Rating 7.31 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (12% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Europa Conference League · Play-offs
Momentum
– FC TwenteQarabağ –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FC Twente | at home | Stat | league | away | Qarabağ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.0 #11 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 49.5 #74 |
| 23.5 #4 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 8.8 #67 |
| 9.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 2.5 #94 |
| 8.2 #9 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #78 |
| 13.2 #70 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 10.0 #122 |
| 1.2 #101 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #62 |
| 16.2 #12 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 13.8 #22 |
| 132.8 #20 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 100.0 #95 |
| 75.5 #28 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 54.5 #93 |
| 568.2 #7 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 314.2 #29 |
| 2.2 #57 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.0 #64 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #47 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #114 |
| – #59 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #11 |
| – #63 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #91 |
| 2.2 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 0.7 #36 |
| 1.0 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 0.3 #39 |
| – #67 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #67 |
| 3.2 #5 | 3.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 #80 |
| 1.2 #96 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 #96 |
| 0.5 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #52 |
| 9.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 6.8 #26 |
| – #104 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| 7.1 #3 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.7 #27 |
| 8.0 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 2.5 #67 |
| 14.8 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 5.2 #33 |
| 6.5 #28 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 4.8 #63 |
| 8.8 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 2.2 #39 |
| – #19 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Twente · Last 365 days
Rating 7.08 (81th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (19% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Rating 7.21 (94th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Qarabağ · Last 365 days
Rating 6.59 · G+A 1 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Rating 6.66 · G+A 2 + 1 (13% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.78 · G+A 2 + 1 (13% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.8 ppg with (10) · 0.43 without (7)
Absences
FC Twente
- injury Issam El Maach goalkeeper · Muscle Injury · 195 missed
- injury Mees Hilgers defender · Hamstring Injury · 66 missed
- injury Stav Lemkin #15 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 5 missed
- suspension Gijs Besselink midfielder · No Eligibility · 1 missed · until 2026-08-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Play-offs
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
- Capacity
- 30,205
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- John van den Brom · Qurban Qurbanov
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Juxhin Xhaja
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 16.4° (feels 16.4°)
- Wind
- 2.7
- Humidity
- 86%
Where to watch · 11
Azerbaijan
CBC Sport
Israel
Sport 3
Montenegro
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 3
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN · Watch ESPN
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 3
Serbia
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 3
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
FC Twente
DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 7 · xG 9.12–3.18 · xPts 9.13
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.69–0.56
NLD E - D
A
Dunajská Streda
3–3
xG 2.0–1.56
UEFA ECL - L
A
SC Heerenveen
0–1
xG 2.01–0.58
NLD E - W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Ferencvárosi
2–2
UEFA EL
DDWLLDWLDW 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 23 GA 17 · xG 17.61–9.09 · xPts 15.32
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.69–0.56
NLD E
- D
A
Dunajská Streda
3–3
xG 2.0–1.56
UEFA ECL
- L
A
SC Heerenveen
0–1
xG 2.01–0.58
NLD E
- W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Ferencvárosi
2–2
UEFA EL
- L
H
Ferencvárosi
1–2
UEFA EL
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 1.64–2.35
NLD E - W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
xG 4.54–0.62
NLD E - D
A
AZ Alkmaar
2–2
xG 0.88–1.6
NLD E - D
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–1
xG 1.43–1.34
NLD E
Qarabağ
WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1
- W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
UEFA ECL - L
A
Dynamo Kyiv
0–1
UEFA ECL
- D
A
CSKA Sofia
0–0 lost on pens None–None
UEFA EL - D
H
CSKA Sofia
0–0
UEFA EL
- W
A
Vestri
3–0
UEFA EL
WWDDLW 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1
- W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
UEFA ECL
- L
A
Dynamo Kyiv
0–1
UEFA ECL
- D
A
CSKA Sofia
0–0 lost on pens None–None
UEFA EL
- D
H
CSKA Sofia
0–0
UEFA EL
- W
A
Vestri
3–0
UEFA EL
- W
H
Vestri
3–0
UEFA EL
All meetings · 6 matches since 2009
Goals 8–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 8–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 33%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–3 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- W Qarabağ 1–4 FC Twente aet UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L FC Twente 0–1 Qarabağ UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
- D FC Twente 1–1 Qarabağ UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- D Qarabağ 0–0 FC Twente neutral UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
