Rating 6.61 · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Europa Conference League · Play-offs
Momentum
– MotherwellSC Freiburg –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Motherwell | at home | Stat | league | away | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0 #83 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 65.0 #7 |
| 3.8 #125 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 27.0 #1 |
| 2.3 #104 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| 2.5 #131 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 7.5 #15 |
| 8.2 #146 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 10.5 #113 |
| 2.5 #26 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.5 #67 |
| 4.3 #55 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 17.5 #9 |
| 86.8 #127 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 116.5 #51 |
| 55.5 #91 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 70.0 #43 |
| 111.2 #54 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 616.0 #4 |
| 1.2 #128 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 0.5 #147 |
| 0.3 #15 | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | – |
| 1.2 #45 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #82 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #91 |
| 0.1 #63 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 3.5 #1 |
| 1.6 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 0.0 #46 |
| – #97 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #97 |
| 1.7 #47 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.5 #2 |
| 1.3 #92 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 #110 |
| 0.2 #63 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #9 |
| 2.5 #53 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 6.5 #28 |
| – #92 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #130 |
| 0.3 #19 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 6.5 #53 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 7.2 #2 |
| 1.8 #94 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 6.0 #2 |
| 0.5 #63 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 18.0 #1 |
| 3.8 #86 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 10.5 #4 |
| 0.5 #59 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 9.0 #2 |
| – #19 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Motherwell · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Rating 6.59 · G+A 2 + 2 (40% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.67 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
SC Freiburg · Last 365 days
Rating 7.12 (97th pct) · G+A 7 + 9 (18% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (80th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (24% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.96 ppg with (27) · 1.46 without (24)
Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Play-offs
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Fir Park, Motherwell
- Capacity
- 13,742
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Alfred Johansson · Julian Schuster
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Radu Petrescu
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 12.7° (feels 12.4°)
- Wind
- 0.6
- Humidity
- 90%
Where to watch · 4
Austria
RTL+
Brazil
Canal Gol Brasil
Israel
5 Live · 5 Plus
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Motherwell
WWDW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1
- W
H
HJK
2–0
UEFA ECL - D
A
HJK
1–1
UEFA ECL
- W
A
HB
3–0
UEFA ECL - W
H
HB
2–0
UEFA ECL
WWDW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1
- W
H
HJK
2–0
UEFA ECL
- D
A
HJK
1–1
UEFA ECL
- W
A
HB
3–0
UEFA ECL
- W
H
HB
2–0
UEFA ECL
SC Freiburg
DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 5.57–7.53 · xPts 5.5
- L
H
Aston Villa
0–3
xG 0.24–1.92
UEFA EL - W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 1.52–1.55
GER BI - L
A
Hamburger SV
2–3
xG 0.46–1.61
GER BI - W
H
Sporting Braga
3–1
xG 2.16–1.4
UEFA EL - D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
xG 1.19–1.06
GER BI
LLDWLWL 2W 1D 4L · 7 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 15 · xG 7.27–13.08 · xPts 6.34
- L
H
Aston Villa
0–3
xG 0.24–1.92
UEFA EL
- W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 1.52–1.55
GER BI
- L
A
Hamburger SV
2–3
xG 0.46–1.61
GER BI
- W
H
Sporting Braga
3–1
xG 2.16–1.4
UEFA EL
- D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
xG 1.19–1.06
GER BI
- L
A
Sporting Braga
1–2
xG 1.2–2.68
UEFA EL
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
xG 0.5–2.87
GER BI
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L SC Freiburg 4–1 Motherwell UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L Motherwell 1–3 SC Freiburg UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
| Metric | Motherwell all · 6 | Motherwell at home · 3 | SC Freiburg all · 2 | SC Freiburg away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.27 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 3.39 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | -3.12 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.73 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 0.14 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 60% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 40% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 47% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 29 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 3.3 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 28% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 50% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 0.5 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 2.5 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 4% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 6.7 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 34.2 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 8.2 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Motherwell
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'10
46–60'31
61–75'23
76–90'02
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Motherwell · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.206
Early press (0-15, level)-0.036
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.272
Game state
When ahead-0.295
When level-0.096
When behind-0.322
10 min after conceding-0.453
10 min after scoring-0.336
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.213
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.206
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.442
As favourite-0.113
As underdog-0.442
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.306
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)+0.325
Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.23
SC Freiburg · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185
Game state
When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875
Situations
Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +2.14
Motherwell
Current: winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 0.27 | 3.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | – |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 100% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 3.39 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Motherwell all · 6 | Motherwell at home · 3 | SC Freiburg all · 10 | SC Freiburg away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | 7 / 1 / 2 | 5 / 0 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.67 | – | 2.70 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.27 | – | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 3.39 | – | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | -3.12 | – | 0.86 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.73 | – | 0.85 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 0.14 | – | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | – | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | 60% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 50% | 29% |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 100% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | – | 44% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 47% | – | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | – | 14% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | – | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | – | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | – | 56% | 46% |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | 15.9 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.3 | – | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 28% | – | 17% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 50% | – | 64% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 0.5 | – | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 2.5 | – | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 4% | – | 37% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 41% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 6.7 | – | 18.0 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.2 | – | 58.0 | 45.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | 85% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.2 | – | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 1.00 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Motherwell
