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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 3–4 · Brann went through · After Full Time

Momentum

PAOKBrann
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
Capacity
28,703
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Alessio Lisci · Eirik Horneland
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Daniel Siebert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.9° (feels 25.1°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 6

  • Brazil Canal Gol Brasil
  • Cyprus Open TV
  • Greece Open TV
  • Israel 5 Live
  • Norway VG+ · VGTV

No table for this competition stage.

PAOK

WWLL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 4.14–2.69 · xPts 3.71

  • L A Anderlecht 2–3 xG 2.09–1.95 UEFA EL
  • L H Anderlecht 0–1 xG 2.05–0.74 UEFA EL
  • W H Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 UEFA EL
  • W A Dynamo Kyiv 3–2 UEFA EL

Brann

DWW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5

  • W A Apollon 4–2 aet UEFA ECL
  • W H Universitatea Cluj 3–1 UEFA ECL
  • D A Universitatea Cluj 2–2 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

PAOK 02 draws1 Brann

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

PAOK 02 draws1 Brann

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

PAOK 02 draws1 Brann

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Brann 3–2 PAOK UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • D PAOK 1–1 Brann UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • D PAOK 1–1 Brann UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricPAOK all · 2PAOK at home · 1Brann all · 5Brann away · 3
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.20
W / D / L3 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match2.60
Goals against / match1.60
Clean sheets0%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored100%
Over 2.580%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.19
xG against / match2.05
xG difference-0.86
Finishing vs xG-0.19
xPts / match0.86
Points vs xPts0.14
Game state
Scored first100%
PPG when scoring first2.20
Leads held60%
Minutes leading53%
Minutes level47%
Minutes trailing0%
First goal (min)33
First goal conceded (min)68
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half86%
Late goals for (76'+)0.80
Late goals against1.00
Style
Possession67%
Shots9.3
On target5.4
Shot conversion46%
Shots inside box67%
Big chances created2.0
Corners5.4
xG from set plays0%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index10.6
Dominant minutes54.2
Pass accuracy84%
Fouls12.8
Cards2.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brann

0–15'10
16–30'11
31–45'30
46–60'30
61–75'12
76–90'24

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PAOK · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: when behind +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)-0.126
Late push (76+, level)+0.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.424

Game state

When ahead-0.382
When level+0.156
When behind+0.445
10 min after conceding-0.035
10 min after scoring+0.105

Situations

At home+0.303
Away+0.033
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

As favourite+0.303
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.012
Conceded late (76+)-0.426

Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level +0.29

Brann · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.045
Early press (0-15, level)+0.135
Late push (76+, level)-0.494

Game state

When ahead-0.015
When level-0.075
10 min after conceding-0.415
10 min after scoring+0.285

Situations

At home-0.032
Away-0.053
4+ days rest-0.045

Opposition

As favourite+0.122
Evenly matched-0.092

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.045
Conceded when ahead-0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.195

Ahead vs level +0.06

PAOK

Current: winless 4 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%0.51.52.02.051.19

Brann

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 100%2.22.61.61.192.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.0h before kick-off · 5 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 45m

1.52Home 62% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 1.583.96Draw 24% · -0.8 ptsopened 3.836.46Away 15% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 5.89
1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.52 ▲ +2.33.96 · -0.86.46 ▼ -1.445m
bet3651.5 · +0.83.9 · -0.16.25 · -0.745m
Betfair1.5 ▲ +2.13.9 · -0.96.0 ▼ -1.245m
BetVictor1.5 ▲ +2.34.0 · -0.56.5 ▼ -1.845m
Ladbrokes1.57 · +0.04.0 · +0.05.75 · +0.045m
Unibet1.49 ▲ +4.63.95 ▼ -1.25.75 ▼ -3.445m
WilliamHill1.5 ▲ +4.83.8 ▼ -1.96.0 ▼ -2.945m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 62% P 62%3.9Draw 24% P 24%6.25Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.12PAOK Salonika or Draw 42%1.25PAOK Salonika or SK Brann 37%2.25Draw or SK Brann 21%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 50%1.95Under 49% P 50%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw24%24%24%-0.3
Away15%14%14%-0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Daniel Siebert

Career
74 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.5 cards, 19.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-11 70 240 7'10
2026-05-30 60 281 46'12
2026-05-16 50 151 18'8
2026-05-05 30 230 81'6
2026-05-02 20 150 14'8
2026-04-18 50 252 31'12
2026-04-07 10 210 31'3
2026-04-04 60 220 25'11
2026-03-18 70 241 28'9
2026-03-07 21 220 45'12