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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 3–2 · Lugano went through · After Full Time

Momentum

LuganoMTA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
Capacity
6,390
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,435

Teams

Coaches
Mattia Croci-Torti · Kenny Miller
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Miloš Milanović

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
18.3° (feels 18.6°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 9

  • Honduras TVC Deportes
  • International OneFootball
  • Israel Sport 1
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Switzerland Blue Sport · RSI La 2 · RTS Sport · SRF Play · Sunrise TV

No table for this competition stage.

Lugano

WWWD 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 11.53–3.75 · xPts 9.73

  • D A NSÍ 2–2 xG 2.48–1.18 UEFA ECL
  • W H NSÍ 2–0 xG 3.05–0.68 UEFA ECL
  • W A Dukagjini 5–1 xG 3.46–1.1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Dukagjini 1–0 xG 2.54–0.79 UEFA ECL

Maccabi Tel Aviv

WWLW 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4

  • W A CSKA Sofia 3–1 UEFA EL
  • L H CSKA Sofia 0–3 UEFA EL
  • W H Sheriff 1–0 UEFA EL
  • W A Sheriff 5–0 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Lugano 11 draws0 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Lugano 11 draws0 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Lugano 11 draws0 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Lugano neutral UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricLugano all · 6Lugano at home · 3Maccabi Tel Aviv all · 2Maccabi Tel Aviv away · 1
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.33
W / D / L4 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match2.17
Goals against / match0.83
Clean sheets33%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored67%
Over 2.550%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.38
xG against / match1.31
xG difference1.07
Finishing vs xG-0.21
xPts / match1.97
Points vs xPts0.37
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first1.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading52%
Minutes level37%
Minutes trailing11%
First goal (min)36
First goal conceded (min)39
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.50
Late goals against0.00
Style
Possession58%
Shots17.5
On target6.0
Shot conversion12%
Shots inside box71%
Big chances created3.3
Corners5.7
xG from set plays21%
Goals from headers31%
Pressure index22.0
Dominant minutes61.3
Pass accuracy88%
Fouls15.0
Cards1.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lugano

0–15'31
16–30'11
31–45'20
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'30

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lugano · 6 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.486
Late push (76+, level)+0.282
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.022

Game state

When ahead+0.674
When level+0.426
When behind+0.842
10 min after conceding+0.064
10 min after scoring+0.716

Situations

At home+0.663
Away+0.503
4+ days rest+0.596

Opposition

As favourite+0.755

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.216
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.235

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42

Maccabi Tel Aviv · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.156
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.032

Game state

When ahead-0.044
When level-0.026
When behind+0.192
10 min after conceding+0.024
10 min after scoring+0.145

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.073
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

As favourite-0.013
Evenly matched+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.274
Conceded late (76+)-0.355

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.20

Lugano

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 33%3.01.50.52.311.18
3-4-1-22 33%2.02.01.02.770.93
3-5-21 17%1.01.01.00.692.54
3-1-4-21 17%3.05.01.03.461.1

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 100%0.51.01.52.051.38

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.7h before kick-off · 6 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +5.0 pts at 30m

1.79Home 52% ▲ +6.0 ptsopened 2.03.98Draw 24% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 3.613.91Away 24% ▼ -3.9 ptsopened 3.32
1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.79 ▲ +6.03.98 ▼ -2.13.91 ▼ -3.930m
bet3651.75 ▲ +4.03.7 ▼ -1.54.0 ▼ -2.630m
Betfair1.73 ▲ +4.93.7 ▼ -2.23.9 ▼ -2.730m
BetVictor1.8 ▲ +3.93.6 · -0.84.1 ▼ -3.230m
Coral1.8 ▲ +4.43.8 ▼ -1.94.2 ▼ -2.530m
Ladbrokes1.8 ▲ +4.43.75 ▼ -1.64.2 ▼ -2.830m
Unibet1.78 ▲ +5.13.5 · -0.33.95 ▼ -4.830m
WilliamHill1.91 · +0.03.4 · +0.03.5 · +0.030m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 52% P 52%3.7Draw 25% P 24%4.0Away 23% P 24%

Double Chance

1.28Lugano or Draw 37%1.28Lugano or Maccabi Tel Aviv 37%1.83Draw or Maccabi Tel Aviv 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 53%1.95Under 49% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%53%+2.3
Draw24%25%23%-2.6
Away24%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Miloš Milanović

Career
14 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.36 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.89 cards, 25.9 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 60 230 43'6
2025-10-02 20 171 49'11