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'10
46–60'31
61–75'23
76–90'02
SC Freiburg
0–15'12
16–30'91
31–45'23
46–60'42
61–75'52
76–90'62
Motherwell
Current: winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 0.27 | 3.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | – |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.85 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Motherwell all · 6 | Motherwell at home · 3 | SC Freiburg all · 51 | SC Freiburg away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | 1.73 | 1.16 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | 26 / 10 / 15 | 8 / 5 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.67 | – | 1.73 | 1.16 |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | 1.27 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 26% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 26% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 61% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.27 | – | 1.61 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | 3.39 | – | 1.35 | 1.56 |
| xG difference | -3.12 | – | 0.26 | -0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.73 | – | 0.12 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 0.14 | – | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | – | 0.23 | 0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | 53% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.44 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 44% | 33% |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 81% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | – | 32% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 47% | – | 53% | 60% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | – | 16% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | – | 32 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | – | 45 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 52% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | 60% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | – | 49% | 44% |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | 13.3 | 10.8 |
| On target | 3.3 | – | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 28% | – | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 50% | – | 67% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 0.5 | – | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 2.5 | – | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 4% | – | 38% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 6.7 | – | 14.9 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.2 | – | 50.5 | 41.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | 81% | 79% |
| Fouls | 8.2 | – | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 1.55 | 1.72 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Motherwell
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'10
46–60'31
61–75'23
76–90'02
SC Freiburg
0–15'98
16–30'178
31–45'1610
46–60'1816
61–75'125
76–90'1618
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Motherwell · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.206
Early press (0-15, level)-0.036
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.272
Game state
When ahead-0.295
When level-0.096
When behind-0.322
10 min after conceding-0.453
10 min after scoring-0.336
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.213
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.206
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.442
As favourite-0.113
As underdog-0.442
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.306
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)+0.325
Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.23
SC Freiburg · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: against ten men +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0851
Late push (76+, level)+0.1321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3915
Game state
When ahead+0.1032
When level+0.1851
When behind-0.1727
10 min after conceding-0.2037
10 min after scoring+0.4738
Situations
With ten men-0.313
Against ten men+0.548
At home+0.1626
Away+0.0625
3 days rest or fewer+0.0914
4+ days rest+0.1137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1813
v mid-tier opponents+0.0415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.189
As favourite+0.3522
Evenly matched+0.0116
As underdog-0.1913
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0351
Conceded when ahead-0.0032
Conceded late (76+)+0.0044
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.35
Motherwell
Current: winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 0.27 | 3.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | – |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 94% | 1.71 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.39 | 2.28 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.72 | 0.09 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.7h before kick-off · 6 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.8 pts at 2.5h
5.12Home 18% · +0.1 ptsopened 5.153.83Draw 25% ▲ +2.7 ptsopened 4.31.65Away 57% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 1.57
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.12 · +0.1 | 3.83 ▲ +2.7 | 1.65 ▼ -2.8 | 30m |
| bet365 | 5.5 ▼ -1.7 | 3.9 · -0.1 | 1.5 ▲ +1.8 | 30m |
| Betfair | 5.0 · +0.2 | 3.8 ▲ +2.5 | 1.55 ▼ -2.6 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 5.25 · +0.9 | 3.9 · +0.7 | 1.6 ▼ -1.6 | 30m |
| Coral | 5.75 · -0.8 | 4.0 ▲ +1.7 | 1.57 · -0.9 | 30m |
| Ladbrokes | 5.5 · -0.1 | 4.0 ▲ +1.0 | 1.57 · -1.0 | 30m |
| Unibet | 5.3 · +0.6 | 4.0 ▲ +1.3 | 1.53 ▼ -1.8 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 5.0 · +0.0 | 3.6 ▲ +2.5 | 1.62 ▼ -2.5 | 30m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 4.7h before kick-off · 6 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.8 pts at 4.5h
1.9Yes 49% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 1.831.8No 51% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 1.83
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -1.4 | 1.8 ▲ +1.4 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.85 ▼ -3.3 | 1.85 ▲ +3.3 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 ▼ -7.0 | 1.85 ▲ +7.0 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.8 ▼ -2.4 | 1.87 ▲ +2.4 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 ▼ -1.6 | 1.91 ▲ +1.6 | 30m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.7h before kick-off · 6 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: under +4.9 pts at 4.5h
1.94Over 49% ▼ -9.8 ptsopened 1.61.87Under 51% ▲ +9.8 ptsopened 2.29
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94 ▼ -9.8 | 1.87 ▲ +9.8 | 30m |
| bet365 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.85 ▼ -8.9 | 1.85 ▲ +8.9 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.83 ▼ -8.0 | 1.84 ▲ +8.0 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.74 ▼ -4.1 | 1.94 ▲ +4.1 | 30m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.5Home 16% P 18%3.9Draw 23% P 25%1.5Away 60% P 57%
Double Chance
2.3Motherwell or Draw 20%1.18Motherwell or SC Freiburg 39%1.1Draw or SC Freiburg 41%
Draw No Bet
4.331 22%1.22 78%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 49%2.0Under 47% P 51%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 18% | 19% | 20% | +0.6 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 22% | -3.1 |
| Away | 57% | 56% | 59% | +2.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Radu Petrescu
- Career
- 56 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.0 (3.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.5 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.27
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.8 | 4.92 | -0.28 | 35 |
| Fouls / match | 26.3 | 23.8 | +1.07 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 4.8 | +0.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.29 | -0.02 | 45 |
| Time added | 6.1 | 6.5 | -0.65 | 22 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 55% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 84' | 8 |
| 2025-10-23 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 25' | 12 |
| 2025-09-24 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 80' | 6 |
| 2025-08-28 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 14' | 5 |