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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 2–3 · Lugano went through · After Full Time

Momentum

MTALugano
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Batumi Stadium (Adjarabet Arena) · neutral
Capacity
20,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Kenny Miller · Mattia Croci-Torti
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
23.0° (feels 23.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 2

  • Israel Sport 2
  • Switzerland SRF Play

No table for this competition stage.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 1.57–2.07 · xPts 1.09

  • L A Lugano 1–2 xG 1.57–2.07 UEFA ECL
  • W A CSKA Sofia 3–1 UEFA EL
  • L H CSKA Sofia 0–3 UEFA EL
  • W H Sheriff 1–0 UEFA EL
  • W A Sheriff 5–0 UEFA EL

Lugano

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 13.6–5.32 · xPts 11.42

  • W H Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1 xG 2.07–1.57 UEFA ECL
  • D A NSÍ 2–2 xG 2.48–1.18 UEFA ECL
  • W H NSÍ 2–0 xG 3.05–0.68 UEFA ECL
  • W A Dukagjini 5–1 xG 3.46–1.1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Dukagjini 1–0 xG 2.54–0.79 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Maccabi Tel Aviv 01 draws1 Lugano

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv 01 draws1 Lugano

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv 01 draws1 Lugano

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Lugano neutral UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricMaccabi Tel Aviv all · 2Maccabi Tel Aviv at home · 1Lugano all · 6Lugano away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.33
W / D / L4 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match2.17
Goals against / match0.83
Clean sheets33%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored67%
Over 2.550%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.38
xG against / match1.31
xG difference1.07
Finishing vs xG-0.21
xPts / match1.97
Points vs xPts0.37
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first1.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading52%
Minutes level37%
Minutes trailing11%
First goal (min)36
First goal conceded (min)39
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.50
Late goals against0.00
Style
Possession58%
Shots17.5
On target6.0
Shot conversion12%
Shots inside box71%
Big chances created3.3
Corners5.7
xG from set plays21%
Goals from headers31%
Pressure index22.0
Dominant minutes61.3
Pass accuracy88%
Fouls15.0
Cards1.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lugano

0–15'31
16–30'11
31–45'20
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'30

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Maccabi Tel Aviv · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.156
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.032

Game state

When ahead-0.044
When level-0.026
When behind+0.192
10 min after conceding+0.024
10 min after scoring+0.145

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.073
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

As favourite-0.013
Evenly matched+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.274
Conceded late (76+)-0.355

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.20

Lugano · 6 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.486
Late push (76+, level)+0.282
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.022

Game state

When ahead+0.674
When level+0.426
When behind+0.842
10 min after conceding+0.064
10 min after scoring+0.716

Situations

At home+0.663
Away+0.503
4+ days rest+0.596

Opposition

As favourite+0.755

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.216
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.235

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 100%0.51.01.52.051.38

Lugano

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 33%3.01.50.52.311.18
3-4-1-22 33%2.02.01.02.770.93
3-5-21 17%1.01.01.00.692.54
3-1-4-21 17%3.05.01.03.461.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.9d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.3 pts at 2.0h

2.39Home 39% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 2.263.74Draw 25% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 3.52.64Away 36% ▲ +3.1 ptsopened 2.85
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.39 ▼ -1.73.74 ▼ -1.42.64 ▲ +3.11.0h
bet3652.4 ▼ -2.23.4 · -0.62.6 ▲ +2.81.0h
Betfair2.4 ▲ +1.83.5 ▼ -1.42.5 · -0.41.0h
BetVictor2.45 · -0.43.5 ▼ -1.12.63 ▲ +1.51.0h
Coral2.45 ▲ +3.23.6 ▼ -1.02.7 ▼ -2.11.0h
Ladbrokes2.45 ▲ +2.93.5 · -0.52.7 ▼ -2.41.0h
Unibet2.38 ▼ -1.13.45 · -0.22.8 ▲ +1.41.0h
WilliamHill2.3 ▲ +2.13.4 ▼ -1.92.62 · -0.31.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 38% P 39%3.4Draw 27% P 25%2.6Away 35% P 36%

Double Chance

1.4Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw 32%1.25Maccabi Tel Aviv or Lugano 36%1.44Draw or Lugano 31%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.15Under 44% P 44%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%38%42%+3.4
Draw25%26%20%-5.4
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.694.92-0.4129
Fouls / match18.623.8-2.01
Fouls per card4.04.8-0.96 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.29+0.0455
Time added5.66.5-1.1912
First card
26' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
39% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-23 50 250 20'8
2026-08-12 30 281 57'4
2026-05-17 30 260 35'6
2026-05-02 40 230 17'6
2026-04-17 21 240 17'9
2026-03-14 30 170 36'5
2026-03-07 30 210 11'9
2026-02-22 70 301 14'8
2026-02-07 61 300 32'8
2026-01-31 50 272 43'8