- D Qarabağ 0–0 FC Twente UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- W FC Twente 3–1 Qarabağ neutral UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
| Metric | FC Twente all · 4 | FC Twente at home · 2 | Qarabağ all · 4 | Qarabağ away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Twente · 12 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586
Game state
When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910
Situations
At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310
Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.07
Qarabağ · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.058
Early press (0-15, level)+0.218
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.065
When level+0.108
10 min after conceding-0.242
10 min after scoring+0.005
Situations
At home-0.044
Away+0.144
4+ days rest+0.058
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
As favourite+0.174
Evenly matched-0.172
As underdog+0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.078
Conceded when ahead-0.035
Conceded late (76+)-0.057
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.04
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.54 | 1.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.43 | 0.49 |
Qarabağ
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 0.51 | 2.19 |
| Metric | FC Twente all · 10 | FC Twente at home · 10 | Qarabağ all · 10 | Qarabağ away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 60% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.41 | 2.49 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| xG against / match | 0.72 | 0.71 | 2.84 | 2.53 |
| xG difference | 1.70 | 1.77 | -2.01 | -1.68 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | -0.38 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| xPts / match | 2.35 | 2.31 | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | -0.20 | 0.27 | 0.58 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 50% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 25% | 0% | 29% |
| Leads held | 75% | 86% | 80% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 35% | 29% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 49% | 41% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 16% | 30% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 35 | 37 | 31 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 49 | 38 | 24 | 24 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 65% | 62% | 69% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 70% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 61% | 54% | 50% |
| Shots | 22.4 | 21.0 | 11.2 | 10.1 |
| On target | 8.5 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 62% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 7.9 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 26% | 45% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 22.0 | 9.9 | 8.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 72.5 | 69.8 | 50.7 | 41.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 84% | 79% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 9.5 | 8.9 | 6.7 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.60 | 1.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Twente
0–15'40
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'54
61–75'51
76–90'52
Qarabağ
0–15'25
16–30'20
31–45'13
46–60'61
61–75'11
76–90'12
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.13 | 2.38 | 1.13 | 2.55 | 0.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.43 | 0.49 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
Qarabağ
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0.53 | 2.92 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.69 | 2.57 |
| Metric | FC Twente all · 41 | FC Twente at home · 21 | Qarabağ all · 17 | Qarabağ away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 41 | 21 | 17 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 2.05 | 1.24 | 0.88 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 15 / 6 | 13 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 3 / 8 | 2 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.02 | 1.90 | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.15 | 0.76 | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 48% | 41% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 19% | 29% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 43% | 41% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 48% | 59% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.20 | 2.31 | 1.00 | 0.72 |
| xG against / match | 1.05 | 0.78 | 2.64 | 3.10 |
| xG difference | 1.16 | 1.53 | -1.63 | -2.38 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.36 | 0.36 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 2.02 | 2.18 | 0.73 | 0.43 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.12 | -0.03 | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 57% | 53% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.21 | 2.58 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | 1.43 | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 68% | 50% | 20% | 0% |
| Leads held | 67% | 87% | 60% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 35% | 29% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 54% | 44% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 11% | 27% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 38 | 28 | 27 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 45 | 28 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 63% | 62% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 62% | 55% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.46 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.22 | 0.10 | 0.59 | 0.25 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 60% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 19.1 | 20.0 | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| On target | 7.1 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 22% | 25% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 19.4 | 23.7 | 10.9 | 8.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.2 | 71.5 | 44.8 | 38.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 6.6 |
