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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 6–1 · FC Midtjylland went through · After Full Time

Momentum

FCMRijeka
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
MCH Arena, Herning
Capacity
12,152
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Mike Tullberg · Matjaž Kek
Position
2 · 1
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Balazs Berke

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
16.0° (feels 15.8°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 5

  • Brazil Canal Gol Brasil
  • Croatia Max Sport 1 · MAX To Go
  • Denmark Disney+ Nord
  • Sweden Disney+ Nord

No table for this competition stage.

FC Midtjylland

LLWW 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 3.59–1.61 · xPts 3.8

  • W H Bohemians 3–2 xG 2.87–0.94 UEFA ECL
  • W A Bohemians 2–0 xG 0.73–0.67 UEFA ECL
  • L H Beşiktaş 0–2 UEFA EL
  • L A Beşiktaş 0–1 UEFA EL

Rijeka

WWWD 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 1

  • D A Ilves 1–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Ilves 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W A Derry City 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Derry City 1–0 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

FC Midtjylland 20 draws0 Rijeka

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

FC Midtjylland 20 draws0 Rijeka

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

FC Midtjylland 20 draws0 Rijeka

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Rijeka 1–4 FC Midtjylland UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W FC Midtjylland 2–0 Rijeka UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricFC Midtjylland all · 4FC Midtjylland at home · 2Rijeka all · 6Rijeka away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game1.67
W / D / L3 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.83
Goals against / match1.17
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score17%
Both teams scored33%
Over 2.517%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.84
xG against / match1.94
xG difference-1.10
Finishing vs xG-0.34
xPts / match0.66
Points vs xPts-0.66
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first2.25
PPG when conceding first0.50
Came back from behind33%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading37%
Minutes level42%
Minutes trailing21%
First goal (min)31
First goal conceded (min)34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.00
Late goals against0.17
Style
Possession56%
Shots13.2
On target5.2
Shot conversion8%
Shots inside box72%
Big chances created1.0
Corners6.0
xG from set plays11%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index10.6
Dominant minutes48.5
Pass accuracy72%
Fouls12.2
Cards2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rijeka

0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'13
61–75'11
76–90'01

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Midtjylland · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.216
Early press (0-15, level)+0.506
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.334
When level+0.206
When behind-0.043
10 min after conceding-0.274
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

With ten men-0.122
At home+0.273
Away+0.153
4+ days rest+0.216

Opposition

As favourite+0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.236
Conceded when ahead-0.314
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level -0.24

Rijeka · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.372

Game state

When ahead-0.104
When level+0.176
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.185

Situations

At home+0.113
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

As favourite+0.104

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead-0.234
Conceded late (76+)-0.236

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level -0.41

FC Midtjylland

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-21 25%3.02.00.01.350.39
4-3-31 25%3.02.00.00.730.67
3-1-4-21 25%3.03.02.02.870.94
4-5-11 25%3.04.01.02.531.29

Rijeka

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%1.40.81.40.841.94
4-3-31 17%3.01.00.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.2h before kick-off · 4 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off

1.46Home 64% · +0.2 ptsopened 1.464.43Draw 21% · -0.0 ptsopened 4.416.57Away 14% · -0.1 ptsopened 6.49
1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.46 · +0.24.43 · -0.06.57 · -0.11.0h
bet3651.45 · +0.34.1 · -0.46.25 · +0.11.0h
Betfair1.4 · +0.04.0 · +0.06.5 · +0.01.0h
BetVictor1.44 · +0.54.2 · -0.57.0 · +0.01.0h
Coral1.5 · +0.04.33 · +0.06.5 · +0.01.0h
Ladbrokes1.48 · +0.34.2 · -0.26.5 · -0.11.0h
Unibet1.46 · +0.04.2 · +0.06.25 · +0.01.0h
WilliamHill1.44 · +0.04.0 · +0.06.0 · +0.01.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 63% P 64%4.1Draw 22% P 21%6.25Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.08Midtjylland or Draw 42%1.16Midtjylland or HNK Rijeka 39%2.4Draw or HNK Rijeka 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 80%4.52 20%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw21%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Balazs Berke

Career
19 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.11 (3.74 yellow · 0.26 red)
Fouls / match
21.4 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.16
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.13 cards, 24.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 50 232 53'8
2025-11-06 30 200 90'6