 60% | 100% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 20% | 32% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 37% | 53% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 39% | 43% | 15% | 37% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 32 | 33 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 33 | 44 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 44% | 59% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 46% | 58% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 52% | 59% | 56% |
| Shots | 10.6 | 10.9 | 17.1 | 14.0 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 8% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 57% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 27% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 9.2 | 10.2 | 38.0 | 31.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 40.6 | 45.8 | 64.3 | 61.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 13.6 | 14.2 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 2.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.05 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 2.73 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.51 | 4.32 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.76 | 2.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Lugano
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.43 | 2.59 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 2.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.64 | 0.85 |
| Metric | Maccabi Tel Aviv all · 14 | Maccabi Tel Aviv at home · 7 | Lugano all · 6 | Lugano away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 14 | 7 | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.79 | 0.57 | 2.33 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 9 | 1 / 1 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.93 | 0.43 | 2.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.07 | 2.71 | 0.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 14% | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | 57% | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 29% | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 71% | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.95 | 1.02 | 2.38 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.10 | 1.94 | 1.31 | – |
| xG difference | -1.15 | -0.92 | 1.07 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.55 | -0.62 | -0.21 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.82 | 1.01 | 1.97 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.62 | -0.81 | 0.37 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 43% | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 60% | 33% | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 12% | 52% | – |
| Minutes level | 41% | 34% | 37% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 41% | 54% | 11% | – |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 37 | 36 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 31 | 39 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 33% | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 53% | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 58% | – |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.3 | 17.5 | – |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.0 | 6.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 4% | 12% | – |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 57% | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | – |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 36% | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 31% | – |
| Pressure index | 7.6 | 8.8 | 22.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 36.0 | 39.1 | 61.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 82% | 88% | – |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 12.6 | 15.0 | – |
| Cards | 1.93 | 1.86 | 1.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Lugano
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Maccabi Tel Aviv · 14 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.46
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level -0.08
Lugano · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 36% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 29% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.05 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 2.73 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.76 | 2.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 7% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Lugano
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 2.54 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.1 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.9d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.3 pts at 2.0h
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.39 ▼ -1.7 | 3.74 ▼ -1.4 | 2.64 ▲ +3.1 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 2.4 ▼ -2.2 | 3.4 · -0.6 | 2.6 ▲ +2.8 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 2.4 ▲ +1.8 | 3.5 ▼ -1.4 | 2.5 · -0.4 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.45 · -0.4 | 3.5 ▼ -1.1 | 2.63 ▲ +1.5 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 2.45 ▲ +3.2 | 3.6 ▼ -1.0 | 2.7 ▼ -2.1 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.45 ▲ +2.9 | 3.5 · -0.5 | 2.7 ▼ -2.4 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 2.38 ▼ -1.1 | 3.45 · -0.2 | 2.8 ▲ +1.4 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▲ +2.1 | 3.4 ▼ -1.9 | 2.62 · -0.3 | 1.0h |
WilliamHill (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.9d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes -6.2 pts at 3.8d
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| WilliamHill | 1.57 ▲ +3.7 | 2.3 ▼ -3.7 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +3.1 | 2.25 ▼ -3.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +3.9 | 2.4 ▼ -3.9 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.53 ▲ +3.0 | 2.3 ▼ -3.0 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.58 ▲ +2.5 | 2.18 ▼ -2.5 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 3.9d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over -5.0 pts at 3.8d
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69 ▲ +4.0 | 2.17 ▼ -4.0 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +3.8 | 2.15 ▼ -3.8 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +4.5 | 2.1 ▼ -4.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.66 ▲ +3.4 | 2.05 ▼ -3.4 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.71 ▲ +3.0 | 1.98 ▼ -3.0 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 39% | 38% | 42% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 20% | -5.4 |
| Away | 36% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Jérémie Pignard
- Career
- 139 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.4
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 13 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.69 | 4.92 | -0.41 | 29 |
| Fouls / match | 18.6 | 23.8 | -2.01 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.0 | 4.8 | -0.96 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.29 | +0.04 | 55 |
| Time added | 5.6 | 6.5 | -1.19 | 12 |
- First card
- 26' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 39% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 20' | 8 |
| 2026-08-12 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 57' | 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 35' | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 17' | 6 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 17' | 9 |
| 2026-03-14 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 36' | 5 |
| 2026-03-07 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 11' | 9 |
| 2026-02-22 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 14' | 8 |
| 2026-02-07 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2026-01-31 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 43' | 8 |