| Cards | 1.39 | 1.19 | 1.47 | 1.25 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Twente
0–15'84
16–30'127
31–45'106
46–60'2213
61–75'128
76–90'179
Qarabağ
0–15'57
16–30'42
31–45'25
46–60'74
61–75'15
76–90'48
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Twente · 41 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4441
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3641
Late push (76+, level)+0.3219
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4612
Game state
When ahead+0.4829
When level+0.4541
When behind+0.3219
10 min after conceding-0.0329
10 min after scoring+0.6236
Situations
With ten men+0.302
Against ten men-0.073
At home+0.5821
Away+0.2820
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.4036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.537
v mid-tier opponents+0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.6113
As favourite+0.4929
Evenly matched+0.1811
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2241
Conceded when ahead-0.2529
Conceded late (76+)-0.3234
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.13
Qarabağ · 17 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0417
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4317
Late push (76+, level)-0.466
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.196
Game state
When ahead-0.0710
When level+0.1817
When behind-0.119
10 min after conceding-0.1210
10 min after scoring+0.0611
Situations
At home+0.049
Away+0.038
4+ days rest+0.0417
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.016
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.174
Evenly matched+0.203
As underdog-0.0710
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0917
Conceded when ahead+0.0510
Conceded late (76+)+0.0714
Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.29
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 71% | 1.79 | 1.97 | 1.21 | 2.33 | 1.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 24% | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.12 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
| 4-2-1-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Qarabağ
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 94% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.88 | 0.93 | 2.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 6% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.69 | 2.57 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.2h before kick-off · 5 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.9 pts at 3.0h
1.51Home 62% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 1.514.58Draw 21% · -0.8 ptsopened 4.255.44Away 17% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 4.86
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51 ▲ +2.2 | 4.58 · -0.8 | 5.44 ▼ -1.4 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.48 · +0.7 | 4.1 · -0.6 | 5.5 · -0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.47 · +0.3 | 4.2 · -0.4 | 5.0 · +0.1 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.44 ▲ +2.2 | 4.6 ▼ -1.4 | 6.0 · -0.8 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 1.53 ▲ +1.1 | 4.5 · -0.4 | 5.5 · -0.7 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.53 ▲ +1.1 | 4.5 · -0.4 | 5.5 · -0.7 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.52 · +0.5 | 4.0 · +0.2 | 5.5 · -0.7 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.5 · +0.0 | 4.0 · +0.0 | 5.0 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 4.2h before kick-off · 5 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off
1.66Yes 56% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.662.1No 44% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.57 · -0.5 | 2.25 · +0.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.62 ▲ +1.0 | 2.15 ▼ -1.0 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.66 · +0.0 | 2.06 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 ▲ +1.9 | 2.2 ▼ -1.9 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 4.2h before kick-off · 5 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.7 pts at 3.0h
1.54Over 61% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 1.552.44Under 39% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 2.27
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54 ▲ +1.9 | 2.44 ▼ -1.9 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.53 · +0.8 | 2.37 · -0.8 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.4 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.51 ▲ +1.9 | 2.35 ▼ -1.9 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.58 · +0.0 | 2.18 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.48Home 61% P 62%4.1Draw 22% P 21%5.5Away 17% P 17%
Double Chance
1.11FC Twente or Draw 43%1.22FC Twente or FK Qarabag 39%2.62Draw or FK Qarabag 18%
Draw No Bet
1.21 78%4.332 22%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 61% P 61%2.37Under 39% P 39%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 23% | +0.7 |
| Away | 17% | 16% | 15% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 61% | 63% | +1.6 |
Juxhin Xhaja
- Career
- 29 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.48 (5.14 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.9 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.45
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 15 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.13 | 4.92 | +1.25 | 90 |
| Fouls / match | 21.9 | 23.8 | -0.71 | |
| Fouls per card | 3.6 | 4.8 | -1.41 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.47 | 0.29 | +1.08 | 86 |
| Time added | 7.4 | 6.5 | +0.74 | 76 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 7% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 40' | 6 |
| 2026-02-19 | 8 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2026-01-29 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 38' | 6 |
| 2025-12-18 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2025-12-11 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2025-11-06 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 8' | 8 |
| 2025-08-21 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 41' | 8 |